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Seattle Seahawks play at Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL on Sunday, November 15, at Allegiant Stadium. As of 2:34 AM ET, Seahawks are 6.5-point favorites and the total is 40.5. Prices come from 15 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 15 sportsbooks · NFL betting splits
Latest since this preview was written: Thomas Booker IV (LV) now questionable, was not listed (11:34 PM ET); Leonard Williams (SEA) now out, was not listed (10:09 PM ET); Quenton Nelson (SEA) now out, was not listed (10:09 PM ET); and 1 more change.
Public is on the Over (63% of DraftKings tickets), but Circa money leans the Under (62%).
| Book | BetsSeahawks -6.5Raiders +6.5 | MoneySeahawks -6.5Raiders +6.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) | ||
| BetMGM | Bets only |
| Book | BetsSeahawksRaiders | MoneySeahawksRaiders |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Seahawks (-305) / Raiders (+245)) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Seahawks (-310) / Raiders (+260)) | ||
| BetMGM (Seahawks (-295) / Raiders (+240)) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOver 40.5Under 40.5 | MoneyOver 40.5Under 40.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) | ||
| BetMGM | Bets only |
Splits data from DraftKings, Circa and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | Seattle Seahawks | Las Vegas Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6.5 | +6.5 |
| Total 40.5 | O | U |
| Moneyline | -310 | +260 |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. Each line shows the share of dollars and trades buyers put on each side. Lines with under 10 trades or $500 are left out. Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
Polymarket US lists moneyline, spread, total, team totals and alternate and period lines for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | Seattle Seahawks | Las Vegas Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -257Bet at Novig → exchange price | +251Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | -6.5 +102Bet at Novig → exchange price | +6.5 -104Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Total 40.5 | O +102Bet at Novig → exchange price | U -104Bet at Novig → exchange price |
As of 2:34 AM ET, the spread is Seahawks -6.5 and the total is 40.5, with 15 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Seahawks ML | Raiders ML | Seahawks spread | Raiders spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | -286 | +225 | -6.5 -113 | +6.5 -108 | O 40.5 -109 | U 40.5 -112 |
| BetMGM | -295 | +240 | -6.5 -110 | +6.5 -108 | O 40.5 -108 | U 40.5 -110 |
| betPARX | -286 | +225 | -6.5 -113 | +6.5 -108 | O 40.5 -109 | U 40.5 -112 |
| BetRivers | -286 | +225 | -6.5 -113 | +6.5 -108 | O 40.5 -109 | U 40.5 -112 |
| Caesars | -310 | +240 | -6.5 -106 | +6.5 -114 | O 40.5 -110 | U 40.5 -109 |
| Courtside | -297 | +251 | -6.5 -112 | +6.5 -108 | O 40.5 -106 | U 40.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | -305 | +245 | -6.5 -112 | +6.5 -108 | O 40.5 -108 | U 40.5 -112 |
| Fanatics | -285 | +230 | -6.5 -110 | +6.5 -110 | O 40.5 -110 | U 40.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | -300 | +245 | -6.5 -110 | +6.5 -110 | O 40.5 -110 | U 40.5 -110 |
| Fliff | -335 | +240 | -6.5 -115 | +6.5 -110 | O 40.5 -115 | U 40.5 -110 |
Prices from 15 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Seattle Seahawks2nd in the NFC WestLas Vegas Raiders3rd in the AFC West
Fernando Mendoza (LV)6/8, 48 YDS (3 GP)
Emanuel Wilson (SEA)111 CAR, 403 YDS, 3 TD (8 GP)The Las Vegas Raiders have beaten the betting margin in six of nine games this season, and seven of their nine games went over the posted point total. Now they host a Seattle Seahawks team without Sam Darnold, and the market still asks the Raiders to lose by six or fewer. That tension drives this Seahawks vs Raiders preview. Kickoff is Sunday, November 15 at 4:05 PM ET on CBS from Allegiant Stadium, which is indoors. Both teams have six days of rest and no time-zone change. The Seahawks travel 871 miles from home. The Raiders come back 386 miles from Santa Clara.
The Seahawks are the favorite. As of publication they are 5-4, second of four in the NFC West and 2.5 games back of the division lead. The Raiders are 4-5, third of four in the AFC West and three back. Each team has eight games left. The last meeting, 465 days ago, ended in a tie. The per-game averages over nine games tell the real story.
The Seahawks allow 244.22 yards and 4.09 yards per play per game. The Raiders allow 385.44 yards, 6.09 yards per play and 151.22 rushing yards per game. Against the spread (ATS, meaning whether a team beat the betting margin), the Raiders are 6-3 over nine games and 5-3 as an underdog. The Seahawks are 3-4-2 ATS over nine games.
