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Edmonton Oilers play at Toronto Maple Leafs in the NHL on Saturday, November 14, at Scotiabank Arena. As of 5:25 AM ET, Oilers are the moneyline favorite at -141 and the total is 6.5. Prices come from 15 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans Maple Leafs +1.5.
Prices updated · from 15 sportsbooks · NHL betting splits
DraftKings bettors lean Oilers on the moneyline (95% of tickets).
| Book | BetsOilersMaple Leafs | MoneyOilersMaple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Oilers (-155) / Maple Leafs (+130)) | ||
| BetMGM (Oilers (-155) / Maple Leafs (+125)) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOilers -1.5Maple Leafs +1.5 | MoneyOilers -1.5Maple Leafs +1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsOver 6.5Under 6.5 | MoneyOver 6.5Under 6.5 |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | Bets only |
Splits data from DraftKings and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
Polymarket US lists moneyline, spread and alternate and period lines for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | Edmonton Oilers | Toronto Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -141Bet at Novig → exchange price | +138Bet at ProphetX → exchange price |
| Spread | -1.5 +170Bet at Novig → exchange price | +1.5 -174Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Total 6.5 | O -125Bet at Novig → exchange price | U +125Bet at ProphetX → exchange price |
As of 5:25 AM ET, Oilers -141 on the moneyline and the total is 6.5, with 15 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Oilers ML | Maple Leafs ML | Oilers spread | Maple Leafs spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | -152 | +128 | -1.5 +150 | +1.5 -195 | O 6.5 -143 | U 6.5 +116 |
| bet365 | -153 | +128 | -1.5 +161 | +1.5 -192 | O 6.5 -134 | U 6.5 +114 |
| BetMGM | -155 | +125 | -1.5 +145 | +1.5 -175 | O 6.5 -140 | U 6.5 +115 |
| betPARX | -152 | +128 | -1.5 +150 | +1.5 -195 | O 6.5 -143 | U 6.5 +116 |
| BetRivers | -152 | +128 | -1.5 +150 | +1.5 -195 | O 6.5 -143 | U 6.5 +116 |
| Caesars | -160 | +135 | -1.5 +151 | +1.5 -179 | O 6.5 -137 | U 6.5 +112 |
| Courtside | -152 | +133 | -1.5 +154 | +1.5 -185 | O 6.5 -132 | U 6.5 +116 |
| DraftKings | -155 | +130 | -1.5 +154 | +1.5 -185 | O 6.5 -135 | U 6.5 +114 |
| Fanatics | -150 | +125 | -1.5 +155 | +1.5 -190 | O 6.5 -140 | U 6.5 +115 |
| FanDuel | -152 | +126 | -1.5 +154 | +1.5 -192 | O 6.5 -138 | U 6.5 +112 |
Prices from 15 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
The Edmonton Oilers have covered the betting line in all eight road games this season (8-0 against the spread, meaning they beat the 1.5-goal handicap every time). Yet the Toronto Maple Leafs won the only meeting, 21 days ago. As of Friday's publication, Edmonton is 14-3-3 and Toronto is 8-11-2. Saturday at Scotiabank Arena (7:00 PM ET on NHL Net) asks a sharp question. Is the gap real, or has the price already charged you for it?
Any Maple Leafs vs Oilers prediction starts with form. Edmonton sits first of eight teams in the Pacific Division with 62 games left. Toronto is 10 back of its division lead with 61 to play. Over the last five games, Edmonton scored 3.4 goals per game and allowed 2.4. Toronto scored 1.8 and allowed 4.4. The schedule tilts the other way a little.
Edmonton has two days of rest, but it traveled 1,678 miles, crossed one time zone east, and its last game went to overtime. Toronto has one day of rest and plays game six of a home stand. One odd note: Toronto is 3-10 against the spread at home (13 games) but 7-4 as an underdog (11 games).
Connor McDavid has 49 points over 20 games, or 2.5 per game. Over his last five games he is at 2 points and 2.6 shots per game. Auston Matthews has 29 points over 21 games, or 1.4 per game, with 1 point and 3.6 shots per game over his last five. Per game, McDavid is producing at a clearly higher rate. The listed starting goalies are Devon Levi for Edmonton and Sergei Bobrovsky for Toronto.
