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RebetFree-to-play social sportsbook with sweepstakes prizesClaim →The Montreal Canadiens own the better record. Our rating still calls this a dead 50-50 coin flip. Both clubs also have a goalie on injured reserve: Igor Shesterkin for the New York Rangers and Sam Montembeault for the Canadiens. The Rangers host Montreal at Madison Square Garden on Monday, November 16, with puck drop at 7:30 PM ET on TNT and truTV. As of November 13, no odds are posted, so this Rangers vs Canadiens read is built on the matchup, not a price.
As of November 13, the Canadiens are 12-3-4 and the Rangers are 11-8-1. Those three numbers mean wins, regulation losses, and losses in overtime or a shootout. The Rangers sit nine back of their division lead. This is a conference game, and the season series starts Monday. The last meeting was 228 days ago, and the Rangers lost it. Schedule matters here. The Canadiens get one day of rest and travel 336 miles with no time-zone change.
The Rangers get two days of rest but fly 2,431 miles home from Vancouver, crossing two time zones east. Over their last five games, the Canadiens score 3.8 goals and allow 3 per game. The Rangers score 2.8 and allow 3.2. Special teams cut the other way. The Canadiens average just 0.42 power-play goals per game (goals scored while the other team has a player in the penalty box) and hand opponents 3.84 power-play chances per game. The Rangers allow only 0.35 power-play goals per game.
Adam Fox leads the Rangers with 22 points over 20 games, or 1.1 per game. Cole Caufield leads the Canadiens with 18 points over 19 games, or 0.9 per game. Lately Caufield is shooting more. Over his last five games he averages 3.8 shots on goal and 1.2 points per game. Fox averages 2.2 shots and 1 point per game over his last five. In goal, Jacob Fowler started 4 of the Canadiens' last 5 games, but he is not a confirmed starter for Monday.
Nobody yet, because no prices are posted. When Canadiens odds and Rangers odds go up, you will see three main bets. The moneyline is simply who wins. A minus number (like -150) means you risk more than you win. A plus number (like +130) means you win more than you risk. The puck line is the hockey spread, a bet on the margin of victory. The total is a bet on combined goals going over or under a posted number.
On the puck line this season, the Canadiens are 6-1 as an underdog (7 games) and 7-2 on the road (9 games), but 3-9 as a favorite (12 games). The Rangers are 7-3 at home (10 games). The Canadiens' games went over 12 times and under 7 (19 games). The Rangers are 10-10 (20 games). Once lines open, compare every book. The same bet can pay different amounts at different shops.
Every price hides a break-even rate, meaning how often a bet must win just to stay even. Sportsbooks also bake in the vig, their built-in cut. Strip that out and you get the market-implied probability. Expected value is what a bet earns or loses per $100 risked over many tries. Our view: the Canadiens have the hotter recent offense and the easier trip. The Rangers have the better penalty kill and a team that just flew across the continent. With our rating at 50-50, any plus-money price on Montreal puts the break-even below 50 percent. That is where the value would live.
The Canadiens' report (November 13) lists five names. Bryce Pickford, Ivan Demidov, Lucas Condotta and Sam Montembeault are on injured reserve, and Pickford is not playing. Chris Kreider is day-to-day, which means his status is uncertain. The Rangers' report (November 11) lists six names on injured reserve: Adam Sykora, Aidan Thompson, Alberts Smits, Igor Shesterkin, Joe Veleno and Sean Durzi. Check the final reports before Monday's puck drop.
Canadiens moneyline. No price exists yet, so we are not naming a number or a book. Take it only at plus money, and only at the best price across the US sportsbooks we track you can access.
The Canadiens' five-game scoring pace and the Rangers' long flight home tilt this our way, even with New York's penalty kill in the way. We project Canadiens 4, Rangers 3. That is the read on this matchup; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it sits right below.
Montreal brings the better record and the fresher legs into Madison Square Garden, and we lean Canadiens on the moneyline if the market hangs them at plus money.
The Montreal Canadiens at New York Rangers game airs on TNT and truTV. It is played at Madison Square Garden on Monday, November 16, 2026, with puck drop scheduled for 7:30 PM Eastern time.
As of November 13, sportsbooks had not posted odds for this game, so there is no market favorite yet. For context, our Elo-based rating has the two teams even at 50 percent each. As of that date, Montreal was 12-3-4 and New York was 11-8-1.
Montreal brings the better record and the fresher legs into Madison Square Garden, and we lean Canadiens on the moneyline if the market hangs them at plus money. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: NHL picks today · NHL betting splits · DraftKings betting splits
Not confirmed yet. Most recent starts: Montreal Canadiens J. Fowler, New York Rangers J. Korpisalo.
Montreal Canadiens: Bryce Pickford (injured reserve), Chris Kreider (day-to-day), Ivan Demidov (injured reserve), Lucas Condotta (injured reserve); New York Rangers: Adam Sykora (injured reserve), Aidan Thompson (injured reserve), Alberts Smits (injured reserve), Igor Shesterkin (injured reserve).
As of Nov 13, 8:25 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.
