Islanders vs Kings Prediction, Picks & Odds (Nov 12) | WGT
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Islanders vs Kings Prediction & Odds (Nov 12)

Quick answer
Islanders vs Kings at crypto.com Arena has ended. Final: New York Islanders 5, Los Angeles Kings 2. Before it started, the page listed spread Kings -1.5, total 5.5 and moneyline +115 / -117 (away / home). Injury report: LA Erik Gustafsson (Out) and 1 more; NYI Jean-Gabriel Pageau (Out) and 3 more.
From the numbers on this page, compiled by the Wise Guy Desk. Page content last changed November 13, 2026.
New York Islanders vs Los Angeles Kings NHL prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. ยท crypto.com Arena
SpreadKings -1.5
Total5.5
Moneyline, away / home+115 / -117
Puck dropThu, Nov 12, 10:00 PM ET

Who was the public betting on Islanders vs Kings?

Public is on Kings moneyline (59% of DraftKings tickets), but Circa money leans Islanders (94%).

Moneyline
BookBetsIslandersKingsMoneyIslandersKings
DraftKings (Islanders (+105) / Kings (-125))
Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Islanders (+104) / Kings (-116))
BetMGM (Islanders (+100) / Kings (-120))Bets only
Puck line
BookBetsIslanders +1.5Kings -1.5MoneyIslanders +1.5Kings -1.5
DraftKings
Total
BookBetsOverUnderMoneyOverUnder
DraftKings (Over 5.5 / Under 5.5)
Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Over 6 / Under 6)
BetMGM (Over 6 / Under 6)Bets only

Splits data from DraftKings, Circa and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits ยท Circa betting splits

Circa closing read sharp Vegas reference, not bettable here
MarketNew York IslandersLos Angeles Kings
Total 6OU
Moneyline+104-116

. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.

Exchange buyers before puck drop: New York Islanders at Los Angeles Kings

Novig and ProphetX listed this game, but not enough traded before kickoff to show the buyers (we show markets with at least 10 trades and $500 traded).

How the number moved: New York Islanders at Los Angeles Kings

MarketOpenedClosedCirca closed
Spread (home line)-1.5-1.5n/a
Total5.55.5n/a
Moneyline (away / home)n/a+105 / -121n/a

Opened is the first number we saw and closed the last before puck drop, the median across the books we track. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book, shown as a reference.

New York Islanders vs Los Angeles Kings: odds, trends and our lean

๐Ÿ“Š Best prices from the US sportsbooks and exchanges we track (exchange prices are marked) Prices when this preview was published
MarketNew York IslandersLos Angeles Kings
Moneyline+115Pregame price at Novig → exchange price-117Pregame price at Novig → exchange price
Spread+1.5 -223Pregame price at Novig → exchange price-1.5 +213Pregame price at Novig → exchange price
Total 5.5O -125Pregame price at Novig → exchange priceU +117Pregame price at Novig → exchange price
๐Ÿ“Š Team Breakdown archived pregame data
Season win %
New York Islanders
41%
Los Angeles Kings
31%
Chance to win, per the betting market (vig removed)

Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →

Players to watch
Artemi PanarinArtemi Panarin (LA)18 (16 GP)
Bo HorvatBo Horvat (NYI)17 (17 GP)
How to read this: "chance to win per the betting market" comes from the actual odds with the sportsbook's built-in fee (the vig) stripped out, the market's honest opinion of the game.
๐Ÿ›ˆ Wise Guy Desk analysis - not an official play. A free breakdown to help you find value and bet the best number. Ross's documented plays are graded win or loss on the members board.
๐Ÿ“˜ New to betting? Two-minute translation. A moneyline bet is picking who wins, nothing else. In this game, +115 means a $100 bet profits $115 if it wins. The spread is a head start: -7.5 must win by 8+, while +7.5 cashes by losing by 7 or fewer (or winning). The total is combined points by both teams, over or under the books' number. +EV means the price pays better than the market-implied fair odds (vig removed); consistently taking better prices raises your expected return over time. Learn free: Sports Betting 101 ยท Odds converter ยท No-vig calculator

Islanders vs Kings Prediction: A Favorite With a Shaky Rรฉsumรฉ

The Los Angeles Kings are 5-9-2 as of this writing and 1-4 against the spread as a favorite over five games. The market still makes them the favorite that night. The New York Islanders visit crypto.com Arena for game 2 of a road trip, with puck drop Thursday, November 12 at 10:00 PM ET on Disney+, ESPN+ and Hulu. For the Islanders, that is a late start on their home body clock.

