Packers vs Vikings Prediction: A Crowded Division and a Missing Quarterback
The Minnesota Vikings are 6-2 and sit third in the NFC North. The Green Bay Packers are 6-3 and sit last. That is how packed this division is. Minnesota is 0.5 game back of the lead, Green Bay is one back, and Kyler Murray is out for the Vikings. The market has picked a favorite. Our job is to check whether the price is fair.
Who Is Favored to Win Vikings vs Packers?
The Packers are favored. The Vikings won the last meeting, 63 days ago. Over 9 games, Green Bay averages 347.89 total yards and 5.58 yards per play per game, and its defense forces 2.11 turnovers per game. Over 8 games, Minnesota averages 266.75 yards and 4.64 yards per play per game. Against the spread (ATS, meaning results after the point handicap), Minnesota is 4-4 over 8 graded games and 3-1 on the road.
Green Bay is 5-3-1 over 9 and 3-1 at home. Scoring has run low. The Vikings are 1-7 to the over-under in 8 games, the Packers 3-6 in 9. Minnesota gets 5 days of rest off a Monday game and travels 259 miles with no time-zone change. Green Bay has 6 days of rest after an 859-mile trip back from Foxborough. The forecast is 45 degrees, 1 mph wind, no rain.
Players to Watch
Jordan Love has thrown for 2,618 yards, 19 touchdowns and 6 interceptions over all 9 games, about 290.9 yards per game. Over his last 5 games he is at 315.4 per game. Josh Jacobs (Out) is ruled out and will not play, and the Packers rush for just 68.22 yards per game on average, so this offense runs through Love. For Minnesota, Aaron Jones Sr. has 474 yards and 2 touchdowns on 115 carries over 8 games, about 59.3 yards per game, and 54.2 per game over his last 5. Carson Wentz was the Vikings' quarterback of record last game and is listed active.
What Are the Vikings vs Packers Odds?
The moneyline is a bet on who wins. The Vikings vs Packers spread is a point handicap. Vikings +3 at -108 (BetRivers) wins if Minnesota wins or loses by 2 or fewer, pushes (stake returned) on a 3-point loss, and loses on a 4-point loss. Packers -3 at -102 (BetMGM) wins only by 4 or more.
The spread opened Packers -3.5 and now sits at -3. The total is 42 combined points: over at -108 (BetRivers), under at -108 (BetMGM). The extra cost in those prices is the vig, the book's cut. The public split shows 67% of moneyline tickets and 87% of the money on Green Bay. That is a crowd count, not advice.
Where the Value Is
Strip out the vig and the market reads this about 58.8% Packers, 41.2% Vikings. That is the no-vig number. Packers -141 needs a 58.5% win rate to break even. It is the only positive number on the board. Vikings +3 is minus $1.47, Packers -3 minus $3.28, and each side of the total minus $3.70, all per $100 risked. Our rating gives the Packers 56%, context only.
Who Is Out for the Vikings and Packers?
For Minnesota, Kyler Murray (Out), Jauan Jennings (Out), Blake Cashman (Out) and Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins (Out) are ruled out and will not play. Demond Claiborne is on injured reserve. Joshua Metellus and Jordan Addison are questionable. For Green Bay, Josh Jacobs (Out), Sean Rhyan (Out) and Josh Whyle (Out) are ruled out and will not play. Chris Brooks is on injured reserve. Kevin Zeitler, Travis Glover, Lukas Van Ness and Javon Bullard are questionable.
The Pick
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The Prediction
Our Vikings vs Packers prediction: Love carries a short-handed offense, and the Packers' per-game edge in yards per play and takeaways shows up against a Minnesota team without its starting quarterback. Packers 23, Vikings 17. That is our read on this number. The Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it sits right below.
Vikings vs Packers FAQ
Who is favored in Vikings vs Packers?
Packers is the market favorite at -145 (best price at Courtside) on the moneyline, with Vikings at +140. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Where to watch Vikings vs Packers?
The Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers game airs on Fox. Kickoff is Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET at Lambeau Field in Green Bay. The forecast calls for 45 degrees, a 1 mph wind and no chance of rain.
What time is the Vikings vs Packers game?
The game kicks off Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET at Lambeau Field. It is a Week 10 NFC North division game, and Fox has the broadcast.
Who will win Packers vs Vikings?
Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers NFL prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
What is the total (over/under) for Vikings vs Packers?
The total is 42, with the over priced at -110 at Caesars and the under at -108 at BetMGM. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Are these NFL picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in NFL games?
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
Quick answers
Who is the public betting on in Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers?
Public is on Packers (57% of DraftKings tickets on the spread), Circa money leans Vikings (69%).
Where has the Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers line moved?
The spread opened Packers -3.5 and is now -3; the total moved from 42 to 42.5; several books (3) moved the spread on away to 3 together.
Who is starting at quarterback in Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers?
Depth chart starters: Minnesota Vikings Kyler Murray, Green Bay Packers Jordan Love.
Who is injured for Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers?
Minnesota Vikings: Aaron Jones Sr. (active), Blake Cashman (out), Caleb Banks (active), Carson Wentz (active); Green Bay Packers: Aaron Banks (active), Bo Melton (active), Chris Brooks (injured reserve), Donovan Jennings (active).
Who is officiating Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers?
John Hussey is the listed key official for this game.
Where is the money on the exchanges for Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers?
On Kalshi, 61% of the money traded on the moneyline is on the Vikings (21399 trades, $642k traded). On Polymarket, 55% of the money traded on the moneyline is on the Vikings (398 trades, $62k traded). On Novig, 53% of the money traded on the moneyline is on the Packers (1015 trades, $152k traded). Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 14, 6:56 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.