Artemi Panarin 
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This game has ended. Each team's next preview is below, with the current odds and the Desk's read.
Exchange buyers before puck drop: which side buyers took (Kalshi, Polymarket (international), Novig, ProphetX)
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
How to read these numbers
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Kalshi
Moneyline$65k traded · 1.0k trades
Pittsburgh PenguinsLos Angeles Kings
Trades
Money
Spread$928 traded · 41 trades
Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5Los Angeles Kings -1.5
Trades
Money
Light trading: $928 so far, percentages can swingTotal 6.5$2.7k traded · 87 trades
Over 6.5Under 6.5
Trades
Money
Light trading: $2.7k so far, percentages can swingPolymarket (international)
Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
Moneyline$75k traded · 146 trades · $151k open
Pittsburgh PenguinsLos Angeles Kings
Trades
Money
Spread$934 traded · 33 trades · $1.3k open
Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5Los Angeles Kings -1.5
Trades
Money
Light trading: $934 so far, percentages can swingNovig
Moneyline$121k traded · 573 trades
Pittsburgh PenguinsLos Angeles Kings
Trades
Money
Spread$2.8k traded · 20 trades
Pittsburgh Penguins -1.5Los Angeles Kings +1.5
Trades
Money
Light trading: $2.8k so far, percentages can swingTotal 6.5$6.2k traded · 98 trades
Over 6.5Under 6.5
Trades
Money
ProphetX
Moneyline$5.9k traded · 99 trades
Pittsburgh PenguinsLos Angeles Kings
Trades
Money
Last read before puck drop .
Los Angeles Kings win price on Kalshi and Polymarket (international) as puck drop neared
Los Angeles Kings to win, from 167 hours before the start to 4 hours before the start: Polymarket (international) 47% to 52%. These are exchange prices, read as the chance the market gave Los Angeles Kings, not sportsbook odds. Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
Polymarket (international)Scale 40% to 60%
How the number moved: Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings
| Market | Opened | Closed | Circa closed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (home line) | -1.5 | -1.5 | n/a |
| Total | 6.5 | 6.5 | n/a |
| Moneyline (away / home) | n/a | +102 / -121 | n/a |
Opened is the first number we saw and closed the last before puck drop, the median across the books we track. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book, shown as a reference.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Los Angeles Kings: odds, trends and our lean
📊 Best prices from the US sportsbooks and exchanges we track (exchange prices are marked) Prices when this preview was published
| Market | Pittsburgh Penguins | Los Angeles Kings |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +109Pregame price at ProphetX → exchange price | -111Pregame price at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | +1.5 -223Pregame price at Novig → exchange price | -1.5 +217Pregame price at Novig → exchange price |
| Total 6.5 | O +108Pregame price at Novig → exchange price | U -110betPARX |
📊 Team Breakdown archived pregame data
Season win %
Pittsburgh Penguins
31%
Los Angeles Kings
36%
Chance to win, per the betting market (vig removed)
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Standings & streak
Pittsburgh Penguins7th in the Metropolitan Division
Los Angeles Kings7th in the Pacific DivisionHow to read this: "chance to win per the betting market" comes from the actual odds with the sportsbook's built-in fee (the vig) stripped out, the market's honest opinion of the game.
🛈 Wise Guy Desk analysis - not an official play. A free breakdown to help you find value and bet the best number. Ross's documented plays are graded win or loss on the members board.
📘 New to betting? Two-minute translation. A moneyline bet is picking who wins, nothing else. In this game, +109 means a $100 bet profits $109 if it wins. The spread is a head start: -7.5 must win by 8+, while +7.5 cashes by losing by 7 or fewer (or winning). The total is combined points by both teams, over or under the books' number. +EV means the price pays better than the market-implied fair odds (vig removed); consistently taking better prices raises your expected return over time. Learn free: Sports Betting 101 · Odds converter · No-vig calculator
Three Time Zones and an 11-Cent Favorite
The Pittsburgh Penguins flew 2,132 miles and crossed three time zones west on one day of rest. The Los Angeles Kings are home on two days of rest in game 4 of a home stand. That is a real schedule gap, yet the market makes Los Angeles only a slight favorite. Puck drops Saturday at 9:00 PM ET at crypto.com Arena on ESPN+ and ABTV, and the whole bet here comes down to finding the best number.
