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New York Jets play at Los Angeles Chargers in the NFL on Sunday, November 22, at SoFi Stadium. As of 2:29 AM ET, Chargers are 1.5-point favorites and the total is 42.5. Prices come from 9 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans Jets ML. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 9 sportsbooks · NFL betting splits
Latest since this preview was written: Brenen Thompson (LAC) now doubtful, was questionable (8:44 PM ET); Deane Leonard (LAC) now active, was questionable (8:44 PM ET); Isas Waxter (LAC) now out, was questionable (8:44 PM ET); and 5 more changes.
Neither Kalshi nor Polymarket has a market on this game that we can match, so there is no exchange buyer data to show.
Polymarket US lists moneyline, spread, total, team totals and alternate and period lines for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | New York Jets | Los Angeles Chargers |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +108Bet at FanDuel → | -122Bet at Bally Bet → |
| Spread | +1.5 -110Bet at DraftKings → | -1.5 -109Bet at Caesars → |
| Total 42.5 | O -110Bet at DraftKings → | U -107Bet at Bally Bet → |
As of 2:29 AM ET, the spread is Chargers -1.5 and the total is 42.5, with 9 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Jets ML | Chargers ML | Jets spread | Chargers spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | +100 | -122 | +1.5 -112 | -1.5 -109 | O 42.5 -114 | U 42.5 -107 |
| betPARX | +100 | -122 | +1.5 -112 | -1.5 -109 | O 42.5 -114 | U 42.5 -107 |
| BetRivers | +100 | -122 | +1.5 -112 | -1.5 -109 | O 42.5 -114 | U 42.5 -107 |
| DraftKings | +105 | -125 | +1.5 -110 | -1.5 -110 | O 42.5 -110 | U 42.5 -110 |
| bet365 | +107 | -127 | +1.5 -110 | -1.5 -110 | – | – |
| Caesars | +106 | -124 | +1.5 -110 | -1.5 -109 | – | – |
| FanDuel | +108 | -126 | +1.5 -110 | -1.5 -110 | – | – |
| Novig | +104 | -127 | +1.5 -115 | -1.5 -115 | – | – |
| ReBet | +104 | -127 | – | – | O 42.5 -120 | U 42.5 -109 |
Prices from 9 sportsbooks we track, updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
New York Jets3rd in the AFC EastLos Angeles Chargers4th in the AFC West
Justin Herbert (LAC)144/235, 1,591 YDS, 6 TD, 11 INT (8 GP)
Geno Smith (NYJ)183/271, 2,078 YDS, 12 TD, 3 INT (9 GP)The Los Angeles Chargers had not won a game as of November 11. They were 0-8, and the market still makes them the favorite. The New York Jets were 2-7 on that date, and you can bet them at plus money. That gap between the records and the price is what makes this one interesting. Chargers vs Jets predictions start with a simple question: why is the winless team favored?
This is Week 11 of the 2026 regular season, Sunday, November 22 at 4:05 PM ET on Fox, at SoFi Stadium. As of November 11, the Jets were 2-7 and 3rd of 4 in the AFC East. The Chargers were 0-8 and 4th of 4 in the AFC West. Treat those records as a snapshot from that date. The Chargers are the favorite at -122, and the Jets are the underdog at +110. The market is pricing something other than the standings.
Look at the quarterbacks first. They have played different numbers of games, so we compare them per game. Geno Smith has played all nine Jets games, averaging 230.9 passing yards, 1.3 touchdowns and 0.3 interceptions per game (2,078 yards, 12 touchdowns, 3 interceptions on the season). Justin Herbert has played all eight Chargers games, averaging 198.9 yards, 0.8 touchdowns and 1.4 interceptions per game (1,591 yards, 6 touchdowns, 11 interceptions). An interception is a pass caught by the defense. Herbert is throwing more interceptions per game than touchdowns. That is a hard way to win a first game.
