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Pittsburgh Steelers play at Philadelphia Eagles in the NFL on Sunday, November 22, at Lincoln Financial Field. As of 2:17 AM ET, Steelers are 4.5-point favorites and the total is 38.5. Prices come from 9 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans Steelers ML. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 9 sportsbooks · NFL betting splits
Latest since this preview was written: Jihaad Campbell (PHI) now out, was not listed (10:44 PM ET); Jonathan Jones (PHI) now out, was not listed (10:44 PM ET); Michael Carter II (PHI) now out, was not listed (10:44 PM ET); and 1 more change.
Neither Kalshi nor Polymarket has a market on this game that we can match, so there is no exchange buyer data to show.
| Market | Pittsburgh Steelers | Philadelphia Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -198Bet at DraftKings → | +174Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | -4.5 -110Bet at DraftKings → | +4.5 -108Bet at BetRivers → |
| Total 38.5 | O -110Bet at DraftKings → | U -105Bet at Caesars → |
As of 2:17 AM ET, the spread is Steelers -4.5 and the total is 38.5, with 9 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Steelers ML | Eagles ML | Steelers spread | Eagles spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | -210 | +170 | -4.5 -113 | +4.5 -108 | O 38.5 -113 | U 38.5 -108 |
| bet365 | -200 | +165 | -4.5 -110 | +4.5 -110 | O 38.5 -112 | U 38.5 -108 |
| betPARX | -210 | +170 | -4.5 -113 | +4.5 -108 | O 38.5 -113 | U 38.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | -210 | +170 | -4.5 -113 | +4.5 -108 | O 38.5 -113 | U 38.5 -108 |
| Caesars | -205 | +171 | -4.5 -110 | +4.5 -110 | O 38.5 -115 | U 38.5 -105 |
| DraftKings | -198 | +164 | -4.5 -110 | +4.5 -110 | O 38.5 -110 | U 38.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | -205 | +172 | -4.5 -110 | +4.5 -110 | O 38.5 -115 | U 38.5 -105 |
| Novig | -208 | +174 | -4.5 -117 | +4.5 -113 | O 38.5 -122 | U 38.5 -113 |
| ReBet | -208 | +167 | – | – | O 38.5 -110 | U 38.5 -110 |
Prices from 9 sportsbooks we track, updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Pittsburgh Steelers1st in the AFC NorthPhiladelphia Eagles4th in the NFC East
Saquon Barkley (PHI)69 CAR, 296 YDS, 3 TD (7 GP)
Aaron Rodgers (PIT)175/288, 1,871 YDS, 13 TD, 6 INT (8 GP)The Pittsburgh Steelers walk into Lincoln Financial Field as a -198 favorite. The Philadelphia Eagles will start Tanner McKee because Jalen Hurts is on injured reserve. That sounds like a free square. The math says otherwise, and that gap is why this Week 11 game is worth your time. Kickoff is Sunday, November 22 at 1:00 PM ET on CBS.
Pittsburgh is the favorite at -198. Philadelphia is the underdog at +172. As of this writing, the Steelers are 6-2 and sit first of four in the AFC North. The Eagles are 2-7 and sit fourth of four in the NFC East. This is a cross-conference game, so there is no season series to lean on.
Aaron Rodgers has played all 8 Pittsburgh games and averages 233.9 passing yards, 1.6 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions per game. His season line is 1,871 yards, 13 touchdowns and 6 interceptions over those 8 games. DK Metcalf is listed active, so Rodgers has his top target. For Philadelphia, Saquon Barkley has played 7 of the team's 9 games and averages 9.9 carries and 42.3 rushing yards per game (296 yards and 3 touchdowns over those 7 games). With a backup quarterback starting, how much Barkley gets going matters.
Start with the moneyline, a bet on who wins outright. Steelers -198 at DraftKings means a $100 bet profits $50.51. You need Pittsburgh to win 66.4% of the time just to break even. Eagles +172 at FanDuel means a $100 bet profits $172.00, with a 36.8% break-even. The spread is a handicap on the margin. Steelers -4.5 at -110 (DraftKings) wins only if Pittsburgh wins by 5 or more. A 4-point win loses.
Its break-even is 52.4%. Eagles +4.5 at -108 (BetRivers) wins if Philadelphia wins or loses by 4 or fewer, with a 51.9% break-even. The total is a bet on combined points. Over 38.5 is -110 at DraftKings (52.4% break-even). Under 38.5 is -105 at Caesars, the lower break-even of the two total prices at 51.2%. Every one of these is the best price we found. Take a worse number elsewhere and your break-even climbs.
Books bake in a fee called the vig. Strip it out and the market reads Pittsburgh at 65.6% to win and Philadelphia at 34.4%. Expected value is your average result per bet over many repeats. The spreads run minus $3.44 (Steelers) and minus $4.82 (Eagles) per $100 risked. Nothing here is positive. The smallest drag per $100 risked is the Steelers moneyline.
Philadelphia lists six names: Jalen Hurts (Injured Reserve), plus DeVonta Smith, Dontayvion Wicks, Britain Covey, Jonathan Jones and Jihaad Campbell, all Out. Smith, Wicks and Covey are wide receivers. Dallas Goedert, Elijah Mitchell and Jake Elliott are listed active. Pittsburgh has five on injured reserve: Michael Pittman Jr., Derrick Harmon, Sebastian Joseph-Day and two more. Rodgers, Metcalf, Alex Highsmith and Chris Boswell are active.
We lean Steelers moneyline at -198 at DraftKings. Be clear about what that is. It is a matchup lean, not a plus-value bet. A backup quarterback missing three receivers faces a 6-2 team, and this price costs the least per $100 risked on the board. Keep the stake small, and do not lay anything worse than -198.
We see Pittsburgh grinding it out, Rodgers moving the chains and Boswell adding points while the Eagles' depleted passing game stalls. Steelers 20, Eagles 14. That adds to 34, under the 38.5 total. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Steelers is the market favorite at -198 (best price at DraftKings) on the moneyline, with Eagles at +174. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
The Pittsburgh Steelers at Philadelphia Eagles game airs on CBS. It is played at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia on Sunday, November 22, 2026, with kickoff set for 1:00 PM Eastern time.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 22, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET at Lincoln Financial Field. The game is broadcast on CBS. It is part of Week 11 of the 2026 NFL regular season.
The Pittsburgh Steelers are the favorite at -198 on the moneyline (best at DraftKings), and the Philadelphia Eagles are the underdog at +172 (best at FanDuel). On the spread, Pittsburgh is laying 4.5 points. With the vig removed, the market reads it about 65.6% to 34.4%.
A 6-2 Steelers team visits a 2-7 Eagles team playing without Jalen Hurts, and a 38.5 total says the books expect points to be scarce. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 38.5, with the over priced at -110 at DraftKings and the under at -105 at Caesars. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: NFL public betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · NFL odds · FanDuel betting splits
Depth chart starters: Pittsburgh Steelers Aaron Rodgers, Philadelphia Eagles Tanner McKee.
Pittsburgh Steelers: Aaron Rodgers (active), Alex Highsmith (active), Ben Skowronek (active), Brandin Echols (active); Philadelphia Eagles: Arnold Ebiketie (active), Britain Covey (out), Dallas Goedert (active), Darius Cooper (active).
As of Nov 13, 8:31 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.