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This game has ended. Each team's next preview is below, with the current odds and the Desk's read.
Who was the public betting on Red Wings vs Panthers?
DraftKings bettors lean Panthers on the moneyline (95% of tickets).
| Book | BetsRed WingsPanthers | MoneyRed WingsPanthers |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Red Wings (+170) / Panthers (-205)) | ||
| BetMGM (Red Wings (+170) / Panthers (-210)) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsRed Wings +1.5Panthers -1.5 | MoneyRed Wings +1.5Panthers -1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsOverUnder | MoneyOverUnder |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Over 5.5 / Under 5.5) | ||
| BetMGM (Over 6 / Under 6) | Bets only |
Splits data from DraftKings and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits
Exchange buyers before puck drop: which side buyers took (Kalshi, Polymarket (international), Novig, ProphetX)
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
How to read these numbers
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket (international)
Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
Moneyline$57k traded · 195 trades · $81k open
Detroit Red WingsFlorida Panthers
Trades
Money
Spread$4.8k traded · 48 trades · $11k open
Detroit Red Wings +1.5Florida Panthers -1.5
Trades
Money
Light trading: $4.8k so far, percentages can swingTotal 5.5$22k traded · 31 trades · $39k open
Over 5.5Under 5.5
Trades
Money
Novig
Moneyline$108k traded · 592 trades
Detroit Red WingsFlorida Panthers
Trades
Money
Spread$12k traded · 106 trades
Detroit Red Wings +1.5Florida Panthers -1.5
Trades
Money
Total 5.5$6.8k traded · 89 trades
Over 5.5Under 5.5
Trades
Money
ProphetX
Moneyline$5.4k traded · 81 trades
Detroit Red WingsFlorida Panthers
Trades
Money
Spread$4.8k traded · 74 trades
Detroit Red Wings +1.5Florida Panthers -1.5
Trades
Money
Light trading: $4.8k so far, percentages can swingTotal 6$954 traded · 34 trades
Over 6Under 6
Trades
Money
Light trading: $954 so far, percentages can swingLast read before puck drop .
Polymarket US: prices only
Polymarket US lists moneyline, spread and alternate and period lines for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
How the number moved: Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers
| Market | Opened | Closed | Circa closed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (home line) | -1.5 | -1.5 | n/a |
| Total | 5.5 | 6 | n/a |
| Moneyline (away / home) | n/a | +165 / -190 | n/a |
Opened is the first number we saw and closed the last before puck drop, the median across the books we track. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book, shown as a reference.
Detroit Red Wings vs Florida Panthers: odds, trends and our lean
📊 Best prices from the US sportsbooks and exchanges we track (exchange prices are marked) Prices when this preview was published
| Market | Detroit Red Wings | Florida Panthers |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +156Pregame price at Novig → exchange price | -160Pregame price at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | +1.5 -170Pregame price at BetMGM → | -1.5 +163Pregame price at Novig → exchange price |
| Total 5.5 | O -127Pregame price at Novig → exchange price | U +122Pregame price at Novig → exchange price |
📊 Team Breakdown archived pregame data
Season win %
Detroit Red Wings
37%
Florida Panthers
53%
Chance to win, per the betting market (vig removed)
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
How to read this: "chance to win per the betting market" comes from the actual odds with the sportsbook's built-in fee (the vig) stripped out, the market's honest opinion of the game.
🛈 Wise Guy Desk analysis - not an official play. A free breakdown to help you find value and bet the best number. Ross's documented plays are graded win or loss on the members board.
📘 New to betting? Two-minute translation. A moneyline bet is picking who wins, nothing else. In this game, +156 means a $100 bet profits $156 if it wins. The spread is a head start: -7.5 must win by 8+, while +7.5 cashes by losing by 7 or fewer (or winning). The total is combined points by both teams, over or under the books' number. +EV means the price pays better than the market-implied fair odds (vig removed); consistently taking better prices raises your expected return over time. Learn free: Sports Betting 101 · Odds converter · No-vig calculator
Panthers vs Red Wings Prediction: 95% of Tickets on One Side
Ninety-five percent of moneyline tickets are on the Florida Panthers. The Detroit Red Wings won the only meeting between these teams this season, just 10 days ago. That gap between the crowd and the recent result is what makes this Red Wings vs Panthers game interesting. The puck drops Thursday, November 12 at 7:30 PM ET at Amerant Bank Arena, streaming on Disney+, ESPN+ and Hulu.
