@
Los Angeles Chargers play at Baltimore Ravens in the NFL on Monday, November 16, at MT Bank Stadium. As of 2:25 AM ET, Ravens are 4.5-point favorites and the total is 38.5. Prices come from 16 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 16 sportsbooks · NFL betting splits
Latest since this preview was written: Adisa Isaac (BAL) now off the injury report, was questionable (7:05 PM ET); Jaylinn Hawkins (BAL) now out, was questionable (7:05 PM ET); Adam Randall (BAL) now injured reserve, was not listed (7:05 PM ET); and 11 more changes.
DraftKings bettors lean Ravens on the spread (56% of tickets).
| Book | BetsChargers +4.5Ravens -4.5 | MoneyChargers +4.5Ravens -4.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||
| BetMGM | Bets only |
| Book | BetsChargersRavens | MoneyChargersRavens |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Chargers (+185) / Ravens (-225)) | ||
| BetMGM (Chargers (+180) / Ravens (-220)) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOverUnder | MoneyOverUnder |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Over 38.5 / Under 38.5) | ||
| BetMGM (Over 39 / Under 39) | Bets only |
Splits data from DraftKings and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
Polymarket US lists moneyline, spread, total, team totals and alternate and period lines for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | Los Angeles Chargers | Baltimore Ravens |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +190Bet at theScore Bet → | -194Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | +4.5 -106Bet at Novig → exchange price | -4.5 +100Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Total 38.5 | O -108Bet at Courtside → | U +104Bet at Novig → exchange price |
As of 2:25 AM ET, the spread is Ravens -4.5 and the total is 38.5, with 16 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Chargers ML | Ravens ML | Chargers spread | Ravens spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | +185 | -230 | +4.5 -113 | -4.5 -107 | O 38.5 -111 | U 38.5 -109 |
| Caesars | +178 | -213 | +4.5 -114 | -4.5 -106 | O 38.5 -110 | U 38.5 -110 |
| Courtside | +189 | -220 | +4.5 -112 | -4.5 -108 | O 38.5 -108 | U 38.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | +185 | -225 | +4.5 -112 | -4.5 -108 | O 38.5 -110 | U 38.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | +180 | -220 | +4.5 -115 | -4.5 -105 | O 38.5 -115 | U 38.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | +188 | -225 | +4.5 -110 | -4.5 -110 | O 38.5 -115 | U 38.5 -105 |
| Fliff | +170 | -225 | +4.5 -115 | -4.5 -110 | O 38.5 -115 | U 38.5 -110 |
| Novig | +186 | -194 | +4.5 -106 | -4.5 +100 | O 38.5 -108 | U 38.5 +104 |
| ProphetX | +188 | -200 | +4.5 -107 | -4.5 -102 | O 38.5 -108 | U 38.5 +102 |
| Bally Bet | +180 | -230 | +4.5 -109 | -4.5 -113 | – | – |
Prices from 16 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Los Angeles Chargers4th in the AFC WestBaltimore Ravens4th in the AFC North
Derrick Henry (BAL)175 CAR, 689 YDS, 8 TD (9 GP)
Justin Herbert (LAC)144/235, 1,591 YDS, 6 TD, 11 INT (8 GP)The Los Angeles Chargers are 0-8 and 0-7-1 against the spread over eight graded games. Against the spread means a record of beating the scoring margin set by the books, and they have not beaten it once. Yet the market only asks the Baltimore Ravens to win by 5 or more, because Baltimore plays without Lamar Jackson. That gap between a struggling team and a short number is the puzzle of this Monday night at M&T Bank Stadium.
As of publication the Chargers are 0-8, fourth in the AFC West and 6.5 games back with nine left. The Ravens are 4-5, fourth in the AFC North but only 2.5 back with eight left. It is a conference game, and the last meeting, 721 days ago, went to Baltimore. The per-game averages are stark.
Los Angeles gains 4.7 yards per play and allows 5.62, and it turns the ball over 2.38 times per game over eight games. Baltimore gives it away 1.22 times per game over nine. The Chargers also travel 2,323 miles and three time zones east on seven days of rest, while the Ravens have ten days and stay home. Our rating, an Elo model used only as context, has Baltimore at 70%, near the market's 67%.
