vs
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of trades since the market opened and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Novig does not publish trades, so there is no split of buyers. These are its prices.
Polymarket US does not publish trades, so there is no split of buyers. These are its prices.
| Arsenal win | Draw | Hull City win |
|---|---|---|
| -600Bet at theScore Bet → | +700Bet at FanDuel → | -- |
| Total goals 2.5: O -- () · U -- () | ||
As of 4:27 PM ET, with 12 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Hull ML | Arsenal ML | Hull spread | Arsenal spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | +1400 | -750 | +2.5 -163 | -2.5 +120 | O 3.5 +129 | U 3.5 -151 |
| Bally Bet | +1700 | -670 | – | – | O 3.5 +117 | U 3.5 -150 |
| BetMGM | +1150 | -650 | – | – | O 3.5 +120 | U 3.5 -165 |
| betPARX | +1600 | -715 | – | – | O 3.5 +117 | U 3.5 -150 |
| BetRivers | +1700 | -670 | – | – | O 3.5 +117 | U 3.5 -150 |
| Caesars | +1500 | -675 | – | – | – | – |
| DraftKings | +1600 | -700 | – | – | – | – |
| Fanatics | +1500 | -700 | – | – | – | – |
| FanDuel | +1400 | -750 | – | – | – | – |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1750 | -650 | – | – | – | – |
Prices from 12 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated (9 min ago). Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
ArsenalWLWDWHull CityDDLDL| Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 24 |
| Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 |
| Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14 |
Hull City have not won in five matches. Three of those were draws, and a draw at the Emirates pays +770. Arsenal sit at -600 to win, a price that asks you to risk a lot to win a little. The gap between our fair numbers and the best prices on the board decides whether you earn an edge or give one away. Here is how we read every number.
Arsenal come in at WLWDW over their last five, newest first. That is three wins, one draw and one loss. They are not flawless, but they are stacking results. Hull come in at DDLDL. That is zero wins, three draws and two losses. Hull have been hard to beat at times, but they have not found a way to win. Our brief for this game does not include the current Premier League table, so we will not guess at positions. The form gap and the prices tell you how the market sees it: a heavy home favorite against a side on a winless run.
Arsenal are favored, by a lot. But soccer has a twist American fans need to know. The main bet is a three-way moneyline. A moneyline is simply a bet on who wins, with no point spread. Soccer has three outcomes: Arsenal win, Hull win, or a draw. The bet is settled on 90 minutes, meaning regulation plus stoppage time, with no extra time and no penalties.
If you bet Arsenal and it ends 1-1, you lose. If you bet Hull and it ends 1-1, you also lose. The draw is its own bet, and it beats both win tickets. That matters most on big favorites. At -600 you risk $600 to win $100, and one late equalizer wipes it out. The draw at +770 means a $100 bet wins $770.
Start with the Arsenal odds. The best price we found is -600 at theScore Bet. A minus sign marks the favorite, and the number is what you risk to win $100. A plus sign marks the underdog, and the number is what $100 wins. As for the Hull odds, no Hull win price was posted at the regulated US books we track, so there is nothing to shop there.
The market's no-vig read strips out the vig, the sportsbook's built-in cut. It puts Arsenal at 85% and the draw at 10%. Then comes the total, a bet on combined goals. Over 3.5 means four or more goals and pays +129 at Courtside. Under 3.5 means three or fewer and costs -148 at Bally Bet. Line shopping means comparing the same bet across books, and it is the cheapest edge in betting. Every price above is the best one we saw.
Expected value, or EV, is what a bet earns on average if you could make it over and over at the same price. Positive EV means the price pays more than it should. At -591, a $100 bet profits about $16.92. At -600, it profits $16.67. That leaves you about 25 cents short of fair per $100 risked. It is a whisper of negative EV, close to breakeven.
The draw is worse. It pays $770 instead, $129 short. That is clearly negative EV even at the best book. Three Hull draws in five make a story, not a price. We have no fair price on the total, so we make no value claim there. Our read is that nothing here is a true positive-EV bet. Arsenal at the best number comes closest to fair.
The match is at Emirates Stadium in London, Arsenal's home ground. We have no weather or lineup information for this game, so we are not factoring either in. If team news drops before kickoff, recheck the prices.
Arsenal to win in 90 minutes, -600 at theScore Bet. This is a disciplined lean, not a value play. The price sits right on our fair number, and the form gap backs the favorite. If your book shows -650 or worse, pass. A worse number turns near-breakeven into paying extra for nothing. Keep the stake small, because one draw sinks it.
Our Arsenal vs Hull prediction is Arsenal 2-0. Arsenal's form should carry the day against a Hull side that has not won in five, and we expect a controlled home win rather than a goal fest. A 2-0 result would also land under 3.5 goals, though we are making no value claim on the total. The draw is the danger, and it is priced too short to chase. That is our read on this number. The Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Arsenal vs Hull City Premier League prediction, odds and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk.
Our data does not list a kickoff time. The match is scheduled for November 7, 2026, at Emirates Stadium in London. Check your sportsbook or the official Premier League schedule for the exact start time in your time zone.
Yes. Soccer's standard bet is the three-way moneyline: home win, away win, or draw in 90 minutes. The draw is a real, often valuable outcome, and a draw makes both win bets lose, which is the biggest adjustment for bettors coming from American sports.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
More for this game: Soccer betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · FanDuel betting splits
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.