Predators vs Kings Prediction & Odds (Nov 10)

Kings vs Predators Prediction: The Hot Team Is the Underdog

The Nashville Predators are 12-3 against the spread as an underdog this season, over 17 graded games total. Against the spread means beating the betting margin the books set, which in hockey is usually 1.5 goals. That night they are an underdog again, against a Los Angeles Kings team sitting at 5-8-2. That gap between form and price is the story of Predators vs Kings. Puck drops Tuesday, November 10 at 10:00 PM ET on Disney+, ESPN+ and Hulu.

The Matchup: How Do the Predators and Kings Stack Up?

Nashville is 8-4-5 (wins, regulation losses, overtime or shootout losses), 4th of 8 in the Central Division and 7 back of the lead. Los Angeles is 5-8-2, 7th of 8 in the Pacific and 17 back. Over the last five games, the Predators average 4 goals for and 3 against per game. The Kings sit at 2.6 for and 2.6 against.

A headline this week billed Nashville as bringing a win streak west. Both teams had two days of rest. Nashville traveled 1,776 miles, crossed two time zones west and faces a late start on its home body clock. Los Angeles plays game 5 of a home stand. The Kings won the last meeting, 218 days ago.

Players to Watch

Filip Forsberg leads the Predators at 20 over 17 games, 1.2 per game. Artemi Panarin leads the Kings at 18 over 15 games, also 1.2 per game. Same pace. Panarin's recent run: 1.4 points and 3.2 shots on goal per game over his last five. Forsberg: 1.2 points and 2.2 shots per game over his last five. In net, the listed starters are Juuse Saros for Nashville and Anton Forsberg for Los Angeles (a goalie, not to be confused with Filip). Darcy Kuemper started the Kings' last game.

Predators Odds and Kings Odds: Who Is Favored?

The moneyline is a bet on who wins. The Predators are the underdog at +118, best at betPARX: $100 profits $118. Remove the vig (the house's built-in fee) and the market reads it 54.7% Kings, 45.3% Predators. Our rating, an Elo model built on past results, says 55% to 45%, matching the market as context. The puck line is hockey's spread. The total, combined goals, is 6.5: Over +115 at theScore Bet, Under -122 at Courtside. It opened at 5.5 and moved to 6.5.

Where the Value Is

Break-even is the win rate a price needs to avoid losing money over time. Expected value is your average result per bet if you could repeat it forever. Predators +1.5 is minus $0.12, Kings -1.5 minus $1.37, Over minus $1.70, Under minus $1.23, all per $100 risked. One price clears its bar: the Kings at Novig. The edge is 22 cents per $100.

Take a worse number and it disappears. The counterpoint is real: the Kings are 1-3 against the spread as a favorite, a four-game sample. The public split is mixed too: 52% of moneyline tickets but 89% of the money sit on Los Angeles, while on Kalshi 90% of the money traded on the moneyline is on the Predators. Neither split is a reason to bet.

Injuries: Is Jonathan Marchessault Playing?

Nashville lists Jonathan Marchessault (RW) as Day-To-Day on a report dated November 4, so his status is uncertain until closer to puck drop. Los Angeles lists three names: Erik Gustafsson (D) Out, plus Jakub Dvorak (D) and Kevin Fiala (LW) on Injured Reserve.

The Pick

This is a lean on the number, not a big swing. If your book only offers a worse price, pass.

The Prediction

Nashville's recent scoring is real, but the long trip, two time zones and a late body-clock start meet a Kings team at home. We call it Kings 3, Predators 2. That adds up to 5 goals, under the 6.5 total, though we are not betting the total because both sides carry negative expectation. A one-goal Kings win would also cash Predators +1.5, a reminder that the puck line is its own bet. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.