Exchange buyers: which side buyers took (Kalshi, Polymarket, Novig, ProphetX)
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
How to read these numbers
Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of trades since the market opened and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Kalshi
Match result$3.7k traded · 205 trades
Tottenham HotspurDrawLeeds United
Trades
Money
Light trading: $3.7k so far, percentages can swingNovig
Match result pricesprice to buy each outcome
Tottenham HotspurDrawLeeds United
35¢29¢37¢
Novig does not publish trades, so there is no split of buyers. These are its prices.
Polymarket US
Match result pricesprice to buy each outcome
Tottenham HotspurDrawLeeds United
36¢29¢37¢
Polymarket US does not publish trades, so there is no split of buyers. These are its prices.
Fanatics Markets
Match result pricesprice to buy each outcome
Tottenham HotspurDrawLeeds United
35¢29¢37¢
Fanatics Markets does not publish trades, so there is no split of buyers. These are its prices.
Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur: odds, trends and our lean
📊 Match odds, best prices from the US sportsbooks and exchanges we track Live prices as of 4:15 PM ET · 3-way moneyline · 90 minutes
| Leeds United win | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur win |
|---|---|---|
| +170Bet at Polymarket → exchange price | +250Bet at theScore Bet → | +175Bet at Fanatics → |
| Total goals 2.5: O +104 (Fanatics Markets) · U -107 (BetRivers) | ||
What are the odds for Leeds United vs Tottenham at each sportsbook?
As of 4:15 PM ET, Leeds United +170 on the moneyline and the total is 2.5, with 12 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Tottenham ML | Leeds United ML | Tottenham spread | Leeds United spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | +170 | +155 | +1.5 -750 | -1.5 +410 | O 2.5 -106 | U 2.5 -110 |
| Bally Bet | +170 | +155 | – | – | O 2.5 -118 | U 2.5 -107 |
| BetMGM | +155 | +140 | – | – | O 2.5 -118 | U 2.5 -118 |
| betPARX | +165 | +150 | – | – | O 2.5 -118 | U 2.5 -107 |
| BetRivers | +170 | +155 | – | – | O 2.5 -118 | U 2.5 -107 |
| Caesars | +171 | +152 | – | – | – | – |
| DraftKings | +170 | +155 | – | – | – | – |
| Fanatics | +175 | +150 | – | – | – | – |
| FanDuel | +170 | +155 | – | – | – | – |
| Hard Rock Bet | +170 | +155 | – | – | – | – |
Prices from 12 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated (22 min ago). Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
📊 Match Breakdown real data · updated daily
Chance of each result, per the betting market (vig removed)
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Form, last 5 matches (W win · D draw · L loss)
Leeds UnitedDDDLD
Tottenham HotspurWWWDLPremier League table
| Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 24 |
| Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 |
| Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14 |
How to read this: the result probabilities come from the actual betting odds with the sportsbook's built-in fee (the vig) stripped out. Soccer has THREE outcomes, and the draw is priced like a real contender, not an afterthought.
🛈 Wise Guy Desk analysis - not an official play. A free breakdown to help you find value and bet the best number. Ross's documented plays are graded win or loss on the members board.
📘 New to soccer betting? The one rule that surprises everyone. Soccer uses a three-way moneyline: you bet Leeds United win, Tottenham Hotspur win, or the draw, settled after 90 minutes plus stoppage. Unlike American sports, a tie does NOT refund your bet, a draw beats BOTH win bets. In this match, Leeds United at +170 means a $100 bet profits $170. The total is combined goals by both teams, usually set at 2.5. +EV means the price pays better than the market-implied fair odds (vig removed). Learn free: Sports Betting 101 · Odds converter · No-vig calculator
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Tottenham vs Leeds United Prediction: Priced Like a Coin Flip
Tottenham Hotspur have won three straight. Leeds United have drawn four of their last five. And the market still makes Leeds the slight favorite at Elland Road. That gap between form and price is exactly where a bettor should slow down. Let us walk through it, number by number.
Who Is Favored to Win Leeds United vs Tottenham?
