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New York Islanders play at Anaheim Ducks in the NHL on Saturday, November 14, at Honda Center. As of 5:34 AM ET, Ducks are the moneyline favorite at -104 and the total is 6.5. Prices come from 15 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 15 sportsbooks · NHL betting splits
DraftKings bettors lean Ducks on the moneyline (86% of tickets).
| Book | BetsIslanders (-105)Ducks (-115) | MoneyIslanders (-105)Ducks (-115) |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||
| BetMGM | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOver 6.5Under 6.5 | MoneyOver 6.5Under 6.5 |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | Bets only |
Splits data from DraftKings and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
| Market | New York Islanders | Anaheim Ducks |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +102Bet at Novig → exchange price | -104Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | +1.5 -240Bet at ProphetX → exchange price | -1.5 +225Bet at ProphetX → exchange price |
| Total 6.5 | O -118Bet at Bally Bet → | U +113Bet at Novig → exchange price |
As of 5:34 AM ET, Ducks -104 on the moneyline and the total is 6.5, with 15 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Islanders ML | Ducks ML | Islanders spread | Ducks spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | +100 | -120 | +1.5 -265 | -1.5 +210 | O 6.5 -118 | U 6.5 -106 |
| bet365 | -107 | -113 | +1.5 -250 | -1.5 +205 | O 6.5 -127 | U 6.5 +107 |
| betPARX | +100 | -120 | +1.5 -265 | -1.5 +210 | O 6.5 -118 | U 6.5 -106 |
| BetRivers | +100 | -120 | +1.5 -265 | -1.5 +210 | O 6.5 -118 | U 6.5 -106 |
| Caesars | -103 | -115 | +1.5 -250 | -1.5 +205 | O 6.5 -130 | U 6.5 +107 |
| DraftKings | -105 | -115 | +1.5 -258 | -1.5 +210 | O 6.5 -130 | U 6.5 +110 |
| Fanatics | -105 | -115 | +1.5 -255 | -1.5 +200 | O 6.5 -125 | U 6.5 +105 |
| FanDuel | -104 | -115 | +1.5 -250 | -1.5 +198 | O 6.5 -124 | U 6.5 +102 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -105 | -115 | +1.5 -250 | -1.5 +180 | O 6.5 -130 | U 6.5 +105 |
| ProphetX | +104 | -107 | +1.5 -240 | -1.5 +225 | O 6.5 -122 | U 6.5 +114 |
Prices from 15 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
With the vig removed, the betting market makes the Ducks about a 51.4% to 48.6% favorite. Our rating, an Elo model built on past results, has the home side at 58%. When the model and the market split that far, and only one price on the whole board grades positive, the fine print matters. The New York Islanders visit the Anaheim Ducks on Saturday, November 14 at 10:00 PM ET, on ESPN+, MSGSN, KCOP and Prime Video (Local).
As of publication, the Islanders are 8-6-4 and 12 back of their division lead. The Ducks are 10-8-1, third of eight in the Pacific Division and 10 back. New York won the only meeting, 25 days ago, so it leads the season series 1-0. The Islanders come in on 1 day of rest, playing game 3 of a road trip, just 24 miles from their last game in Los Angeles with no time-zone change, though it is a late start on their home body clock.
Anaheim has 2 days of rest and is on game 3 of a home stand. Both teams have been leaky. Over the last five games, Anaheim scored 3 and allowed 4.4 per game, and New York scored 3 and allowed 4. Season averages per game show one clear gap: the Ducks score 1.32 power-play goals (goals scored while the other team has a player in the penalty box), the Islanders just 0.5.
Leo Carlsson leads Anaheim with 26 points (goals plus assists) over 19 games, 1.4 per game. Bo Horvat leads New York with 18 points over 18 games, 1.0 per game. Over his last five games Carlsson sits at 1 point per game, down from 1.5 over his last ten. Over Horvat's last five he is putting 3.4 shots on goal per game. The listed starting goalies are Ilya Sorokin for the Islanders and Laurent Brossoit for the Ducks. L. Dostal started 3 of Anaheim's last 5, so confirm the starter before Saturday's puck drop.
Barely the Ducks. The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. Strip out the vig (the book's built-in cut) and the market reads Anaheim about 51.4%, New York 48.6%. The puck line is hockey's spread, a bet on the margin. Islanders +1.5 at -240 (Caesars) wins if New York wins or loses by one goal. Ducks -1.5 at +205 (DraftKings) needs a two-goal Anaheim win.
Neither the puck line nor the total has moved since opening. Against the spread (record betting the puck line), New York is 9-5 as an underdog over 14 games, while Anaheim is 2-4 as a favorite over 6. Exchange money leans Anaheim: 72% on Kalshi (86 trades, $1.2k traded) and 79% on Polymarket (20 trades, $501 traded), light trading that can swing.
Break-even is how often a bet must win to come out even. Expected value is the average result per $100 risked over many bets, not what you collect on one. The Under is minus $0.37, the Over minus $2.10, Ducks -1.5 minus $7.72. That is a nickel. Anything worse than +106 erases it.
New York lists four names. Mathew Barzal, Calum Ritchie and Alexander Romanov are on injured reserve and not playing. Jean-Gabriel Pageau is day-to-day, which means uncertain. Anaheim lists three, all on injured reserve: Ryan Poehling, Ian Moore and A.J. Greer.
It wins if New York wins the game. Risk $100 to profit $106.00, break-even 48.5%. Shop it, because Novig is the best number we track.
For anyone searching ducks vs islanders prediction, we see a tight, loose game: Islanders 4, Ducks 3. That adds to 7 goals, over the 6.5 total, but the Over grades negative at -117, so we pass on it. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play, and it sits right below.
Ducks is the market favorite at -104 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Islanders at +102. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
The New York Islanders at Anaheim Ducks game is listed on ESPN+, MSGSN, KCOP and Prime Video (Local). It is played at Honda Center in Anaheim on Saturday, November 14, with puck drop at 10:00 PM Eastern time.
New York Islanders vs Anaheim Ducks NHL prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 6.5, with the over priced at -118 at Bally Bet and the under at +113 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: NHL picks today · NHL betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · NHL odds · FanDuel betting splits
The spread has held at Ducks -1.5 since it opened; the total has held at 6.5.
Listed in goal: New York Islanders Ilya Sorokin, Anaheim Ducks Laurent Brossoit.
New York Islanders: Alexander Romanov (injured reserve), Calum Ritchie (injured reserve), Jean-Gabriel Pageau (day-to-day), Mathew Barzal (injured reserve); Anaheim Ducks: A.J. Greer (injured reserve), Ian Moore (injured reserve), Ryan Poehling (injured reserve).
On Kalshi, 72% of the money traded on the moneyline is on the Ducks (86 trades, $1.2k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. On Polymarket, 79% of the money traded on the moneyline is on the Ducks (20 trades, $501 traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 13, 3:22 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.
