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San Francisco 49ers play at Dallas Cowboys in the NFL on Sunday, November 15, at ATT Stadium. As of 2:54 AM ET, 49ers are 4-point favorites and the total is 55.5. Prices come from 16 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 16 sportsbooks · NFL betting splits
Latest since this preview was written: Jake Ferguson (DAL) now out, was not listed (10:59 PM ET); Joey Porter Jr. (DAL) now questionable, was not listed (10:59 PM ET); Jonathan Bullard (DAL) now questionable, was not listed (10:59 PM ET); and 9 more changes.
DraftKings bettors lean 49ers on the spread (75% of tickets).
| Book | Bets49ersCowboys | Money49ersCowboys |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (49ers -3.5 / Cowboys +3.5) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (49ers -4 / Cowboys +4) | ||
| BetMGM (49ers -4 / Cowboys +4) | Bets only |
| Book | Bets49ersCowboys | Money49ersCowboys |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (49ers (-205) / Cowboys (+170)) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (49ers (-215) / Cowboys (+185)) | ||
| BetMGM (49ers (-220) / Cowboys (+180)) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOverUnder | MoneyOverUnder |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Over 55.5 / Under 55.5) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Over 56 / Under 56) | ||
| BetMGM (Over 56 / Under 56) | Bets only |
Splits data from DraftKings, Circa and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | San Francisco 49ers | Dallas Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -4 | +4 |
| Total 56 | O | U |
| Moneyline | -215 | +185 |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. Each line shows the share of dollars and trades buyers put on each side. Lines with under 10 trades or $500 are left out. Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
| Market | San Francisco 49ers | Dallas Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -186Bet at Novig → exchange price | +185Bet at Hard Rock Bet → |
| Spread | -4 -110Bet at Caesars → | +4 -107Bet at Bally Bet → |
| Total 55.5 | O -108Bet at Novig → exchange price | U +106Bet at Novig → exchange price |
As of 2:54 AM ET, the spread is 49ers -4 and the total is 55.5, with 16 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | 49ers ML | Cowboys ML | 49ers spread | Cowboys spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | -218 | +183 | -4 -110 | +4 -109 | O 55.5 -114 | U 55.5 -106 |
| theScore Bet | -215 | +180 | -4 -110 | +4 -110 | O 55.5 -110 | U 55.5 -110 |
| Bally Bet | -225 | +180 | -4 -114 | +4 -107 | – | – |
| bet365 | -220 | +180 | – | – | O 55.5 -115 | U 55.5 -105 |
| BetMGM | -220 | +180 | -4 -110 | +4 -108 | – | – |
| betPARX | -225 | +180 | -4 -114 | +4 -107 | – | – |
| BetRivers | -225 | +180 | -4 -114 | +4 -107 | – | – |
| DraftKings | -205 | +170 | – | – | O 55.5 -118 | U 55.5 -102 |
| Fanatics | -215 | +175 | -4 -110 | +4 -110 | – | – |
| FanDuel | -220 | +184 | – | – | O 55.5 -115 | U 55.5 -105 |
Prices from 16 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
San Francisco 49ers1st in the NFC WestDallas Cowboys2nd in the NFC East
Dak Prescott (DAL)218/336, 2,381 YDS, 16 TD, 5 INT (9 GP)
Brock Purdy (SF)163/236, 1,980 YDS, 17 TD, 5 INT (8 GP)The San Francisco 49ers allow 80.88 rushing yards per game. The Dallas Cowboys allow 147.44. That gap drives this 49ers vs Cowboys game, and the market already knows it: San Francisco is a -190 road favorite at AT&T Stadium. Our question is not who is better. It is whether the price still pays. Kickoff is Sunday, November 15 at 4:25 PM ET on Fox.
San Francisco is 7-1 and leads the NFC West. Dallas is 4-5, second in the NFC East and 1.5 back of the division lead. They have not met this season. The last meeting was 749 days ago, and Dallas lost. Both teams get six days of rest. The 49ers flew 1,437 miles and crossed two time zones east. Dallas traveled 779 miles from Indianapolis.
Per game, San Francisco gains 6.39 yards per play and allows 4.8 over eight games. Dallas gains 5.59 and allows 5.82 over nine. Against the spread (beating the betting margin), the 49ers are 5-3 in eight graded games and the Cowboys 4-4-1 in nine. Our rating, an Elo model built on past results, has San Francisco at 66%, matching the market. Context only.
