Flyers vs Oilers Prediction: A Rematch on Empty Tanks
Four days ago Edmonton beat Philadelphia. Now they meet again, and neither team gets a day off first. The Edmonton Oilers visit the Philadelphia Flyers at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Sunday, November 15 at 7:30 PM ET (ESPN+ and NBC Sports Phil). Both clubs are playing the second game of a back-to-back, meaning they also played the night before. The Oilers come in from Toronto (339 miles), the Flyers from Columbus (415 miles), and neither crosses a time zone.
Who Is Favored to Win Oilers vs Flyers?
On paper, it's a mismatch. As of this writing, the Oilers sit at 14-3-3 and lead the Pacific Division, first of eight. The Flyers are 5-10-6, seventh of eight in the Metropolitan and 16 points back of the division lead. Edmonton leads the season series 1-0. Recent form tilts the same way. Over their last five games, the Oilers scored 3.4 goals and allowed 2.4 per game, while the Flyers scored 3 and allowed 3.8. Our rating (a model built on past results, used here only as context) has this at 50% each, which shows how much a back-to-back and home ice can compress the gap.
Players to Watch
Connor McDavid has 49 points over 20 games, or 2.5 points per game. Over his last five games he is at 2 points and 2.6 shots per game. Matvei Michkov leads Philadelphia with 15 points over 21 games, 0.7 per game, and sits at 0.6 points per game over his last five. Michkov also made headlines this week when Rick Tocchet said he did not ask for a trade. In goal, Tristan Jarry logged the most Edmonton ice time last game and Dan Vladar did for Philadelphia, but neither is a confirmed starter.
The Numbers: Oilers Odds and Flyers Odds
Odds are not posted yet, so we won't quote prices. Here is what to read when they land. The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. The puck line is hockey's version of a spread, a goal handicap the favorite must beat. Against the spread (ATS) means a team's record against that handicap. The Flyers are 12-9 ATS over 21 games and 11-5 as the underdog. The total (over-under) is a bet on combined goals. Flyers games went over just 8 times in 21, while Edmonton sits 10-10. When prices post, compare every book, because the same bet can pay different amounts at different shops.
Where the Value Is
Expected value means your average profit or loss per $100 risked if you made the same bet many times. To find it, you turn a price into the win rate it requires, strip out the vig (the book's built-in cut), and compare. We can't run that math without a posted number. Our view: Edmonton is the better team in form and in special teams, scoring 1.15 power-play goals per game against Philadelphia's 0.57 (both per-game averages). But both teams played the night before, so if the market prices the Oilers as a runaway favorite, the value shrinks fast.
Who Is Out for the Oilers and Flyers?
Edmonton lists five players on injured reserve: Alec Regula, Frederik Andersen, Isaac Howard, Matt Savoie and Mattias Janmark. Philadelphia's reports list four names: Erik Gustafsson (Out), Jakub Dvorak (Injured Reserve), Nikita Grebenkin (Injured Reserve) and Noel Acciari (Day-To-Day).
The Pick
We lean Oilers moneyline. No price is posted yet, so take it only at a fair number, and shop every book for the best one.
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The Prediction
McDavid tilts the ice, and a Flyers team allowing 28.33 shots per game (season average) gives him room. We project Oilers 4, Flyers 2. That is our read on this matchup; the Desk posts a documented free play daily, and it sits right below.
Oilers vs Flyers FAQ
Who is favored in Oilers vs Flyers?
Edmonton's elite form and Connor McDavid's 2.5 points per game make the Oilers our lean in Philadelphia, but only at a price worth paying once odds post.
What time is the Oilers vs Flyers game?
Puck drop is set for 7:30 PM Eastern on Sunday, November 15, 2026, at Xfinity Mobile Arena. Both teams are playing the second game of a back-to-back, so neither gets a day of rest beforehand.
Who is favored to win Oilers vs Flyers?
Odds are not posted yet, so no betting favorite exists. For context, Edmonton is 14-3-3 and leads the Pacific Division, while Philadelphia is 5-10-6 and seventh in the Metropolitan. Edmonton leads the season series 1-0.
Who will win Flyers vs Oilers?
Edmonton's elite form and Connor McDavid's 2.5 points per game make the Oilers our lean in Philadelphia, but only at a price worth paying once odds post. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
Are these NHL picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in NHL games?
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
Quick answers
Who is in goal for Edmonton Oilers vs Philadelphia Flyers?
Not confirmed yet. Most recent starts: Edmonton Oilers M. Tomkins, Philadelphia Flyers D. Vladar.
Who is injured for Edmonton Oilers vs Philadelphia Flyers?
Edmonton Oilers: Alec Regula (injured reserve), Frederik Andersen (injured reserve), Isaac Howard (injured reserve), Matt Savoie (injured reserve); Philadelphia Flyers: Erik Gustafsson (out), Jakub Dvorak (injured reserve).
As of Nov 13, 7:57 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.