Leeds, barely. The market's no-vig read (the odds with the sportsbook's built-in fee stripped out) gives Leeds a 38% chance to win, Tottenham 35% and the draw 27%. That is close to an even three-way split. Form tells a sharper story. Leeds come in DDDLD, newest first: three straight draws, a loss, then another draw.
Tottenham come in WWWDL: three straight wins, with a draw and a loss before that. We do not have the current Premier League table in our data, so we will not guess at positions. What we can say is simple. Leeds have not won in five, but they have lost only once. Tottenham have been the team actually winning.
How Soccer Betting Works: The Three-Way Moneyline
A moneyline is a bet on who wins, with no point spread. In the NFL or NBA there are two outcomes. In soccer there are three, because a league match can end level after 90 minutes (plus stoppage time) with no overtime. So you can bet Leeds to win at +163, Tottenham to win at +186, or the draw at +251.
Plus odds show profit on a $100 bet, so $100 on the draw returns $251 profit if it finishes level. Here is the key point. If you bet Leeds and the match ends 1-1, you lose. If you bet Tottenham and it ends 1-1, you also lose. The draw is a third outcome that beats both win bets. With the market pricing a draw at 27%, that is roughly one match in four where every win ticket loses.
What Are the Leeds United Odds and Tottenham Odds?
All three best prices sit at Novig. Leeds United odds: +163. Draw: +251. Tottenham odds: +186. Those are the best numbers across the regulated US books we track, and that matters because the same bet pays more at one shop than another. Comparing books for the best price is called line shopping, and it is the cheapest edge in betting.
Add up the chances implied by those three prices and you get about 101.5%. The extra 1.5% is the hold, the book's cut. That is a thin hold. On total goals (a bet on the combined goals both teams score), the 2.5 line is Over -106 at Courtside and Under -106 at BetRivers. Minus odds show what you risk to win $100, so -106 means risking $106 to win $100.
Where the Value Is
Expected value (EV) is what a bet is worth on average if you could make it thousands of times. Positive EV means the price pays more than the real risk deserves. Our fair price is the +EV board's calibrated estimate of what each side should pay. Every best price is a few cents short of fair, so nothing here is a true positive-EV bet.
In dollars, $100 on Leeds at +163 is worth about $1.87 less than it costs. Tottenham at +186 is about $1.04 short. The draw at +251 is the closest, roughly 85 cents short per $100. That is near break-even, and it lines up with a Leeds side that keeps finishing level.
Where Is Leeds United vs Tottenham Played?
Elland Road in Leeds, on November 7, 2026. Our data does not include weather or a confirmed kickoff time, so we will not guess at either. The venue is the one clear factor in the home column, since recent results favor Tottenham.
The Pick
Be clear on what this is. It is the smallest gap to our fair price on the board, backed by four draws in Leeds' last five. It is not a priced-in edge, so keep the stake small. Do not take it shorter than +251. This is Desk analysis, not an official play.
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The Prediction
Tottenham arrive on three straight wins. Leeds arrive on three straight draws. Something has to give, and we think it is the winning streak, not the draw habit. Expect a tight, careful match at Elland Road with few clean chances. Our projected score: Leeds United 1, Tottenham 1. Shop the number, keep the stake modest, and respect how thin this market is. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
More Premier League matchups
Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur FAQ
Who is favored in Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Leeds United is the slight market favorite at +170 (best price at Polymarket) on the moneyline, with Tottenham Hotspur at +175. The draw is priced at +250. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
What time is the Leeds United vs Tottenham game?
The match is set for November 7, 2026 at Elland Road in Leeds. Our data does not include a confirmed kickoff time, so check your sportsbook or the Premier League's official schedule for the exact start time in your time zone.
How have Leeds United and Tottenham played recently?
Leeds United's last five results, newest first, are DDDLD: four draws and one loss. Tottenham's last five, newest first, are WWWDL: three straight wins, preceded by a draw and a loss.
Can you bet on a draw in Premier League?
Yes. Soccer's standard bet is the three-way moneyline: home win, away win, or draw in 90 minutes. The draw is a real, often valuable outcome, and a draw makes both win bets lose, which is the biggest adjustment for bettors coming from American sports.
Are these Premier League picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
More for this game: Soccer betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · FanDuel betting splits