Derrick Henry has 689 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns over nine games, or 76.6 yards per game, though he is at 63 per game over his last five. Justin Herbert has 1,591 passing yards, 6 touchdowns and 11 interceptions over eight games, which is 198.9 yards and 1.4 interceptions per game. He has added 28.4 rushing yards per game over his last five. With Joe Fagnano as Baltimore's quarterback of record last game, Henry carries the offense.
Baltimore. The moneyline (a bet on who wins outright) has the Ravens at -200 at ProphetX, where $100 profits $49.00 after the book's fee. Remove the vig (the book's built-in cut) and the market reads about 67% Ravens, 33% Chargers. The half point means no push (a tie that refunds the bet). Some books moved the Chargers from +4.5 to +4, and the total has bounced between 37.5 and 38.5. Prices differ by book, so shop.
Break-even is the win rate a price needs to avoid losing long term. Expected value is the average result per $100 risked. Chargers +194 needs 34% against 33.1%: minus $2.64. The one plus number is Ravens -4.5 at +104. The matchup agrees: a turnover-prone offense, a long trip east, and Henry facing a defense allowing 122 rushing yards per game.
Baltimore has Lamar Jackson, Tyler Huntley and Adam Randall on injured reserve, with Jaylinn Hawkins and Adisa Isaac questionable. Los Angeles has Trey Pipkins III and David Njoku on injured reserve, and neither will play. Deane Leonard, Keaton Mitchell, Ladd McConkey, Branson Taylor and Brenen Thompson are questionable, which means uncertain. Check final inactives before Monday's kickoff.
It needs a Baltimore win by 5 or more, breaks even at 49%, and is the only price here the market's own math rates above water. The public split leans Baltimore too (57% of DraftKings spread tickets, 86% of Circa money), but that is information, not a reason. At a worse price the edge disappears.
Expect a grind in 44-degree air with a 3 mph wind and no rain forecast. Henry leans on a defense allowing 5.62 yards per play, and the Chargers' 2.38 turnovers per game hand Baltimore extra chances. Our LA Chargers vs Baltimore prediction: Ravens 22, Chargers 16. That adds to 38, just under 38.5, and a six-point margin clears 4.5. Watch Monday at 8:15 PM ET on ESPN. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Ravens is the market favorite at -194 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Chargers at +190. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
The Los Angeles Chargers at Baltimore Ravens game airs on ESPN. It is played at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore on Monday, November 16, 2026, with kickoff set for 8:15 PM Eastern time.
Kickoff is Monday, November 16, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET on ESPN. The forecast at M&T Bank Stadium calls for 44 degrees, a 3 mph wind from the northwest and a 0% chance of precipitation.
The Baltimore Ravens are favored at -200 on the moneyline, with the Los Angeles Chargers at +194. With the vig removed, the market reads about 67% Ravens and 33% Chargers. The point spread is Ravens -4.5 and the total is 38.5.
The winless Chargers visit a Ravens team without Lamar Jackson, and the only plus-EV price on the board is Baltimore -4.5 at +104. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 38.5, with the over priced at -108 at Courtside and the under at +104 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
Forecast for M&T Bank Stadium near game time: 43°F, wind 3 mph from the N, 0% chance of precipitation. Source: National Weather Service, captured 2026-11-15 05:39 UTC.
More for this game: NFL public betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · NFL odds · FanDuel betting splits
Public is on Ravens (57% of DraftKings tickets on the spread), Circa money is also on Ravens (86%).
Several books (4) moved the spread on away to 4 together.
Depth chart starters: Los Angeles Chargers Justin Herbert, Baltimore Ravens Lamar Jackson.
Los Angeles Chargers: Alex Harkey (active), Branson Taylor (questionable), Brenen Thompson (questionable), Cam Hart (active); Baltimore Ravens: Adisa Isaac (questionable), Aeneas Peebles (active), Derrick Henry (active), Devontez Walker (active).
Land Clark is the listed key official for this game.
On Kalshi, 52% of the money traded on the spread is on the Ravens (271 trades, $4.2k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. On Polymarket, 54% of the money traded on the moneyline is on the Ravens (80 trades, $3.3k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. On Novig, 51% of the money traded on the moneyline is on the Chargers (219 trades, $11k traded). Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 14, 7:47 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.