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Buffalo Sabres play at Dallas Stars in the NHL on Saturday, November 14, at American Airlines Center. As of 5:35 AM ET, Stars are the moneyline favorite at -135 and the total is 6.5. Prices come from 13 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans Sabres ML.
Prices updated · from 13 sportsbooks · NHL betting splits
DraftKings bettors lean Stars on the moneyline (89% of tickets).
| Book | BetsSabresStars | MoneySabresStars |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Sabres (+120) / Stars (-142)) | ||
| BetMGM (Sabres (+115) / Stars (-140)) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOver 6Under 6 | MoneyOver 6Under 6 |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | Bets only |
Splits data from DraftKings and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
| Market | Buffalo Sabres | Dallas Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +133Bet at Fanatics Markets → | -135Bet at Hard Rock Bet → |
| Spread | +1.5 -200Bet at BetMGM → | -1.5 +194Bet at Polymarket → exchange price |
| Total 6.5 | O +110Bet at FanDuel → | U -122Bet at Courtside → |
As of 5:35 AM ET, Stars -135 on the moneyline and the total is 6.5, with 13 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Sabres ML | Stars ML | Sabres spread | Stars spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | +117 | -139 | +1.5 -230 | -1.5 +180 | O 6.5 +107 | U 6.5 -132 |
| bet365 | +120 | -140 | +1.5 -220 | -1.5 +180 | O 6.5 +105 | U 6.5 -125 |
| betPARX | +117 | -139 | +1.5 -230 | -1.5 +180 | O 6.5 +107 | U 6.5 -132 |
| BetRivers | +117 | -139 | +1.5 -230 | -1.5 +180 | O 6.5 +107 | U 6.5 -132 |
| Courtside | +122 | -139 | +1.5 -218 | -1.5 +180 | O 6.5 +107 | U 6.5 -122 |
| DraftKings | +120 | -142 | +1.5 -218 | -1.5 +180 | O 6.5 +105 | U 6.5 -125 |
| Fanatics | +115 | -140 | +1.5 -225 | -1.5 +180 | O 6.5 +105 | U 6.5 -125 |
| FanDuel | +114 | -137 | +1.5 -215 | -1.5 +172 | O 6.5 +110 | U 6.5 -134 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +115 | -135 | +1.5 -210 | -1.5 +160 | O 6.5 +105 | U 6.5 -130 |
| theScore Bet | +120 | -140 | +1.5 -215 | -1.5 +170 | O 6.5 +110 | U 6.5 -130 |
Prices from 13 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Buffalo Sabres6th in the Atlantic DivisionDallas Stars4th in the Central DivisionOver their last five games, the Buffalo Sabres have put 33.8 shots per game on net. The Dallas Stars have managed 20.8. Yet Dallas is the favorite when the puck drops at 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, at American Airlines Center. That gap between recent play and the price is where this Sabres vs Stars read starts.
As of publication, Buffalo is 8-7-4, sixth of eight in the Atlantic and 8 points back of the division lead. Dallas is 10-6-2, fourth of eight in the Central and 10 back. The Stars lead the season series 1-0 after a win 37 days ago. Buffalo is on a losing streak and arrives tired. This is its third game in four days, after an overtime loss in Chicago, and it traveled 802 miles.
It does have one day of rest, so it is not playing on a back-to-back. Dallas also has one day off and is three games into a home stand. Over the last five games, Dallas has scored 2.6 goals per game and allowed 3.6. Buffalo has scored 2.8 and allowed 3.2. One betting note: Dallas is 3-8 against the spread at home, meaning it beat the betting margin only 3 times in 11 home games, and it is 5-11 against the spread as a favorite.
Mikko Rantanen leads Dallas with 21 points over 18 games, 1.2 per game. Over his last five he is at 1.8 shots and 1 point per game. Tage Thompson leads Buffalo with 21 points over 19 games, 1.1 per game. Over his last five he is at 2.4 shots and 0.8 points per game. In goal, the listed starters are Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen for Buffalo and Jake Oettinger for Dallas.
The moneyline is a bet on who wins the game outright. Dallas is the favorite at -135 (best at Hard Rock Bet). A $100 bet profits $74.07, and it has to win 57.4% of the time to break even. Buffalo is the underdog at +138 (best at Kalshi). A $100 bet profits $128.72 after the fee and breaks even at 43.7%. The puck line is hockey's spread, a bet on the winning margin. Buffalo +1.5 at -209 (Caesars) wins if the Sabres win or lose by one goal.
Dallas -1.5 at +180 (DraftKings) needs a win by two or more. The total is 6.5 goals. Over +112 (Courtside) breaks even at 47.2%, and Under -125 (Fanatics) breaks even at 55.6%. The vig is the house's built-in cut. With it removed, the market makes Dallas about 56.7% to win and Buffalo 43.3%. Neither the puck line nor the total has moved since opening. On Kalshi, 77% of the money traded on the moneyline is on the Stars, on light volume. Shop every book, because these best prices are spread across six of them.
Expected value is what a bet earns on average if you made it many times. Here, every price comes in negative against the market's own read. Our rating makes Dallas a 59% winner, a little stronger than the market's view, so treat that as a caution. Our case for Buffalo is a matchup read. Dallas lists Miro Heiskanen and Lian Bichsel as Out, has Kyle Capobianco on injured reserve, and has allowed 3.6 goals per game over its last five. Buffalo has been creating more shots. That is a small-stake lean, not a strong edge.
Dallas lists five names: Miro Heiskanen (D, Out), Lian Bichsel (D, Out), Kyle Capobianco (D, Injured Reserve), Matt Duchene (C, Injured Reserve) and Oskar Back (C, Injured Reserve). Buffalo lists three on injured reserve: Justin Danforth (RW), Konsta Helenius (C) and Matt Grzelcyk (D).
Sabres moneyline at +138 at Kalshi. At anything shorter, the cost climbs and we would pass.
We see the Sabres' volume beating a thinned Dallas blue line, Buffalo 3, Dallas 2. That is our read on this number, and the Desk's documented free play for today sits right below.
Stars is the market favorite at -135 (best price at Hard Rock Bet) on the moneyline, with Sabres at +133. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
The Dallas Stars are the favorite at -135 (best at Hard Rock Bet), and the Buffalo Sabres are the underdog at +138 (best at Kalshi). With the vig removed, the market gives Dallas about 56.7% and Buffalo about 43.3%.
Dallas is short two defensemen listed as Out, including Miro Heiskanen, and still costs -135, so we lean Buffalo at +138, a thin price worth taking only at the best number. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 6.5, with the over priced at +110 at FanDuel and the under at -122 at Courtside. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: NHL picks today · NHL betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · NHL odds · FanDuel betting splits
The spread has held at Stars -1.5 since it opened; the total has held at 6.5.
Listed in goal: Buffalo Sabres Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen, Dallas Stars Jake Oettinger.
Buffalo Sabres: Justin Danforth (injured reserve), Konsta Helenius (injured reserve), Matt Grzelcyk (injured reserve); Dallas Stars: Kyle Capobianco (injured reserve), Lian Bichsel (out), Matt Duchene (injured reserve), Miro Heiskanen (out).
On Kalshi, 77% of the money traded on the moneyline is on the Stars (70 trades, $885 traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 13, 3:21 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.
