A Slumping Favorite and an 83% Crowd
The Los Angeles Kings bring a losing streak into this one and sit 19 points back of the Pacific lead. They are still laying -160, and 83% of BetMGM moneyline tickets are on them. That is the tension in Flames vs Kings on Saturday night. Is the crowd paying for a name, or is the price fair? The Calgary Flames arrive scoring more lately, and the puck line and total have not moved an inch since they opened.
The Matchup: Flames vs Kings in the Pacific
As of Nov. 13, Calgary is 8-10-1 (wins, losses, overtime losses). That is 6th of 8 in the Pacific, 14 points back. Los Angeles is 5-10-2, 7th of 8, 19 back. This is the first Kings vs Flames meeting of the season. The last one, 212 days ago, went against LA.
Over their last five games, Calgary has scored 3.8 goals and allowed 2.4 per game. The Kings sit at 2.6 both ways. Schedule matters too. LA plays game 7 of a homestand on one day of rest. Calgary has two days of rest but traveled 1,193 miles, crossed two time zones west and faces a late start on its home body clock.
Players to Watch
Artemi Panarin leads the Kings with 19 points over 17 games, 1.1 per game. Over his last five he is at 1.2 points and 3.4 shots per game. Joel Farabee leads Calgary with 17 points over 19 games, 0.9 per game. His shots are steady (3.6 per game over his last five), but his scoring has cooled to 0.4 points per game in that stretch. In net, the listed starters are Dustin Wolf for Calgary and Darcy Kuemper for LA.
The Numbers: Who Is Favored to Win Flames vs Kings?
The Kings are favored. The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. The puck line is hockey's point spread. Flames +1.5 at -165 (BetMGM) wins if Calgary wins or loses by one, break-even 62.3%. Kings -1.5 at +163 (Kalshi) needs a two-goal LA win, break-even 39.7%. The total is 5.5 goals combined: Over -120 at Courtside (54.5% break-even) or Under +105 at Fanatics (48.8%). Always shop. The best number lives at a different book on almost every line here.
Where the Value Is
The vig is the book's built-in commission. Strip it out and the market reads LA at 61.7% and Calgary at 38.3%. Expected value is your average result per bet if you made it many times. Everything else is negative: Flames moneyline minus $3.36, Flames +1.5 minus $1.71, Kings -1.5 minus $2.20, Over minus $3.21, Under minus $3.23, all per $100 risked. Our rating has LA at 56%, more cautious than the market, as context only. LA is also 1-5 against the spread as a favorite over 6 graded games, a puck-line stat that keeps us off -1.5.
Who Is Out for the Flames and Kings?
Calgary lists three: Connor Zary (C) Out, Jonathan Huberdeau (LW) Injured Reserve and Kevin Bahl (D) Injured Reserve. LA lists two: Erik Gustafsson (D) Day-To-Day, meaning he could go either way, and Jakub Dvorak (D) Injured Reserve.
The Pick
It is the only price on the board that pays more than the market's own read. At a worse number, the edge is gone. Shop it or skip it.
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The Prediction
We see Kuemper steadying LA at home and Panarin finding one late. Our kings vs flames prediction: Kings 3, Flames 2. That adds to five goals, under 5.5, but we are not betting the total, and a one-goal win would lose the Kings -1.5 ticket. That is our read on a razor-thin number; the Desk's documented free play for today sits right below if you want the next step.
Flames vs Kings FAQ
Who is favored in Flames vs Kings?
Kings is the market favorite at -165 (best price at theScore Bet) on the moneyline, with Flames at +160. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Where to watch Flames vs Kings?
The Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings game is listed on ESPN+ and ABTV. Puck drop is Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles.
What time is the Flames vs Kings game?
The Flames vs Kings game starts Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET at crypto.com Arena. The broadcast is listed on ESPN+ and ABTV.
Who will win Kings vs Flames?
Calgary Flames vs Los Angeles Kings NHL prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
What is the total (over/under) for Flames vs Kings?
The total is 5.5, with the over priced at -115 at Novig and the under at +108 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Are these NHL picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in NHL games?
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
Quick answers
Who is the public betting on in Calgary Flames vs Los Angeles Kings?
Public is on Kings (83% of BetMGM tickets on the moneyline).
Where has the Calgary Flames vs Los Angeles Kings line moved?
The spread has held at Kings -1.5 since it opened; the total has held at 5.5.
Who is in goal for Calgary Flames vs Los Angeles Kings?
Listed in goal: Calgary Flames Dustin Wolf, Los Angeles Kings Darcy Kuemper.
Who is injured for Calgary Flames vs Los Angeles Kings?
Calgary Flames: Connor Zary (out), Jonathan Huberdeau (injured reserve), Kevin Bahl (injured reserve); Los Angeles Kings: Erik Gustafsson (day-to-day), Jakub Dvorak (injured reserve).
Where is the money on the exchanges for Calgary Flames vs Los Angeles Kings?
On Kalshi, 62% of the money traded on the moneyline is on the Kings (48 trades, $1.1k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 13, 4:34 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.