MLB Best Bets, Picks & Predictions

A red-hot Eduardo Rodriguez walks into Dodger Stadium to face the best record in baseball, and the odds board tells a fascinating story.

Our model sees real value on the Blue Jays at +122 as underdogs at Petco Park, an 8.8% edge over the fair market price.

Chris Sale takes a 2.27 ERA into Busch Stadium against a Cardinals team that has already won the season series, with storms in the forecast and a rare low total on the board.

The market has made the Angels a massive favorite at Target Field, but our model says the real value sits with the Twins at +450 at BetMGM.

The market has made Texas a massive favorite, but our model says the real value sits with Houston at +475 on the moneyline at BetMGM.

With Sonny Gray dealing and Boston riding a six-game heater, the Red Sox run line at plus money is the sharper way to play a short favorite.

Our model likes the Athletics -1.5 at +150 on FanDuel, a thin but real edge against a market that has all but buried them.

Our model likes Cubs -1.5 at +136 (FanDuel) as a small but real edge against a market that has gone all-in on Cincinnati.

Even without Judge, the Wise Guy Desk sees value on the Yankees run line at +110 against a struggling Washington starter.

The NL Central leaders visit PNC Park where Braxton Ashcraft and his 3.24 ERA meet a Brewers team that has already dropped two of three to the Pirates this season.

A red-hot Nick Martinez meets a struggling Luis Castillo under the Tropicana Field roof with a razor-thin total of 6.5.

A red-hot Miami club hands the ball to Sandy Alcantara against Cleveland's Parker Messick in a matchup where the odds board tells a strange story.

The market has written off Kansas City, but at +380 the Royals carry a 13.3% expected-value edge that is too big for our desk to ignore.

Our model sees real value on the red-hot Tigers at -115 against a struggling Aaron Nola in Detroit.

Two .500-ish NL West rivals send scuffling starters to Petco Park in a game the market prices as a near coin flip.

With no true math edge on the board, our lightest lean is Texas at -136 on FanDuel behind Nathan Eovaldi at home.

A first-place Milwaukee club rolls into Busch Stadium to face a fading St. Louis team in a game where the market has left almost no free money on the table.

The market makes Philadelphia a solid favorite, but the sharper number sits on Cincinnati at +140.

A red-hot Miami club hosts a Julio-less Seattle team behind a starter with a sparkling 1.71 ERA, and the market can't quite agree on who should be favored.

The Wise Guy Desk sees no true edge here and passes, with a small lean to Detroit -134 at FanDuel only if you must have action.

The Red Sox ride a five-game heater into Rate Field, and even money at +100 on Caesars is the honest, if thin, place to look.

Two AL Central rivals headed in opposite directions collide at Target Field with the standings tightening by the day.

The Wise Guy Desk leans Baltimore at -125, where the model edge lives, but this one stays a lean, not a pound.