As of Nov 15, 2:40 AM ET, moneyline tickets split 67% Eagles, 33% Cowboys, and the money splits 64% Eagles, 36% Cowboys (licensed market-data feed, the same numbers as our betting splits board).
Cowboys vs Eagles Prediction: The Quarterback Problem
Philadelphia is 2-7, and Jalen Hurts is on injured reserve. That one fact reshapes this Week 12 trip to AT&T Stadium. The Philadelphia Eagles visit the Dallas Cowboys on Thursday, November 26, at 4:30 PM ET on Fox, and the depth chart now lists Tanner McKee at quarterback for Philly. Our cowboys vs eagles prediction starts with that hole and with an Eagles receiver room missing three names. The sportsbooks have not posted a number yet. That gives us time to do the homework before the market does.
Who Is Favored to Win Eagles vs Cowboys?
As of November 14, Dallas is 4-5 and sits 2nd of 4 in the NFC East. Philadelphia is 2-7 and sits 4th of 4. Those are records at publication, not records entering this game, and more football gets played before Thursday. With no odds posted, nobody is officially favored yet. The favorite is the team the books expect to win. The underdog is the other side.
Players to Watch
Dak Prescott has started all nine Dallas games: 218 of 336 for 2,381 yards, 16 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Per game, over those nine games, that is 264.6 yards, 1.8 touchdowns and 0.6 interceptions. That works out to nearly two scoring throws a week and fewer than one pick a game. CeeDee Lamb is listed active. For Philadelphia, Saquon Barkley leads the rushing with 69 carries for 296 yards and 3 touchdowns over seven of the team's nine games. That is 9.9 carries and 42.3 yards per game. With McKee under center and Dallas Goedert active at tight end, Barkley is the natural place for a new quarterback to lean.
What Is the Cowboys vs Eagles Spread?
There is no spread yet, and we will not quote a price that does not exist. Here is how to read the board when it arrives. The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. A minus sign marks the favorite and shows what you risk to win $100. A plus sign marks the underdog and shows what $100 wins.
The spread is a head start in points for the underdog. A favorite ticket cashes (covers) only if that team wins by more than the number. The vig is the book's built-in cut, which is why both sides usually cost a bit more than even money. Prices differ from book to book, so always check several and take the best number.
Where the Value Is
Value means a price pays more than the risk deserves. To find it, we strip the vig out of both sides of a line. What remains is the no-vig price, the market-implied probability with the bookmaker's cut removed. Expected value is the average profit or loss per $100 risked if you made the same bet many times. Without posted odds, we cannot put a dollar figure on it today, and we will not guess.
Our side read is Dallas: a home team with a quarterback averaging 264.6 passing yards per game over nine games, facing an offense without Hurts, DeVonta Smith, Dontayvion Wicks or Britain Covey. The catch is price. The break-even rate is how often a bet must win just to stop losing money. If the Cowboys come back expensive, that rate climbs and any edge can vanish.
Who Is Out for the Eagles and Cowboys?
Philadelphia has six names who will not play: Hurts on injured reserve, plus Wicks, Smith, Jonathan Jones, Covey and Jihaad Campbell, all out. Goedert, Elijah Moore, Darius Cooper and Elijah Mitchell are active. Dallas has Donovan Ezeiruaku out, and Jonathan Bullard and Tyler Goodson are on injured reserve, so none of the three will play. Joey Porter Jr., cornerback DaRon Bland and safety Alijah Clark are questionable, which means uncertain. Cornerback Devin Moore is on injured reserve. Designations can still change, so recheck the final injury report before Thursday's kickoff.
The Pick
Cowboys to win outright on the moneyline, at the best price available once books post it. There is no number or book to name today. When odds land, compare every sportsbook you can access and take the best Dallas price. If the cost pushes the break-even rate past how often we think Dallas wins, pass. This is Desk analysis, not an official play.
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The Prediction
We see Dallas controlling this one at AT&T Stadium. Prescott's steady per-game production across nine games gives the Cowboys a reliable floor. Philadelphia is asking a new starter to throw to a thinned receiver group, and Barkley's 42.3 rushing yards per game over seven games will need a bigger day than usual. Projected score: Cowboys 27, Eagles 17. That is our read on Eagles vs Cowboys before the market weighs in; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it sits right below, next to the $1 trial.
Eagles vs Cowboys FAQ
Who is favored in Eagles vs Cowboys?
With Jalen Hurts on injured reserve and three Eagles receivers ruled out, we lean to the Cowboys to win at AT&T Stadium.
Where to watch Cowboys vs Eagles?
The Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys game airs on Fox. It is played at AT&T Stadium on Thursday, November 26, 2026, with kickoff set for 4:30 PM Eastern time. This is a Week 12 regular season game.
What time is the Eagles vs Cowboys game?
Kickoff for Eagles vs Cowboys is Thursday, November 26, 2026, at 4:30 PM Eastern time. The game is played at AT&T Stadium and is broadcast on Fox. Adjust from Eastern time if you live in another time zone.
Who is favored to win Eagles vs Cowboys?
As of November 14, sportsbooks had not posted odds, so no team is officially favored yet. At that date Dallas was 4-5 and 2nd in the NFC East, while Philadelphia was 2-7 and 4th, with Jalen Hurts on injured reserve.
Who will win Cowboys vs Eagles?
With Jalen Hurts on injured reserve and three Eagles receivers ruled out, we lean to the Cowboys to win at AT&T Stadium. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
Are these NFL picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in NFL games?
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
Quick answers
Who is starting at quarterback in Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys?
Depth chart starters: Philadelphia Eagles Tanner McKee, Dallas Cowboys Dak Prescott.
Who is injured for Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys?
Philadelphia Eagles: Arnold Ebiketie (active), Britain Covey (out), Dallas Goedert (active), Darius Cooper (active); Dallas Cowboys: Ajani Cornelius (active), Alijah Clark (questionable), Brandon Aubrey (active), Brevyn Spann-Ford (active).
As of Nov 14, 1:56 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.