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New Orleans Saints play at Chicago Bears in the NFL on Sunday, November 22, at Soldier Field. As of 1:41 AM ET, Bears are 9.5-point favorites and the total is 49. Prices come from 9 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 9 sportsbooks · NFL betting splits
Latest since this preview was written: Kentavius Street (CHI) now injured reserve, was not listed (7:24 PM ET); Kyle Monangai (CHI) now out, was not listed (7:24 PM ET); Luther Burden III (CHI) now questionable, was not listed (7:24 PM ET); and 3 more changes.
Neither Kalshi nor Polymarket has a market on this game that we can match, so there is no exchange buyer data to show.
Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | New Orleans Saints | Chicago Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +430Bet at FanDuel → | -470Bet at DraftKings → |
| Spread | +9.5 -105Bet at FanDuel → | -9.5 -109Bet at Caesars → |
| Total 49 | O -110Bet at Caesars → | U -109Bet at BetRivers → |
As of 1:41 AM ET, the spread is Bears -9.5 and the total is 49, with 9 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Saints ML | Bears ML | Saints spread | Bears spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | +370 | -500 | +9.5 -110 | -9.5 -110 | O 49 -112 | U 49 -109 |
| betPARX | +370 | -500 | +9.5 -110 | -9.5 -110 | O 49 -112 | U 49 -109 |
| BetRivers | +370 | -500 | +9.5 -110 | -9.5 -110 | O 49 -112 | U 49 -109 |
| Caesars | +380 | -500 | +9.5 -109 | -9.5 -109 | O 49 -110 | U 49 -110 |
| bet365 | +400 | -550 | +9.5 -108 | -9.5 -112 | – | – |
| DraftKings | +360 | -470 | +9.5 -110 | -9.5 -110 | – | – |
| FanDuel | +430 | -590 | +9.5 -105 | -9.5 -115 | – | – |
| Novig | +426 | -567 | +9.5 -108 | -9.5 -120 | – | – |
| ReBet | +350 | -481 | – | – | – | – |
Prices from 9 sportsbooks we track, updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
New Orleans Saints2nd in the NFC SouthChicago Bears1st in the NFC North
Caleb Williams (CHI)134/195, 1,546 YDS, 8 TD, 5 INT (6 GP)
Tyler Shough (NO)204/308, 1,986 YDS, 14 TD, 6 INT (8 GP)The Chicago Bears are 9.5-point favorites. The New Orleans Saints pay +430 just to win. On paper a 7-2 team against a 3-5 team looks simple, so the real bettor's question is not who wins but by how much. Kickoff is Sunday, November 22 at 1:00 PM ET at Soldier Field, on Fox, in Week 11.
As of November 13, the Bears are 7-2 and sit 1st of 4 in the NFC North. The Saints are 3-5 and sit 2nd of 4 in the NFC South. Those are records on our publication date, not necessarily what each team carries into Sunday. There is no season series to lean on, since these teams play in different divisions. So this Saints vs Bears game is a straight test of a strong home team against a team chasing a winning record.
Chicago's quarterback is Caleb Williams. Over 6 games played (of the team's 9), he averages 257.7 passing yards, 1.3 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions per game. New Orleans counters with Tyler Shough, who over 8 games averages 248.3 passing yards, 1.8 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions per game. Per game, the yardage is close and the interception rate is identical. Shough has thrown touchdowns at a higher per-game clip.
The Bears, clearly. The moneyline is a bet on who simply wins. Chicago is -485 at DraftKings, so a $100 bet profits $20.62. New Orleans is +430 at FanDuel, so a $100 bet profits $430. Strip out the vig (the sportsbook's built-in cut) and the market reads about 81.8% Bears, 18.2% Saints.
The Saints vs Bears spread is 9.5. A spread is a handicap that evens the teams out. It loses on a 10-point loss. The half point means no push (a tie that refunds your stake). A $100 bet profits $96.15.
The total, the combined points both teams score, is 49. The Over is -110 at Caesars and the Under -109 at BetRivers. Every price here is the best we found across books. Shopping like that is extra value you keep.
Break-even is how often a bet must win to stop losing money. Expected value is your average result per bet over time. Honestly, nothing beats the market's read. We still like the Saints +9.5 as a matchup lean, because the per-game quarterback numbers are close and 9.5 is a big cushion.
For Chicago, Malik Muhammad II and Kyle Monangai are not playing. Luther Burden III and Tyrique Stevenson Sr. are questionable. Zavier Scott and Braxton Jones are on injured reserve. Williams is listed active. For New Orleans, center Erik McCoy is doubtful. Six Saints are questionable: Taliese Fuaga, David Edwards, Kelvin Banks Jr., Quincy Riley, CJ Donaldson and Christen Miller. Alvin Kamara is active. These reports are early, well ahead of game day, so watch for final designations before Sunday's kickoff.
This is a matchup lean, not a value play: it needs 51% to break even and the market sees 50%. Keep the stake small. If a book posts +10 at a similar price, take it, since a 10-point loss would then push instead of lose.
Our Bears vs Saints prediction: Chicago wins at home, but the Saints keep it within reach. Bears 27, Saints 20. That adds up to 47, under the 49 total, and a 7-point margin covers +9.5. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Bears is the market favorite at -470 (best price at DraftKings) on the moneyline, with Saints at +430. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
The New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears game airs on Fox. Kickoff is Sunday, November 22, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET at Soldier Field in Chicago. Fox is the only network listed for this Week 11 game in our broadcast data.
The Chicago Bears are the favorite at -485 on the moneyline, with the New Orleans Saints the underdog at +430. With the vig removed, the market reads about 81.8% Bears and 18.2% Saints. The point spread is Bears -9.5.
The Saints vs Bears game kicks off Sunday, November 22, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. It is played at Soldier Field in Chicago and broadcast on Fox, as part of Week 11 of the 2026 regular season.
New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears NFL prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 49, with the over priced at -110 at Caesars and the under at -109 at BetRivers. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: NFL public betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · NFL odds · FanDuel betting splits
Depth chart starters: New Orleans Saints Tyler Shough, Chicago Bears Caleb Williams.
New Orleans Saints: Alvin Kamara (active), Barion Brown (active), Bryce Lance (active), Carl Granderson (active); Chicago Bears: Braxton Jones (injured reserve), Cairo Santos (active), Caleb Williams (active), Cam Lewis (active).
As of Nov 13, 8:29 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.