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Colorado Avalanche play at Montreal Canadiens in the NHL on Saturday, November 14, at Bell Centre. As of 5:25 AM ET, Canadiens are the moneyline favorite at -114 and the total is 6.5. Prices come from 15 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans Under 6.5. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 15 sportsbooks · NHL betting splits
DraftKings bettors and Circa money lean the same way on the moneyline: Canadiens (72% of DraftKings tickets, 59% of Circa money).
| Book | BetsAvalancheCanadiens | MoneyAvalancheCanadiens |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Avalanche (+102) / Canadiens (-122)) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Avalanche (+103) / Canadiens (-115)) | ||
| BetMGM (Avalanche (+105) / Canadiens (-125)) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOverUnder | MoneyOverUnder |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Over 6.5 / Under 6.5) | ||
| BetMGM (Over 6 / Under 6) | Bets only |
Splits data from DraftKings, Circa and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | Colorado Avalanche | Montreal Canadiens |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +103 | -115 |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
Polymarket US lists moneyline, spread and alternate and period lines for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | Colorado Avalanche | Montreal Canadiens |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +115Bet at Novig → exchange price | -114betPARX |
| Spread | +1.5 -220Bet at BetMGM → | -1.5 +220betPARX |
| Total 6.5 | O +111Bet at Novig → exchange price | U -115Bet at Novig → exchange price |
As of 5:25 AM ET, Canadiens -114 on the moneyline and the total is 6.5, with 15 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Avalanche ML | Canadiens ML | Avalanche spread | Canadiens spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | -105 | -114 | +1.5 -278 | -1.5 +220 | O 6.5 -103 | U 6.5 -121 |
| bet365 | -101 | -119 | +1.5 -250 | -1.5 +205 | O 6.5 +104 | U 6.5 -124 |
| betPARX | -105 | -114 | +1.5 -278 | -1.5 +220 | O 6.5 -103 | U 6.5 -121 |
| BetRivers | -105 | -114 | +1.5 -278 | -1.5 +220 | O 6.5 -103 | U 6.5 -121 |
| Courtside | +104 | -120 | +1.5 -245 | -1.5 +200 | O 6.5 +107 | U 6.5 -122 |
| DraftKings | +102 | -122 | +1.5 -245 | -1.5 +200 | O 6.5 +105 | U 6.5 -125 |
| Fanatics | +105 | -125 | +1.5 -240 | -1.5 +190 | O 6.5 +105 | U 6.5 -125 |
| FanDuel | +104 | -125 | +1.5 -235 | -1.5 +186 | O 6.5 +102 | U 6.5 -124 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +105 | -125 | +1.5 -250 | -1.5 +180 | O 6.5 +100 | U 6.5 -120 |
| Novig | +115 | -117 | +1.5 -228 | -1.5 +208 | O 6.5 +111 | U 6.5 -115 |
Prices from 15 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Colorado Avalanche3rd in the Central DivisionMontreal Canadiens2nd in the Atlantic DivisionThis total opened at 5.5 goals and now sits at 6.5. In hockey, one goal swings most nights, so a full goal of movement tells you the market expects a track meet. Add a moneyline that is close to a coin flip, plus Nathan MacKinnon and Cale Makar both listed day-to-day for the Colorado Avalanche, and this game against the Montreal Canadiens comes down to the price. Puck drop is Saturday, November 14 at 7:00 PM ET at the Bell Centre, on ESPN+, Altitude 2 Sports and KTVD-TV (My20).
As of this writing, the Avalanche are 11-6-3 (wins, regulation losses, overtime losses), 3rd of 8 in the Central Division and 7 back of the lead. The Canadiens are 12-3-4. This is the first meeting of the season. The last one, 289 days ago, went to Montreal. Both teams have one day of rest and neither is on a back-to-back.
The Avalanche play game 3 of a road trip after an overtime game in Ottawa, 103 miles away. The Canadiens come 252 miles from Boston. Per game, the Avalanche average 30.2 shots and allow 27.35, while the Canadiens average 27.79 and allow 28.26. Over their last five, the Avalanche scored 3.6 and allowed 4.4 per game, the Canadiens 3.8 and 3.
