Raiders vs 49ers Prediction & Odds (Nov 8)

Why 49ers vs Raiders Is a Price Puzzle

The San Francisco 49ers are -400 favorites with three of their wide receivers ruled out. That tension drives Raiders vs 49ers: a dominant home team at a steep price, playing without much of its pass-catching depth. The Las Vegas Raiders arrive on six days of rest for game two of a road trip, after traveling 2,546 miles from East Rutherford. San Francisco comes off a bye with 13 days of rest. Kickoff is Sunday at 4:25 PM ET at Levi's Stadium on Fox. The forecast is 72 degrees with a 5 mph wind.

The Matchup: Who Is Favored to Win Raiders vs 49ers?

San Francisco is 6-1 and leads the NFC West. Las Vegas is 4-4, third in the AFC West and 2.5 games behind the division lead. The 49ers won the last meeting, 73 days ago. The biggest gap is on defense. Over 10 stored games, the 49ers allow 274 total yards and 4.2 yards per play per game.

Over 11 stored games, the Raiders allow 342.8 yards and 134.4 rushing yards per game. Against the spread (ATS, meaning whether a team beat the betting margin), the Raiders are 5-2 as an underdog over seven games, and the 49ers are 2-3 as a favorite over five. Our rating, an Elo model built on past results and used only as context, puts the 49ers at 80% to win, close to the market.

Players to Watch

Kirk Cousins has played all eight Raiders games and averages 265.5 passing yards, 2.4 touchdowns and 0.6 interceptions per game. Over his last five he is at 292.6 yards per game. Brock Purdy has played all seven 49ers games and averages 249.7 yards, 2.1 touchdowns and 0.6 interceptions per game, with 251.2 per game over his last five. Per game, the two passers are close. The real question is who catches the ball. Brock Bowers played 98% of Raiders snaps last game. For San Francisco, George Kittle (89%) and Christian McCaffrey (85%) were the snap leaders.

The Numbers: What Are the Raiders vs 49ers Odds?

The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. The Raiders are +400 at Wynn, so $100 profits $400 on an upset. The vig is the sportsbook's built-in fee. With it removed, the market reads about 81.5% San Francisco and 18.5% Las Vegas. The Raiders vs 49ers spread is a handicap that evens the teams out. Raiders +9.5 at -104 wins if Las Vegas wins or loses by 9 or fewer.

49ers -9.5 at +102 needs a win by 10 or more. Both of those prices are best at Novig. The total is the combined points line: Over 52 is best at -107 at Caesars, and Under 52 is best at -110 at ReBet. The consensus spread opened 49ers -10 and now sits at -9. The total opened at 49 and now reads 52. The best prices are spread across different books, so shopping matters.

Injuries

San Francisco lists Mike Evans, Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel Sr. as Out. Nate Hobbs and Christian Kirk are on Injured Reserve, and edge rusher Nick Bosa is Out with a knee injury. Purdy and McCaffrey are listed Active. Las Vegas lists Thomas Booker IV as Out and Darien Porter as Questionable. Patrick Johnson, Keyron Crawford and Chigozie Anusiem are on Injured Reserve. Questionable means uncertain, so check Sunday's inactives before kickoff.