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Jacksonville Jaguars play at Tennessee Titans in the NFL on Sunday, November 15, at Nissan Stadium. As of 2:59 AM ET, Jaguars are 10.5-point favorites and the total is 46.5. Prices come from 16 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 16 sportsbooks · NFL betting splits
Latest since this preview was written: Peter Skoronski (TEN) now injured reserve, was not listed (8:14 PM ET); Tommy Townsend (TEN) now injured reserve, was not listed (8:14 PM ET); Tyjae Spears (TEN) now questionable, was not listed (8:14 PM ET); and 1 more change.
DraftKings bettors and Circa money lean the same way on the spread: Jaguars (76% of DraftKings tickets, 54% of Circa money).
| Book | BetsJaguarsTitans | MoneyJaguarsTitans |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Jaguars -10.5 / Titans +10.5) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Jaguars -10.5 / Titans +10.5) | ||
| BetMGM (Jaguars -11 / Titans +11) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsJaguarsTitans | MoneyJaguarsTitans |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Jaguars (-700) / Titans (+500)) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Jaguars (-590) / Titans (+450)) | ||
| BetMGM (Jaguars (-650) / Titans (+500)) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOverUnder | MoneyOverUnder |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Over 46.5 / Under 46.5) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Over 46.5 / Under 46.5) | ||
| BetMGM (Over 46 / Under 46) | Bets only |
Splits data from DraftKings, Circa and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | Jacksonville Jaguars | Tennessee Titans |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -10.5 | +10.5 |
| Total 46.5 | O | U |
| Moneyline | -590 | +450 |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. Each line shows the share of dollars and trades buyers put on each side. Lines with under 10 trades or $500 are left out. Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. Each line shows the share of dollars and trades buyers put on each side. Lines with under 10 trades or $500 are left out. A separate venue from Polymarket (international), never added into its numbers.
Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | Jacksonville Jaguars | Tennessee Titans |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -545Bet at Novig → exchange price | +519Bet at Courtside → |
| Spread | -10.5 -104Bet at Novig → exchange price | +10.5 +102Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Total 46.5 | O +102Bet at Novig → exchange price | U -104Bet at Novig → exchange price |
As of 2:59 AM ET, the spread is Jaguars -10.5 and the total is 46.5, with 16 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Jaguars ML | Titans ML | Jaguars spread | Titans spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | -625 | +425 | -10.5 -113 | +10.5 -110 | O 46.5 -109 | U 46.5 -113 |
| bet365 | -600 | +450 | -10.5 -113 | +10.5 -107 | O 46.5 -106 | U 46.5 -114 |
| betPARX | -625 | +425 | -10.5 -113 | +10.5 -110 | O 46.5 -109 | U 46.5 -113 |
| BetRivers | -625 | +425 | -10.5 -113 | +10.5 -110 | O 46.5 -109 | U 46.5 -113 |
| Caesars | -590 | +450 | -10.5 -112 | +10.5 -108 | O 46.5 -108 | U 46.5 -112 |
| Courtside | -669 | +519 | -10.5 -113 | +10.5 -103 | O 46.5 -108 | U 46.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | -700 | +500 | -10.5 -115 | +10.5 -105 | O 46.5 -110 | U 46.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | -650 | +460 | -10.5 -115 | +10.5 -105 | O 46.5 -110 | U 46.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | -700 | +500 | -10.5 -110 | +10.5 -110 | O 46.5 +100 | U 46.5 -120 |
| Novig | -545 | +525 | -10.5 -104 | +10.5 +102 | O 46.5 +102 | U 46.5 -104 |
Prices from 16 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Jacksonville Jaguars1st in the AFC SouthTennessee Titans4th in the AFC South
Cam Ward (TEN)155/248, 1,483 YDS, 6 TD, 5 INT (8 GP)
Trevor Lawrence (JAX)146/224, 1,932 YDS, 18 TD, 4 INT (8 GP)The Jacksonville Jaguars are laying -525 on the road. The Tennessee Titans are getting +519 at home. That is a 6-2 division leader against a 1-7 team, so the bettor's question is not who is better. It is whether the price already knows it. Jaguars vs Titans kicks off Sunday, November 15, at 1:00 PM ET at Nissan Stadium on Fox. This is Week 10, and the forecast is calm: 54 degrees, 5 mph wind, 0% chance of rain.
As of Saturday, Jacksonville is 6-2 and first of four in the AFC South, leading the division with nine games left. Tennessee is 1-7, fourth, and five games back. The last meeting was 315 days ago, and Tennessee lost. The per-game averages over eight games show the gap. Jacksonville gains 346.4 yards per game and allows 318.3. Tennessee gains 272.5 and allows 382.4. The Jaguars average 5.9 yards per play and 0.75 turnovers per game.