Start with the moneyline, a bet on who wins outright. A minus sign marks the favorite and a plus sign marks the underdog. The best Chargers odds are -122 at Bally Bet, where a $100 bet profits $81.97 if they win. The best Jets odds are +110 at DraftKings, where a $100 bet profits $110.00.
The spread is a head start in points. Jets +1.5 at -108 at bet365 wins if the Jets win outright or lose by 1, and it loses on a 2-point loss. A $100 bet profits $92.59. Chargers -1.5 at -109 at Caesars wins only if Los Angeles wins by 2 or more, so a 1-point win loses. A $100 bet profits $91.74. The half point means there is no push (a tie that refunds your stake).
The total is 42.5 combined points. The Over is best at -110 at DraftKings and the Under at -107 at Bally Bet. Books did not agree at the open: five books posted the total anywhere from 42.5 (Rebet) to 43.5 (FanDuel). That is why we line shop, meaning we check every book and take the best price.
Every price carries the vig, the sportsbook's built-in cut. Remove it and the market reads about 53.5% Chargers, 46.5% Jets. The Jets at +110 need 47.6% to break even (the win rate where you neither make nor lose money). Expected value is your average result per bet if you placed it many times. Nothing on this board is positive. Jets +1.5 is minus $3.04, the Over minus $3.00, Chargers -1.5 minus $4.79 and the Under minus $4.84, all per $100 risked. The Jets moneyline is simply the smallest leak.
As of the November 11 report, Herbert is listed Questionable, meaning his status is uncertain. DJ Uiagalelei is listed Active. Chargers listed Questionable also include Kendall Williamson, Brenen Thompson, Deane Leonard, Kayode Awosika, Isas Waxter and Justin Eboigbe. David Njoku and Denzel Perryman are on Injured Reserve, a list that sidelines a player for multiple games. For the Jets, Garrett Wilson, Trevin Wallace, Nahshon Wright and Joseph Ossai are Questionable, and VJ Payne is on Injured Reserve. Smith and Breece Hall are listed Active. Check the final report before Sunday's kickoff.
Our Jets vs Chargers prediction lands on the Jets moneyline at +110 at DraftKings. This is a matchup lean, not a value bet. We like Smith's 0.3 interceptions per game over nine games against Herbert's 1.4 per game over eight, plus the uncertainty around Herbert. Keep the stake small and take +110 or better only.
Our call: Jets 20, Chargers 17. Turnovers decide this one, and the Jets have protected the ball far better per game. That is our read on a thin number; the Desk posts a documented free play every day, and it sits right below.
Chargers is the market favorite at -122 (best price at Bally Bet) on the moneyline, with Jets at +108. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
The New York Jets at Los Angeles Chargers game airs on Fox. It is played at SoFi Stadium on Sunday, November 22, 2026, with kickoff at 4:05 PM Eastern time.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 22, 2026 at 4:05 PM ET at SoFi Stadium. The game is Week 11 of the 2026 NFL regular season and will be broadcast on Fox.
The Los Angeles Chargers are the favorite at -122 on the moneyline (best at Bally Bet), and the New York Jets are the underdog at +110 (best at DraftKings). On the spread, the Chargers are 1.5-point favorites.
The Chargers were 0-8 as of November 11 and still favored at home, so we take a small matchup lean on the Jets at +110 at DraftKings, knowing the price is a thin one. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 42.5, with the over priced at -110 at DraftKings and the under at -107 at Bally Bet. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: NFL public betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · NFL odds · FanDuel betting splits
Depth chart starters: New York Jets Geno Smith, Los Angeles Chargers Justin Herbert.
New York Jets: Adonai Mitchell (active), Blake Freeland (active), Braelon Allen (active), Breece Hall (active); Los Angeles Chargers: Brenen Thompson (questionable), Cam Hart (active), Cameron Dicker (active), Charlie Kolar (active).
As of Nov 11, 6:53 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
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