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Texas Tech Red Raiders play at Oklahoma State Cowboys in college football on Saturday, November 14, at Boone Pickens Stadium. As of 8:55 AM ET, Oklahoma State are 3.5-point favorites and the total is 73.5. Prices come from 15 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 15 sportsbooks · college football betting splits
DraftKings bettors lean Oklahoma State Cowboys on the spread (54% of tickets); Circa money leans Texas Tech Red Raiders (60%).
| Book | BetsTexas Tech Red Raiders +3.5Oklahoma State Cowboys -3.5 | MoneyTexas Tech Red Raiders +3.5Oklahoma State Cowboys -3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) | ||
| BetMGM | Bets only |
| Book | BetsTexas Tech Red RaidersOklahoma State Cowboys | MoneyTexas Tech Red RaidersOklahoma State Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Texas Tech Red Raiders (+142) / Oklahoma State Cowboys (-170)) | ||
| BetMGM (Texas Tech Red Raiders (+140) / Oklahoma State Cowboys (-165)) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOver 73.5Under 73.5 | MoneyOver 73.5Under 73.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||
| BetMGM | Bets only |
Splits data from DraftKings, Circa and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | Texas Tech Red Raiders | Oklahoma State Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 | -3.5 |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | Texas Tech Red Raiders | Oklahoma State Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +145Bet at Courtside → | -147Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | +3.5 -111Bet at Novig → exchange price | -3.5 +106Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Total 73.5 | O +102Bet at Novig → exchange price | U -106Bet at Novig → exchange price |
As of 8:55 AM ET, the spread is Oklahoma State -3.5 and the total is 73.5, with 15 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Texas Tech ML | Oklahoma State ML | Texas Tech spread | Oklahoma State spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | +142 | -167 | +3.5 -114 | -3.5 -106 | O 73.5 -107 | U 73.5 -113 |
| BetMGM | +140 | -165 | +3.5 -112 | -3.5 -105 | O 73.5 -108 | U 73.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +140 | -170 | +3.5 -117 | -3.5 -103 | O 73.5 -108 | U 73.5 -112 |
| Courtside | +145 | -166 | +3.5 -115 | -3.5 -105 | O 73.5 -103 | U 73.5 -113 |
| DraftKings | +142 | -170 | +3.5 -115 | -3.5 -105 | O 73.5 -105 | U 73.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | +140 | -170 | +3.5 -115 | -3.5 -105 | O 73.5 -110 | U 73.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +130 | -156 | +3.5 -115 | -3.5 -105 | O 73.5 -110 | U 73.5 -110 |
| Fliff | +135 | -170 | +3.5 -125 | -3.5 -110 | O 73.5 -115 | U 73.5 -120 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +130 | -155 | +3.5 -120 | -3.5 -105 | O 73.5 -110 | U 73.5 -110 |
| Novig | +144 | -147 | +3.5 -111 | -3.5 +106 | O 73.5 +102 | U 73.5 -106 |
Prices from 15 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Drew Mestemaker (OKST)206/309, 2,962 YDS, 29 TD, 8 INT (9 GP)
Will Hammond (TTU)139/205, 1,561 YDS, 6 TD, 6 INT (7 GP)The Texas Tech Red Raiders are 8-1 and ranked No. 10 in the AP poll. The betting market still makes the 6-3 Oklahoma State Cowboys the favorite. Our rating, an Elo model built on stored results and used only as context, gives Texas Tech 58% to win, but the market prices it the other way. When reputation and price disagree that loudly, you do the math before you bet.
Records are as of publication on November 13: Texas Tech 8-1, Oklahoma State 6-3. Oklahoma State sits 7th of 16 in the Big 12. This conference game kicks off Saturday, November 14 at 9:30 PM ET on ESPN at Boone Pickens Stadium. The last meeting was 385 days ago, and Oklahoma State lost it. Both teams have 6 days of rest and no time-zone change. Texas Tech traveled 324 miles, and Oklahoma State is 214 miles from its last game in Manhattan.
"Against the spread" (ATS) means beating the margin the books set, not just winning. Texas Tech is 4-5 ATS over 9, and 1-2 on the road. Both teams have gone over the posted total in 7 of 9 games. Per game, Oklahoma State gains 533.56 yards and allows 384. Texas Tech gains 449.33 and allows 402.33. Predicted points added per play (PPA) measures how much each snap moves the scoreboard on average. Oklahoma State's offense sits at 0.28 to Texas Tech's 0.19, while Texas Tech's defense allows just 0.01 to Oklahoma State's 0.07.
Oklahoma State quarterback Drew Mestemaker has played all 9 games: 2,962 yards, 29 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, or 329.1 yards and 3.2 touchdowns per game. Over his last 5 he averages 338.2 passing yards per game. Texas Tech allows 287 net passing yards per game.
Will Hammond leads Texas Tech after 7 of the team's 9 games, at 223 yards, 0.9 touchdowns and 0.9 interceptions per game, plus 24.2 rushing yards per game over his last 5. Note that Thomas Castellanos was Texas Tech's quarterback of record last game. We have no injury report here, so confirm the starter before Saturday's kickoff. Texas Tech's ground game averages 214.67 rushing yards per game against an Oklahoma State defense allowing 151.33.
Here are the Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State odds, best price at each book. The moneyline is a bet on who wins. Books bake in a cut called the vig. Strip it out and the market reads about 60.4% Oklahoma State, 39.6% Texas Tech. A 3-point win loses. The Texas Tech spread moved from 3.5 to 3 at three books within five minutes, and the total moved between 74.5 and 73.5 in both directions at four books. That is why you shop. The public split shows 57% of DraftKings spread tickets and 92% of the DraftKings money on Oklahoma State.
Break-even is how often a bet must win to stop losing money. Expected value is the average result per $100 risked over many bets. Texas Tech +3.5 needs 51.9% versus 51.2%: minus $1.47. We side with the spread on its own numbers.
It needs a win by 4 or more and a 48.5% hit rate. Oklahoma State's 4-0 ATS record at home (4 games) and the passing matchup back the read as context.
Forecast is 47 degrees, 9 mph wind and a 40% chance of precipitation. Mestemaker keeps pushing the ball, and Oklahoma State wins 41-34. That adds to 75 points, over the 73.5 total, though neither total price is positive so we pass there. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Oklahoma State is the market favorite at -147 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Texas Tech at +145. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State airs on ESPN. The game is played at Boone Pickens Stadium, home of the Oklahoma State Cowboys, and kicks off Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 9:30 PM Eastern time.
The game kicks off Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 9:30 PM Eastern time at Boone Pickens Stadium, with the broadcast on ESPN. The forecast calls for 47 degrees, a 9 mph wind from the ESE and a 40% chance of precipitation.
The No. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 73.5, with the over priced at +102 at Novig and the under at -106 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College football betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college football odds · FanDuel betting splits
Public is on Cowboys (57% of DraftKings tickets on the spread), DraftKings money is also on Cowboys (92%).
The spread has held at Cowboys -3.5 since it opened; the total has held at 73.5; several books (3) moved the spread on away to 3 together.
On Kalshi, 66% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Texas Tech Red Raiders (1549 trades, $36k traded). On ProphetX, 55% of the money traded on the spread is on Oklahoma State Cowboys (59 trades, $1.9k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 13, 8:09 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.