Emanuel Wilson leads the Seahawks' ground game with 111 carries for 403 yards and 3 touchdowns over eight games, about 50.4 yards per game. Over his last five games he averages 61.6 rushing yards per game. As a team, the Seahawks run for 110.78 yards per game, and that meets a Raiders defense allowing 151.22.
For the Raiders, Fernando Mendoza is listed as the passing leader at 6 of 8 for 48 yards over three games, a small sample that tells us very little. Kirk Cousins was the Raiders' quarterback of record last game. For the Seahawks, Drew Lock was the quarterback of record last game, a change from the game before. Sam Darnold is out.
Every best price below sits at Novig, which is exactly why we compare books before betting. The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. Seahawks -264 means a $100 bet profits $37.88. Raiders +257 means a $100 bet profits $257. The spread is a handicap. Seahawks -6.5 at -102 wins only if the Seahawks win by seven or more. Raiders +6.5 at +100 wins if the Raiders win or lose by six or fewer. There is no tie at a half point. The total is 40.5 combined points: Over -102, Under +100.
Break-even is the win rate a price needs to avoid losing money over time. It is 72.5% for the Seahawks moneyline, 28% for the Raiders moneyline, 50.5% for Seahawks -6.5 and the Over, and 50% for Raiders +6.5 and the Under. The public split (the share of bets placed) shows 84% of spread tickets on the Seahawks. It also shows 77% of total tickets on the Over, but 70% of the money on the Under. The consensus opening numbers of 6.5 and 40.5 have not moved.
The vig is the sportsbook's built-in fee. Our rating, an Elo model used only as context, lands at 73% for the Seahawks. Expected value is the average result per bet if you could place it many times. Seahawks -6.5 is minus $0.06, Raiders +6.5 is minus $0.93, the Over is minus $0.98 and the Under is $0.00, all per $100 risked. Only one price clears the market's own read. Pay -264 or better, never worse.
The Seahawks list four players as out: Quenton Nelson, Charles Cross, Leonard Williams and Sam Darnold. Elijah Arroyo is on injured reserve. The Raiders list Thomas Booker IV and Dont'e Thornton Jr. as questionable, meaning their status is uncertain. Patrick Johnson, Keyron Crawford and Chigozie Anusiem are on injured reserve. Final inactives arrive before Sunday's 4:05 PM ET kickoff.
This is Desk analysis, not an official play, and it is a thin price lean. The ticket needs the Seahawks to win 72.5% of the time to break even, and the market's own no-vig read sits at 73.3%. If your book shows a worse number, pass.
Our seahawks vs raiders prediction rests on the defensive gap. The Seahawks allow 4.09 yards per play per game, while the Raiders allow 6.09. Wilson running into a defense that gives up 151.22 rushing yards per game fits that picture. The Raiders' 6-3 ATS mark says they keep games competitive, so we expect a grind. Projection: Seahawks 24, Raiders 16.
That adds up to 40 points, a hair under the 40.5 total. It is a projection, not a reason to bet the Under at a price we rate as no better than break-even. That is the read on this number. The Desk posts a documented free play each day, and it sits right below alongside the $1 trial.
Seahawks is the market favorite at -257 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Raiders at +251. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
The Seattle Seahawks at Las Vegas Raiders game airs on CBS. It is played at Allegiant Stadium, an indoor stadium, on Sunday, November 15, 2026, with kickoff set for 4:05 PM ET.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 4:05 PM ET at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. The game is broadcast on CBS and is Week 10 of the 2026 regular season.
Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders NFL prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 40.5, with the over priced at +102 at Novig and the under at -104 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: NFL public betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · NFL odds · FanDuel betting splits
Public is on Seahawks (84% of DraftKings tickets on the spread).
The spread has held at Raiders +6.5 since it opened; the total has held at 40.5; several books (3) moved the spread on away to -6.5 together.
Depth chart starters: Seattle Seahawks Sam Darnold, Las Vegas Raiders Kirk Cousins.
Seattle Seahawks: AJ Barner (active), Anthony Bradford (active), Beau Stephens (active), Brandon Pili (active); Las Vegas Raiders: Aidan O'Connell (active), Ashton Jeanty (active), Brock Bowers (active), Bryce Cabeldue (active).
Brad Allen is the listed key official for this game.
On Kalshi, 82% of the money traded on the moneyline is on the Seahawks (9379 trades, $529k traded). On Polymarket, 72% of the money traded on the moneyline is on the Seahawks (204 trades, $19k traded). On Novig, 66% of the money traded on the moneyline is on the Seahawks (268 trades, $20k traded). Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 14, 7:25 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.