Dak Prescott has played all nine games, averaging 264.6 passing yards, 1.8 touchdowns and 0.6 interceptions per game, and 263.2 yards per game over his last five. Brock Purdy has played all eight games, averaging 247.5 yards, 2.1 touchdowns and 0.6 interceptions per game, and 238.2 yards per game over his last five. Prescott throws for a bit more per game. Purdy throws a few more touchdowns per game. The bigger edge is on the ground: San Francisco runs for 135.25 yards per game into a defense giving up 147.44.
The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. Dallas at +186 (best at ReBet) means $100 profits $186. Remove the vig (the book's built-in fee) and the market reads roughly 66.1% San Francisco, 33.9% Dallas.
The spread handicaps the favorite. San Francisco -4 at -109 (Bally Bet) wins only by 5 or more. A 4-point win is a push (stake returned), and a 3-point win loses. Break-even is 52.2%. Dallas +4 at -105 (Hard Rock Bet) wins if Dallas wins or loses by 3 or fewer, with a 51.2% break-even. The consensus moved from +4 at the open to +4.5 after 17 moves, so shop. For an underdog, more points is always better.
Consensus has crept to 56. Dallas games went over 6 times in 9. San Francisco is 4-4 in 8.
Expected value is what a bet averages per $100 over many repeats, not what one ticket wins. At -190, the 49ers break even at 65.5%. Small, but positive. The public split puts 90% of moneyline tickets on San Francisco. That is not our reason. The price is, and only at -190. A worse number elsewhere erases it.
San Francisco will be without Mike Evans and Brandon Aiyuk, with C.J. West and Gracen Halton on injured reserve. Trent Williams, Renardo Green, Deommodore Lenoir and Dre Greenlaw are questionable, meaning uncertain until inactives Sunday. Dallas will be without Donovan Ezeiruaku, Jonathan Mingo and Juanyeh Thomas, with Devin Moore on injured reserve. Joey Porter Jr., DaRon Bland (CB) and Alijah Clark (S) are questionable.
It needs a 65.5% win rate. The market's own read is 66.1%. This is Desk analysis, not an official play.
We see this Cowboys vs 49ers game tilting on the line of scrimmage. San Francisco leans on a run game that faces a soft front, Purdy picks his spots, and Prescott keeps Dallas close with volume. Projection: 49ers 30, Cowboys 23, which adds to 53 points, below the 55.5 total. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it sits right below.
49ers is the market favorite at -186 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Cowboys at +185. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
The San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys game airs on Fox. It is played at AT&T Stadium, home of the Cowboys, in Week 10 of the 2026 regular season.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 4:25 PM Eastern time on Fox. Both teams come in on six days of rest, and the game is at AT&T Stadium.
The consensus spread moved from Dallas +4 to +4.5, and the total from 55.5 to 56. San Francisco lists Mike Evans and Brandon Aiyuk out. Dallas lists Donovan Ezeiruaku and Jonathan Mingo out and Juanyeh Thomas doubtful.
San Francisco's run game meets a Dallas defense allowing 147.44 rushing yards per game, and we lean 49ers moneyline at -190 on a thin but positive number. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 55.5, with the over priced at -108 at Novig and the under at +106 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
Forecast for AT&T Stadium near game time: 49°F, wind 10 mph from the ENE, 19% chance of precipitation. The stadium has a retractable roof, so these conditions apply only if it is open. Source: National Weather Service, captured 2026-11-15 07:39 UTC.
More for this game: NFL public betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · NFL odds · FanDuel betting splits
Public is on 49ers (76% of DraftKings tickets on the spread), Circa money is also on 49ers (94%).
The spread opened Cowboys +4 and is now +4.5; the total moved from 55.5 to 56.
Depth chart starters: San Francisco 49ers Brock Purdy, Dallas Cowboys Dak Prescott.
San Francisco 49ers: Brandin Cooks (active), Brandon Aiyuk (out), C.J. West (injured reserve), Deebo Samuel Sr. (active); Dallas Cowboys: Ajani Cornelius (active), Alijah Clark (questionable), Brandon Aubrey (active), Brevyn Spann-Ford (active).
Bill Vinovich is the listed key official for this game.
On Kalshi, 77% of the money traded on the moneyline is on the 49ers (20605 trades, $609k traded). On Polymarket, 52% of the money traded on the moneyline is on the 49ers (140 trades, $12k traded). On Novig, 61% of the money traded on the moneyline is on the 49ers (320 trades, $24k traded). Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 14, 7:27 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.