The Matchup
As of publication, Detroit is 7-9-3 and Florida is 10-7-2. Those numbers are wins, regulation losses and overtime losses. Florida sits 5th of 8 in the Atlantic Division, 5 back of the lead. Detroit is 10 back. This is a division game, and Detroit leads the season series 1-0. Recent form points in opposite directions. Detroit lost 3-2 in St.
Louis and, per a recent headline, brings a losing streak south. Florida stopped a two-game skid with a 4-1 win over Columbus. Both teams have one day of rest. Detroit is on game 3 of a road trip after 1,043 miles and one time zone east. Florida is playing its fourth game in six days after a 970-mile trip.
Players to Watch
Matthew Tkachuk leads Florida with 27 points over 19 games, which is 1.4 per game, and he has matched that 1.4 pace over his last five. Lucas Raymond leads Detroit with 18 points over 19 games, or 0.9 per game. Both have played 19 games, so the comparison is fair. Raymond is still shooting (2.8 shots on goal per game over his last five), but his scoring has cooled to 0.8 points per game in that stretch.
Special teams favor Florida. A power play is when the other team has a player in the penalty box. Per game, Florida scores 1.05 power play goals and Detroit scores 0.68. Florida also averages 15.68 penalty minutes per game, though, which hands opponents chances. The listed starting goalies are John Gibson for Detroit and Jacob Markstrom for Florida.
Who Is Favored to Win Red Wings vs Panthers?
Florida is favored. A moneyline is a straight bet on who wins. The puck line is hockey's spread, and it is a separate bet settled on the margin. Detroit +1.5 at -170 (BetMGM) wins if Detroit wins or loses by one goal. It loses on a two-goal loss. Its break-even is 63%. The total is combined goals. Books opened that total anywhere from 5.5 at FanDuel to 6.5 at Fanatics. Shopping matters.
Where the Value Is
The vig is the sportsbook's built-in cut. Remove it and the market reads Florida 61.3%, Detroit 38.7%. Our rating says 61-39, which is context only. Expected value is what a bet returns on average over many tries. At the market's no-vig read, every price here is slightly negative. Per $100 risked: the Florida moneyline is minus $0.44, Florida -1.5 is minus $0.72, the Detroit moneyline is minus $0.85, the Over is minus $0.89, the Under is minus $1.09 and Detroit +1.5 is minus $1.13. Nothing is free. Our fair price is where the board splits.
Florida's is about -155, so paying -160 costs you minus $0.70 per $160 risked. Detroit's is about +157, and +156 is one cent away. That is the closest price to our fair number on the board. The crowd leans hard to Florida. On Polymarket, 98% of moneyline money traded is on the Panthers, and on Kalshi it is 82%. On Novig, 52% is on the Wings. Detroit is 7-2-1 against the spread as an underdog (10 games). Florida is 5-8 against the spread as a favorite (13 games).
Who Is Out for the Red Wings and Panthers?
Each team lists three players on Injured Reserve. Florida is without Aleksander Barkov (C), Brad Marchand (LW) and Jonah Gadjovich (LW). Detroit is without Dylan Larkin (C), Albert Johansson (D) and Simon Edvinsson (D). Both lineups lose a center, and Detroit also loses two defensemen.
The Pick
This is a small lean, not a bargain. If your book shows anything shorter than +156, you are paying more for the same bet.
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The Prediction
Our Red Wings prediction is a tight one: Red Wings 3, Panthers 2. That adds up to five goals, under the 5.5 total, though we are not betting the total. Florida is on its fourth game in six days, and Detroit already won this matchup 10 days ago. At this price, a one-goal road win is enough to make the bet worthwhile. That is the read on this number, and the Desk's documented free play for today sits right below.
Injury Report
FLABrad Marchand (Injured Reserve), Aleksander Barkov (Injured Reserve), Jonah Gadjovich (Injured Reserve)
DETAlbert Johansson (Injured Reserve), Dylan Larkin (Injured Reserve), Simon Edvinsson (Injured Reserve)
More NHL matchups
Wings vs Panthers FAQ
Who was favored in Wings vs Panthers?
Panthers is the market favorite at -160 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Wings at +156. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
What time is the Red Wings vs Panthers game?
Puck drop is Thursday, November 12 at 7:30 PM Eastern time at Amerant Bank Arena. The game streams on Disney+, ESPN+ and Hulu. Both teams come in on one day of rest, and neither is on a back-to-back.
What was the pregame read on Panthers vs Wings?
Detroit Red Wings vs Florida Panthers NHL prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
What is the total (over/under) for Wings vs Panthers?
The total is 5.5, with the over priced at -127 at Novig and the under at +122 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Are these NHL picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in NHL games?
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: NHL picks today · NHL betting splits · DraftKings betting splits