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USC Trojans play at Indiana Hoosiers in college football on Saturday, November 14, at Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN). As of 8:33 AM ET, Indiana are 8.5-point favorites and the total is 50.5. Prices come from 15 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans Indiana ML. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 15 sportsbooks · college football betting splits
DraftKings bettors lean USC Trojans on the spread (67% of tickets).
| Book | BetsUSC TrojansIndiana Hoosiers | MoneyUSC TrojansIndiana Hoosiers |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (USC Trojans +8.5 / Indiana Hoosiers -8.5) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (USC Trojans +7.5 / Indiana Hoosiers -7.5) | ||
| BetMGM (USC Trojans +8.5 / Indiana Hoosiers -8.5) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsUSC TrojansIndiana Hoosiers | MoneyUSC TrojansIndiana Hoosiers |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (USC Trojans (+270) / Indiana Hoosiers (-340)) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (USC Trojans (+265) / Indiana Hoosiers (-320)) | ||
| BetMGM (USC Trojans (+270) / Indiana Hoosiers (-325)) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOver 50.5Under 50.5 | MoneyOver 50.5Under 50.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) | ||
| BetMGM | Bets only |
Splits data from DraftKings, Circa and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | USC Trojans | Indiana Hoosiers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7.5 | -7.5 |
| Total 50.5 | O | U |
| Moneyline | +265 | -320 |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
| Market | USC Trojans | Indiana Hoosiers |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +285Bet at Novig → exchange price | -300Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | +8.5 +100Bet at Novig → exchange price | -8.5 -102Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Total 50.5 | O +104Bet at Novig → exchange price | U -108Bet at Novig → exchange price |
As of 8:33 AM ET, the spread is Indiana -8.5 and the total is 50.5, with 15 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | USC ML | Indiana ML | USC spread | Indiana spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +270 | -325 | +8.5 -110 | -8.5 -108 | O 50.5 -108 | U 50.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +275 | -345 | +8.5 -108 | -8.5 -113 | O 50.5 -109 | U 50.5 -112 |
| Courtside | +277 | -331 | +8.5 -110 | -8.5 -110 | O 50.5 -106 | U 50.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | +270 | -340 | +8.5 -110 | -8.5 -110 | O 50.5 -108 | U 50.5 -112 |
| Fanatics | +260 | -330 | +8.5 -110 | -8.5 -110 | O 50.5 -110 | U 50.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +260 | -330 | +8.5 -110 | -8.5 -110 | O 50.5 -110 | U 50.5 -110 |
| Fliff | +255 | -340 | +8.5 -115 | -8.5 -115 | O 50.5 -115 | U 50.5 -120 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +260 | -350 | +8.5 -105 | -8.5 -110 | O 50.5 -110 | U 50.5 -110 |
| Novig | +285 | -300 | +8.5 +100 | -8.5 -102 | O 50.5 +104 | U 50.5 -108 |
| ProphetX | +275 | -300 | +8.5 -106 | -8.5 -105 | O 50.5 -101 | U 50.5 -110 |
Prices from 15 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
USC Trojans7th in the Big Ten ConferenceIndiana Hoosiers2nd in the Big Ten Conference
Josh Hoover (IU)124/206, 1,860 YDS, 19 TD, 2 INT (9 GP)
Jayden Maiava (USC)198/296, 2,524 YDS, 20 TD, 5 INT (9 GP)Indiana has won eight of nine games and covered the spread in exactly one of them. That gap is the whole story of USC vs Indiana for a bettor. The spread (the number of points a favorite must win by for a bet on it to cash) opened at Indiana -7 and now sits at -8.5 after 29 moves.
Meanwhile 66% of DraftKings spread tickets, and 92% of the money there, are on USC. That is the public split, not advice, and the move is simply a line move. Still, the market keeps asking more of a home team that is 0-6 against the spread (ATS) at Memorial Stadium. The USC Trojans visit the Indiana Hoosiers on Saturday, November 14 at 3:30 PM ET on CBS.