The Titans average 4.77 yards per play and 1.5 turnovers. Rest favors Tennessee: 13 days off a bye, after an overtime game. Jacksonville has 9 days of rest and is on the second game of a road trip, 596 miles from Baltimore. Against the spread (beating the betting margin, not just winning), the Jaguars are 5-3 in eight graded games and 2-1 on the road. The Titans are 4-4 in eight, but 1-3 at home.
Both quarterbacks have played all eight games, so a per-game comparison is fair. Trevor Lawrence has 1,932 yards, 18 touchdowns and 4 interceptions over eight games, or 241.5 yards and 2.3 touchdowns per game. Over his last five he is at 263.2 passing yards per game. Cam Ward has 1,483 yards, 6 touchdowns and 5 interceptions over eight games, or 185.4 yards per game, and 195.8 per game over his last five. Lawrence now faces a defense allowing 258.25 net passing yards per game.
The moneyline is a bet on who wins. Tennessee at +519 (best at Courtside) means $100 risked profits $519. So who is favored? Jacksonville, clearly. Remove the vig (the book's built-in cut) and the market reads 85.5% Jaguars, 14.5% Titans. Our rating has it 84% to 16%, close to the market. The spread evens out the matchup with points. The consensus opened Titans +10.5 and sits at +11 after 43 moves. The public split shows 97% of moneyline tickets on Jacksonville.
Break-even is how often a bet must win to stop losing money. At -525, the Jaguars need 84%. Expected value is that long-run average, not what one ticket pays. Titans +10.5 sits at plus $1.04, the Under at plus $0.15, and Jaguars -10.5 at minus $2.80. Any price worse than -525 raises the break-even and shrinks it further.
Tennessee will be without Tommy Townsend, Peter Skoronski, Cody Barton, Anthony Hill Jr. and receiver Carnell Tate, all listed out. James Williams Sr. is on injured reserve, and Tyjae Spears is questionable. Jacksonville will be without Jessie Bates III and Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig, both listed out. B.J. Green II and Eric Murray are on injured reserve, and Robert Hainsey is questionable. Lawrence, Brian Thomas Jr., Ward and Calvin Ridley are all listed active. Check the inactives before the 1:00 PM ET kickoff on Sunday.
That is $100 risked to profit $19.05. It is the biggest positive expected value on the board, but it is a small cushion. This is Desk analysis, not an official play.
Our projection is Jaguars 26, Titans 17. That adds up to 43 points, under the 46.5 total. A nine-point margin would not cover -10.5, which is why we stay on the moneyline and not the spread. The yardage gap and the turnover gap both point to Jacksonville. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play every day, and it sits right below.
Jaguars is the market favorite at -545 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Titans at +519. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
The Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans game airs on Fox. It is played at Nissan Stadium on Sunday, November 15, 2026, with kickoff set for 1:00 PM Eastern time.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 15, 2026, at 1:00 PM Eastern time at Nissan Stadium. The game is broadcast on Fox. The forecast calls for 54 degrees, a 5 mph wind and a 0% chance of precipitation.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans NFL prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 46.5, with the over priced at +102 at Novig and the under at -104 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
Forecast for Nissan Stadium near game time: 54°F, wind 5 mph from the NE, 0% chance of precipitation. Source: National Weather Service, captured 2026-11-15 07:24 UTC.
More for this game: NFL public betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · NFL odds · FanDuel betting splits
Public is on Jaguars (76% of DraftKings tickets on the spread), Circa money is also on Jaguars (51%).
The spread opened Titans +10.5 and is now +11; the total moved from 46 to 46.5; several books (3) moved the spread on away to -11.5 together; the spread moved from 10.5 to 10 toward Titans even though 75% of tickets are on Jaguars.
Depth chart starters: Jacksonville Jaguars Trevor Lawrence, Tennessee Titans Cam Ward.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Alijah Huzzie (active), Ameer Abdullah (active), Antonio Johnson (active), B.J. Green II (injured reserve); Tennessee Titans: Anthony Hill Jr. (out), Brandon Crenshaw-Dickson (active), Calvin Ridley (active), Cam Ward (active).
Alex Moore is the listed key official for this game.
On Kalshi, 88% of the money traded on the moneyline is on the Jaguars (7072 trades, $213k traded). On Polymarket, 90% of the money traded on the moneyline is on the Jaguars (117 trades, $33k traded). On Novig, 94% of the money traded on the moneyline is on the Jaguars (227 trades, $24k traded). Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 14, 6:57 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.