Kings vs Penguins: How They Stack Up
As of publication, Pittsburgh is 5-9-2 and Los Angeles is 5-7-2 (wins, regulation losses, overtime losses). Both sit 7th of 8 in their divisions. Pittsburgh is 16 back of its division lead and Los Angeles is 13 back. This is the first meeting of the season. The last one, 363 days ago, went to the Kings.
Over their last five games, the Penguins average 2.8 goals scored and 4 allowed per game. The Kings sit at 2.6 and 2.6. Against the spread (results on the puck line, hockey's point spread), Los Angeles is 9-5 over 14 graded games, and Pittsburgh is 8-8 over 16 but 8-4 as an underdog. Our rating gives the Kings 57%, a bit above the market's 53%. That is context only, not a bet.
Who Drives the Scoring?
Artemi Panarin leads the Kings' list with 17 over 14 games (1.2 per game), and over his last five he is at 1.6 points and 3.2 shots per game. Erik Karlsson leads Pittsburgh with 16 over 16 games (1 per game), with 1 point and 1.8 shots per game over his last five. In goal, Sergei Murashov is Pittsburgh's listed starter, even though Arturs Silovs started 4 of the last 5. Darcy Kuemper is listed for Los Angeles. Special teams matter. Pittsburgh scores 0.45 power-play goals per game on 2.6 chances. The Kings allow 1.3 power-play goals per game while taking 12.94 penalty minutes per game.
Who Is Favored to Win Penguins vs Kings?
The moneyline is a straight bet on who wins. Pittsburgh is the underdog at +109 (best at ProphetX): a $100 bet profits $109.00, break-even 47.8%. Those are the best penguins odds and kings odds we found. The public split shows 69% of moneyline tickets and 86% of the money on Los Angeles.
Where the Value Is
Strip out the vig (the book's built-in cut) and the market reads this about 52.7% Kings to 47.3% Penguins. Expected value is your average result per bet over many repeats, not what you win on one ticket. Penguins +109 is minus $1.17. Penguins +1.5 is plus $0.09, Kings -1.5 is minus $2.06, the Over is minus $0.27 and the Under is minus $0.62. A sliver, and it lives only at the best number.
Who Is Out?
Pittsburgh has four players on injured reserve, meaning sidelined: Bryan Rust, Elmer Soderblom, Ryan Graves and Trevor van Riemsdyk. Los Angeles also has four players on injured reserve, all sidelined for this game: Jakub Dvorak, Jan Jenik, Kevin Fiala and Mats Zuccarello.
The Pick
The rested home team, the edge in our rating, and the only moneyline price that clears the market's own read. Keep the stake small. A thin edge disappears at a worse price.
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The Prediction
Penguins vs Kings plays as a grinder. We project Kings 3, Penguins 2. That adds to 5 goals, under the 6.5 total, and a one-goal win would lose a Kings -1.5 ticket, which is why we stay on the moneyline. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play daily, and it sits right below.
Injury Report
LAMats Zuccarello (Injured Reserve), Kevin Fiala (Injured Reserve), Jakub Dvorak (Injured Reserve), 1 more on injured reserve
PITElmer Soderblom (Injured Reserve), Bryan Rust (Injured Reserve), Trevor van Riemsdyk (Injured Reserve), 1 more on injured reserve
More NHL matchups
Penguins vs Kings FAQ
Who was favored in Penguins vs Kings?
Kings is the market favorite at -111 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Penguins at +109. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
What time is the Penguins vs Kings game?
The game starts Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET at crypto.com Arena. The Kings are home on two days of rest, while the Penguins have one day of rest after traveling 2,132 miles and crossing three time zones west.
What was the pregame read on Kings vs Penguins?
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Los Angeles Kings NHL prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
What is the total (over/under) for Penguins vs Kings?
The total is 6.5, with the over priced at +108 at Novig and the under at -110 at betPARX. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Are these NHL picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in NHL games?
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
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