Indiana is the favorite. As of this writing, Indiana is 8-1, No. 6 in the AP poll and 2nd of 18 in the Big Ten. USC is 7-2, No. 15 and 7th of 18. It is a conference game. Both teams come off a bye with 13 days of rest, and Indiana's last game went to overtime. USC travels 1,785 miles and crosses three time zones east.
Per-game averages over nine games tell the shape: USC gains 424 yards and allows 346, while Indiana gains 419.56 and allows just 259.22, including only 75.56 rushing yards. Predicted points added per play (PPA, how much each snap moves a team toward scoring) agrees: Indiana is 0.28 on offense and -0.08 on defense (negative is good), USC 0.24 and 0.11. Against the spread, USC is 3-6 in nine games and Indiana 1-8 in nine. The forecast is 47 degrees, 6 mph wind, no rain.
Jayden Maiava has started all nine games for USC: 198 of 296 for 2,524 yards, 20 touchdowns and five interceptions, which is 280.4 yards and 2.2 touchdowns per game. Josh Hoover has also played nine games for Indiana: 124 of 206, 1,860 yards, 19 touchdowns and two interceptions, or 206.7 yards and 2.1 touchdowns per game. With equal games played, the per-game view is fair: Maiava throws for more yards per game, and Hoover nearly matches his touchdowns per game while Indiana runs for 186.22 yards per game. The question is whether Maiava's arm holds up against a defense allowing 183.67 net passing yards per game.
The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. Indiana is the favorite at -300, best at theScore Bet: risk $100 to profit $33.33, with a 75% break-even (the win rate you need just to not lose money). On the spread, USC +8.5 at +100 wins if USC wins or loses by 8 or fewer. Indiana -8.5 at -104 needs a win by 9 or more. Both are best at Novig, and the half point means no push (a tie that refunds your bet). That small extra charge is the vig, the book's fee. Always shop for the best number across books.
With the vig removed, the market makes Indiana about 75.6% to win and USC 24.4%. Expected value is what a bet averages per $100 risked if you made it many times at that probability. USC +8.5 is plus $0.00, and Indiana -8.5 is minus $1.92. The Over is minus $2.83 and the Under minus $1.01. That is thin.
Indiana moneyline at -300 on theScore Bet. We just want Indiana to win, at the one price paying slightly more than the market's own read.
Indiana's defense, allowing 259.22 yards per game, slows USC after the long trip east, and the Hoosiers' run game keeps the ball moving. We project Indiana 27, USC 20. That adds up to 47 points, under the 50.5 total, though we are not betting either side of the total. It is also a 7-point margin, which would mean USC covers +8.5, one more reason we stick to the winner. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Indiana is the market favorite at -300 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with USC at +285. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
USC vs Indiana airs on CBS. The game kicks off Saturday, November 14 at 3:30 PM ET from Memorial Stadium in Bloomington, Indiana, where the forecast calls for 47 degrees, a 6 mph wind and no chance of rain.
The USC Trojans and Indiana Hoosiers kick off Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 3:30 PM Eastern time on CBS. It is a Big Ten conference game at Memorial Stadium in Bloomington, and both teams come in off a bye with 13 days of rest.
Indiana is 1-8 against the spread, so we skip the 8.5 and back the Hoosiers to simply win at -300 on theScore Bet, the one price on the board with a thin positive expectation. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 50.5, with the over priced at +104 at Novig and the under at -108 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College football betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college football odds · FanDuel betting splits
Public is on Trojans (66% of DraftKings tickets on the spread), DraftKings money is also on Trojans (92%).
The spread opened Hoosiers -7 and is now -8.5; the total moved from 49.5 to 50.5; several books (3) moved the spread on away to 9 together.
On Kalshi, 59% of the money traded on the moneyline is on USC Trojans (4879 trades, $130k traded). On Polymarket, 69% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Indiana Hoosiers (57 trades, $3.1k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. On ProphetX, 79% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Indiana Hoosiers (12 trades, $2.1k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 12, 12:20 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.