MacKinnon has 30 points over 20 games, 1.5 per game, though he has cooled to 1 point per game over his last five. Cole Caufield has 18 points over 19 games, 0.9 per game, and is hot at 1.2 points and 3.8 shots per game over his last five. In net, Mackenzie Blackwood is the Avalanche's listed starter. Jacob Fowler is listed for the Canadiens and has started 4 of their last 5.
The moneyline is a bet on who wins. The Canadiens are -114 at FanDuel: risk $100 to profit $87.72. The Avalanche are +108 at Fanatics Markets, where $100 profits $99.69 after the book's fee. Strip out the vig (the book's built-in cut) and the market reads about 51% Canadiens, 49% Avalanche. That is a pick'em. Our rating, an Elo model used only as context, has the Canadiens at 56%. The puck line is hockey's spread.
Canadiens -1.5 at +210 (FanDuel) wins only by two or more goals and needs 32.3% to break even. Avalanche +1.5 at -265 (FanDuel) wins if they win or lose by one, and needs 72.6%. On the total, Over 6.5 is best at +105 (Fanatics) and Under 6.5 at -108 (Polymarket). Exchange money leans Montreal: 84% on Kalshi (125 trades) and 79% on Polymarket (86 trades), on light volume. Over-under records run hot: Avalanche 14-6 over 20 games, Canadiens 12-7 over 19.
Expected value is your average result per $100 if you made the same bet many times at the market's own no-vig read. Here, nothing is positive. The Canadiens at -114 average minus $4.17, the Avalanche at +108 minus $2.25, the Over minus $4.59. That is the smallest leak on the board, not a free lunch. The scoring trend is real, but the market already moved a full goal to pay for it.
Colorado lists four names: Makar and MacKinnon day-to-day, with Josh Manson and Zachary L'Heureux on injured reserve and not playing. Montreal lists five: Chris Kreider day-to-day, with Ivan Demidov, Sam Montembeault, Bryce Pickford and Lucas Condotta on injured reserve and not playing.
Under 6.5 at -108 on Polymarket, where $100 profits $86.37 after the fee. Treat it as a thin lean and size it small.
Our avalanche vs canadiens prediction: a tight, structured game where the stars' status trims the chaos. Canadiens 3, Avalanche 2. That adds to five goals, under the 6.5 total. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play every day, and it lands right below.
Canadiens is the market favorite at -114 (best price at betPARX) on the moneyline, with Avalanche at +115. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
The Colorado Avalanche at Montreal Canadiens game at the Bell Centre is listed on ESPN+, Altitude 2 Sports and KTVD-TV (My20), according to the ESPN scoreboard. Puck drop is Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.
The Canadiens are a slight moneyline favorite at -114 at FanDuel, with the Avalanche at +108 at Fanatics Markets. With the vig removed, the market splits about 51% Canadiens to 49% Avalanche, which is essentially a coin flip.
The total already jumped a full goal, so in a coin-flip Avalanche vs Canadiens game we lean Under 6.5 at -108 on Polymarket. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 6.5, with the over priced at +111 at Novig and the under at -115 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: NHL picks today · NHL betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · NHL odds · FanDuel betting splits
The spread has held at Canadiens -1.5 since it opened; the total moved from 5.5 to 6.5.
Listed in goal: Colorado Avalanche Mackenzie Blackwood, Montreal Canadiens Jacob Fowler.
Colorado Avalanche: Cale Makar (day-to-day), Josh Manson (injured reserve), Nathan MacKinnon (day-to-day), Zachary L'Heureux (injured reserve); Montreal Canadiens: Bryce Pickford (injured reserve), Chris Kreider (day-to-day), Ivan Demidov (injured reserve), Lucas Condotta (injured reserve).
On Kalshi, 84% of the money traded on the moneyline is on the Canadiens (125 trades, $3.3k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. On Polymarket, 79% of the money traded on the moneyline is on the Canadiens (86 trades, $6.8k traded). Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 13, 12:17 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.
