Canadiens vs Devils Prediction: Shots Against Spreads
The New Jersey Devils average 32.8 shots per game and allow just 24.95, per-game averages over 20 games. That is a gap of nearly eight shots a night. Yet the Montreal Canadiens are 7-2 against the spread on the road this season. Against the spread (ATS) means beating the betting line the sportsbooks set, not just winning. One team controls the ice. The other keeps outplaying expectations. That collision is the real story of Canadiens vs Devils, and sportsbooks had not posted odds as of Nov 13, so this read is built on the matchup itself.
The Matchup: Montreal Canadiens at New Jersey Devils
As of Nov 13, the Canadiens were 12-3-4 (wins, regulation losses, overtime or shootout losses) and the Devils were 14-6-0. Both records will change before puck drop. The Devils are 2nd of 8 in the Metropolitan Division, 4 back of the lead. The Canadiens are among the Atlantic Division's top two. It is a conference game and the first meeting this season.
The last one came 227 days ago, and the Devils won it. Rest favors the home side. The Devils get 3 days off after a 198-mile trip from Washington. The Canadiens have 1 day of rest, playing game 2 of a road trip after a 13-mile hop from New York. Neither team is on a back-to-back. Puck drops Wednesday at 7:30 PM ET at Prudential Center on ESPN+ and MSGSN.
Players to Watch
Jack Hughes leads the Devils with 27 points over 20 games, 1.4 per game. Over his last five he is at 1.6 points and 4 shots per game. Cole Caufield leads the Canadiens with 18 points over 19 games, 0.9 per game, and has 1.2 points and 3.8 shots per game over his last five. Per game, Hughes produces more, though both are hot. In net, Connor Hellebuyck started 3 of the Devils' last 5 and Jacob Fowler started 4 of the Canadiens' last 5. Neither is a confirmed starter for this game.
Canadiens Odds and Devils Odds: Who Is Favored?
No prices yet, so here is what you will see. The moneyline is a bet on who wins; a minus number marks the favorite. The puck line is hockey's spread, usually 1.5 goals. The total is a bet on combined goals going over or under a number. Every price carries vig, the book's built-in cut.
Our rating (an Elo model, context only) gives the Devils 55% and the Canadiens 45%. Some context for the posted line: the Canadiens are 6-1 ATS as an underdog (7 games), while the Devils are 6-9-1 ATS as a favorite (16 games). Both teams lean over: the Canadiens 12-7 over-under in 19 games, the Devils 12-8 in 20. When lines post, compare several books. The best number matters.
Where the Value Is
Implied probability is the win chance a price suggests. Strip out the vig and you get the no-vig number, the market-implied probability with the book's cut removed. Expected value is your average profit or loss per $100 risked if you made the same bet many times. A bet has value only when your estimate beats the price's break-even rate. Without a posted price we cannot compute either, so here is our case.
The Devils rank second of 32 in expected goals share (58.8 percent over 18 games), a measure of who generates the better scoring chances. The Canadiens score 0.42 power-play goals per game on 3.05 chances while allowing 0.84, both per-game averages. Sam Montembeault is on injured reserve. If the market prices the Devils far above our rating's 55%, the value thins out fast.
Who Is Out for the Canadiens and Devils?
For the Devils, Anthony Mantha is not playing (injured reserve), Johnathan Kovacevic and Seamus Casey are on injured reserve, and defenseman Brett Pesce is day-to-day, which means uncertain. For the Canadiens, Bryce Pickford is not playing (injured reserve), Ivan Demidov, Lucas Condotta and goalie Sam Montembeault are on injured reserve, and Chris Kreider is day-to-day. That is four names for the Devils and five for the Canadiens.
The Pick
We like the Devils moneyline. The price is not posted yet, so shop every book you can and take the best number. This is Wise Guy Desk analysis, not an official play.
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The Prediction
Our devils vs canadiens prediction: the Devils' shot volume and fresher legs win out, Devils 4, Canadiens 2, six total goals. Respect the Canadiens' road record, but the puck should live in their end. That is the read on this matchup; when the Desk posts its documented free daily play, it lands right below.
Canadiens vs Devils FAQ
Who is favored in Canadiens vs Devils?
The Devils' shot dominance, extra rest and an expected goals share ranked second in the league give us a lean on New Jersey at home, as long as the posted price does not run too far ahead of the matchup.
Where to watch Canadiens vs Devils?
The Montreal Canadiens at New Jersey Devils game is listed on ESPN+ and MSGSN. Puck drops Wednesday, November 18, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET at Prudential Center, the Devils' home arena.
What time is the Canadiens vs Devils game?
The Canadiens and Devils face off Wednesday, November 18, 2026 at 7:30 PM Eastern time at Prudential Center. The broadcast is listed on ESPN+ and MSGSN, so check either one for coverage.
Who is favored to win Canadiens vs Devils?
Sportsbooks had not posted odds for this game as of November 13. As of that date the Canadiens were 12-3-4 and the Devils were 14-6-0, with New Jersey at home. Compare several sportsbooks once lines are released to find the best price.
Who will win Devils vs Canadiens?
The Devils' shot dominance, extra rest and an expected goals share ranked second in the league give us a lean on New Jersey at home, as long as the posted price does not run too far ahead of the matchup. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
Are these NHL picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in NHL games?
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
Quick answers
Who is in goal for Montreal Canadiens vs New Jersey Devils?
Not confirmed yet. Most recent starts: Montreal Canadiens J. Fowler, New Jersey Devils C. Hellebuyck.
Who is injured for Montreal Canadiens vs New Jersey Devils?
Montreal Canadiens: Bryce Pickford (injured reserve), Chris Kreider (day-to-day), Ivan Demidov (injured reserve), Lucas Condotta (injured reserve); New Jersey Devils: Anthony Mantha (injured reserve), Brett Pesce (day-to-day), Johnathan Kovacevic (injured reserve), Seamus Casey (injured reserve).
As of Nov 13, 4:37 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.