Kings vs Islanders: How the Two Teams Stack Up

As of this writing, the Islanders are 7-6-4. That reads as wins, regulation losses, then overtime or shootout losses. They sit 14 points back of their division lead with 65 games left. The Kings are 7th of 8 in the Pacific Division, 19 back with 66 left. LA leads the season series 1-0 and won the last meeting 21 days ago. The Islanders have 2 days of rest and traveled 306 miles from San Jose with no time-zone change.

Their last game went to overtime. The Kings have 1 day of rest on game 6 of a home stand. Over the last five games, the Islanders score 3 and allow 4 per game, while the Kings score and allow 2.6 per game. Against the spread (ATS) means results against the betting line instead of straight wins. The Islanders are 8-5 ATS as an underdog over 13 games.

Players to Watch

Artemi Panarin leads LA with 18 points over 16 games, 1.1 per game. Over his last five he is averaging 3.8 shots and 1.4 points per game. Bo Horvat leads the Islanders with 17 points over 17 games, 1.0 per game. Over his last five he averages 3.6 shots and 0.8 points per game. In goal, Ilya Sorokin is listed for the Islanders. Darcy Kuemper is listed for the Kings, even though Anton Forsberg started 3 of LA's last 5.

Who Is Favored to Win Islanders vs Kings?

The moneyline is a bet on who wins, period. A minus sign marks the favorite. Kings odds are -117, so a $100 bet profits $85.47. A plus sign marks the underdog. Islanders odds are +115, so a $100 bet profits $115.00. Both best prices sit at Novig, and line shopping (comparing books for the best payout) is how you get them. The vig is the book's built-in fee. Strip it out and the market reads Kings 53.2%, Islanders 46.8%. The puck line is hockey's spread. The total is 5.5 goals: Over -125, Under +117. Our rating has LA at 54% as context only.

Where the Value Is

Break-even is how often a bet must win to stop losing money. Islanders +115 needs 46.5%. Expected value is an average over many bets, not what you collect on one ticket. Islanders +1.5 is a separate bet on the margin. Both totals grade negative: Over minus $0.93, Under minus $2.43. The edge here is real but thin.

Who Is Out for the Islanders and Kings?

The Islanders list four names. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (C) is Out. Mathew Barzal (C), Calum Ritchie (C) and Alexander Romanov (D) are on Injured Reserve. The Kings list two. Erik Gustafsson (D) is Out and Jakub Dvorak (D) is on Injured Reserve.

The Pick

The price pays a touch more than the market's own vig-free read. Size it small, because the cushion is pennies.

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The Prediction

Sorokin keeps it close, Horvat finds a lane, and the Islanders steal one late: Islanders 3, Kings 2. That adds to five goals, under the 5.5 total. We still pass on the Under, because +117 grades negative. That is the read on this number; the Desk also posts a documented free daily play, and it sits right below.

Injury Report

LAErik Gustafsson (Out), Jakub Dvorak (Injured Reserve)
NYIJean-Gabriel Pageau (Out), Mathew Barzal (Injured Reserve), Calum Ritchie (Injured Reserve), Alexander Romanov (Injured Reserve)

Islanders vs Kings FAQ

Who was favored in Islanders vs Kings?

Kings is the market favorite at -117 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Islanders at +115. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.

What time is the Islanders vs Kings game?

Puck drop is Thursday, November 12 at 10:00 PM ET at crypto.com Arena. The game is available on Disney+, ESPN+ and Hulu.

What was the pregame read on Kings vs Islanders?

New York Islanders vs Los Angeles Kings NHL prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.

What is the total (over/under) for Islanders vs Kings?

The total is 5.5, with the over priced at -125 at Novig and the under at +117 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.

Are these NHL picks free?

Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.

How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in NHL games?

Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.

This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.

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