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These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of trades since the market opened and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. Each line shows the share of dollars and trades buyers put on each side. Lines with under 10 trades or $500 are left out.
| Brentford win | Draw | Nottingham Forest win |
|---|---|---|
| +113Bet at ReBet → | +270Bet at FanDuel → | +250Bet at Bally Bet → |
| Total goals 2.5: O -134 (Bally Bet) · U +124 (Courtside) | ||
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
BrentfordDDLDWNottingham ForestDLLLW| Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 21 |
| Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 21 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
| Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| Brentford | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
Eighty-three percent of tracked tickets are on Brentford. The market's own math gives Brentford only a 47% chance to win in 90 minutes. That gap between the crowd and the price is the story here. Brentford sit 6th and Nottingham Forest sit 18th, but the board is not as simple as the table looks.
Brentford are favored, and the table agrees. They are 6th of 20 with 11 points from 8 matches and a +5 goal difference. Their last five league games read DLDWD, with 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match over their last 10. Forest are 18th with 6 points, a -4 goal difference and a relegation-zone spot. They read DLLLW, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.4 per match over 10.
On per-game averages, Forest take 17.13 shots but put only 3.75 on target, while Brentford allow 4.57 shots on target per game. Brentford have 2 days of rest after a 241-mile trip from Sunderland. Forest have 7 days of rest and traveled 73 miles from Ipswich, and this is game 2 of a road trip for them. Forest won the last meeting, 279 days ago.
A moneyline is a straight bet on who wins. In soccer it is three-way: Brentford win, Forest win, or a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Brentford at +106 means a $100 bet profits $106. The draw at +270 profits $270. Here is the catch. If this ends 1-1, every Brentford bet and every Forest bet loses. The market prices a draw at about one game in four, so a soccer favorite has to beat two outcomes, not one.
These are the best prices across the books we track. Brentford are +106 at ReBet, the draw is +270 at FanDuel, and Forest are +250 at FanDuel. The total goals line is 2.5, so three or more goals cashes the Over. The Over is -134 at Bally Bet (risk $134 to win $100), and the Under is +118 at Courtside. Line shopping means checking every book for the best payout, and it is the cheapest edge in betting.
Remove the vig (the book's built-in cut) and the market reads Brentford 47%, draw 26%, Forest 27%. The spread opened at Brentford -1.5, meaning they must win by two or more. The total opened at 2.5. Neither line has moved. Against the spread (ATS, meaning results versus that handicap), Forest are 3-5 in 8 graded games but 3-0 as the underdog. Brentford are 4-4 in 8, and 2-3 as the favorite. Both teams are 3-5 on over-unders in 8 games.
Expected value (EV) is what a bet earns on average per $100 if you made it over and over. Now compare those to the best numbers on the board. The draw at +270 is about -$4.90. Forest at +250 is about -$1.70. Nothing clears the bar. The public side, with 83% of the split, is the win price furthest from fair. Our rating (an Elo model) has Brentford at 65% in a two-way read that ignores the draw, and that is context only.
Kickoff is Saturday, October 31 at 11:00 AM ET on USA Net and Universo, at the Gtech Community Stadium in Brentford. The forecast is 57 F with a 5 mph wind from the ENE. That is calm enough that weather should not shape the game.
No bet at current prices. Forest are the only side we would play, and only at +256 or better. FanDuel's +250 is the best number today, and it sits just short. Until then, we hold.
Brentford are the better side by the table and by goals, and we expect them to edge it at home. Forest's shot volume will create moments, but 3.75 shots on target per game is thin. Brentford's short rest is what keeps it tight. Our Nottingham Forest vs Brentford prediction: Brentford 2-1. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Brentford is the slight market favorite at +113 (best price at ReBet) on the moneyline, with Nottingham Forest at +250. The draw is priced at +270. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Brentford vs Nottingham Forest airs on USA Net and Universo in the US. Kickoff is Saturday, October 31 at 11:00 AM ET, and the match is played at the Gtech Community Stadium in Brentford.
Brentford are favored. The best price is Brentford +106 at ReBet, with Nottingham Forest at +250 and the draw at +270, both at FanDuel. With the vig removed, the market reads Brentford 47%, Nottingham Forest 27% and the draw 26%.
The game kicks off Saturday, October 31 at 11:00 AM ET. It is broadcast on USA Net and Universo and played at the Gtech Community Stadium in Brentford, where the forecast is 57 F with a 5 mph wind.
Yes. Soccer's standard bet is the three-way moneyline: home win, away win, or draw in 90 minutes. The draw is a real, often valuable outcome, and a draw makes both win bets lose, which is the biggest adjustment for bettors coming from American sports.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
More for this game: Soccer betting splits · DraftKings betting splits
Public is on Brentford (83% of tracked tickets on the moneyline).
The spread has held at Brentford -1.5 since it opened; the total has held at 2.5.
As of Oct 30, 6:53 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.