Edmonton. The moneyline (a straight bet on who wins) has Edmonton at -137, best at BetRivers. You risk $137 to profit $100. Toronto is +127, best at Courtside, so $100 risked profits $127. Remove the vig (the book's built-in cut) and the market reads about 56.5% Edmonton, 43.5% Toronto. The puck line (hockey's point spread) is Edmonton -1.5 at +175 at BetRivers, which needs a win by two or more, or Toronto +1.5 at -200 at Courtside, which wins if Toronto wins or loses by one.
The total (combined goals) is 6.5: Over -115 at Caesars, Under +102 at Courtside. These are the best Oilers odds and Maple Leafs odds we found, and the same ticket pays differently book to book. Our rating, an Elo model, has it 51% Edmonton, 49% Toronto. That is closer than the market, and it is context only.
Expected value is what a bet earns on average if you placed it many times. Break-even is the win rate a price needs just to not lose money. The closest number is Toronto +1.5 at -200. That is the smallest expected cost per $100 risked on this board, but it is still a cost.
Toronto lists ten names. Nine are on injured reserve: Cade Webber, Colton Sissons, Elvis Merzlikins, Kirill Marchenko, Marshall Rifai, Max Domi, Miles Wood, Nick Blankenburg and William Villeneuve. Miles Wood will not play. Defenseman Morgan Rielly is day-to-day, so his status is uncertain. Edmonton lists five on injured reserve: Alec Regula, Frederik Andersen, Isaac Howard, Matt Savoie and Mattias Janmark.
We lean Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5 at -200 at Courtside, small stake, as a matchup lean. Its own break-even is 66.7% and the market's cover read is 66%, so this is not a positive-expectation bet. The case is the margin. The honest counter is that 8-0 Edmonton road record. If -200 disappears, pass.
Edmonton is the better team right now, and McDavid at 2.5 points per game is the most productive scorer on the ice. Toronto averages 28.05 shots per game against an Edmonton team that allows 26.7 per game (both season per-game averages), enough to keep this close. Our Oilers vs Maple Leafs prediction is Oilers 3, Maple Leafs 2.
That is five total goals, under the 6.5 total, and a one-goal margin that cashes Toronto +1.5. The public split has 100% of tracked tickets on the Over. We are only reporting where our score lands, not betting the total. That is the read on this number. The Desk also posts a documented free play each day, and it sits right below.
Oilers is the market favorite at -141 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Leafs at +138. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
The Edmonton Oilers at Toronto Maple Leafs game airs on NHL Net. Puck drop is Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET from Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, an indoor arena.
The Edmonton Oilers are the favorite at -137, best at BetRivers. The Toronto Maple Leafs are the underdog at +127, best at Courtside. With the vig removed, the market reads about 56.5% Edmonton and 43.5% Toronto.
The game starts Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM Eastern time at Scotiabank Arena. It is broadcast on NHL Net. Toronto won the only previous meeting this season, 21 days before this game.
Edmonton is the better team, but no price on this board clears its break-even, so we lean small on Toronto +1.5 at -200 at Courtside as a matchup read. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 6.5, with the over priced at -125 at Novig and the under at +125 at ProphetX. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: NHL picks today · NHL betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · NHL odds · FanDuel betting splits
Public is on the Over (100% of tracked tickets on the total), the money is also on the Over (100%).
The spread has held at Leafs +1.5 since it opened; the total has held at 6.5.
Listed in goal: Edmonton Oilers Devon Levi, Toronto Maple Leafs Sergei Bobrovsky.
Edmonton Oilers: Alec Regula (injured reserve), Frederik Andersen (injured reserve), Isaac Howard (injured reserve), Matt Savoie (injured reserve); Toronto Maple Leafs: Cade Webber (injured reserve), Colton Sissons (injured reserve), Elvis Merzlikins (injured reserve), Kirill Marchenko (injured reserve).
On Kalshi, 76% of the money traded on the moneyline is on the Oilers (120 trades, $5.5k traded). On Polymarket, 98% of the money traded on the moneyline is on the Oilers (13 trades, $775 traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 13, 11:35 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.
