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Washington Huskies play at Michigan State Spartans in college football on Saturday, November 14, at Spartan Stadium. As of 7:15 AM ET, Washington are 3.5-point favorites and the total is 43.5. Prices come from 16 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 16 sportsbooks · college football betting splits
Latest since this preview was written: total now 43.5, was 42.5.
DraftKings bettors lean Michigan State Spartans on the spread (67% of tickets).
| Book | BetsWashington HuskiesMichigan State Spartans | MoneyWashington HuskiesMichigan State Spartans |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Washington Huskies -3.5 / Michigan State Spartans +3.5) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Washington Huskies -3 / Michigan State Spartans +3) | ||
| BetMGM (Washington Huskies -3.5 / Michigan State Spartans +3.5) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsWashington HuskiesMichigan State Spartans | MoneyWashington HuskiesMichigan State Spartans |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Washington Huskies (-170) / Michigan State Spartans (+142)) | ||
| BetMGM (Washington Huskies (-165) / Michigan State Spartans (+138)) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOverUnder | MoneyOverUnder |
|---|---|---|
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Over 44 / Under 44) | ||
| BetMGM (Over 44.5 / Under 44.5) | Bets only |
Splits data from DraftKings, Circa and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | Washington Huskies | Michigan State Spartans |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3 | +3 |
| Total 44 | O | U |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
| Market | Washington Huskies | Michigan State Spartans |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -155Bet at theScore Bet → | +153Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | -3.5 +108Bet at Novig → exchange price | +3.5 -108betPARX |
| Total 43.5 | O -103betPARX | U +104Bet at Novig → exchange price |
As of 7:15 AM ET, the spread is Washington -3.5 and the total is 43.5, with 16 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Washington ML | Michigan State ML | Washington spread | Michigan State spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | -167 | +135 | -3.5 -112 | +3.5 -108 | O 43.5 -103 | U 43.5 -118 |
| bet365 | -162 | +137 | -3.5 -105 | +3.5 -115 | O 43.5 -113 | U 43.5 -107 |
| betPARX | -167 | +135 | -3.5 -112 | +3.5 -108 | O 43.5 -103 | U 43.5 -118 |
| BetRivers | -167 | +135 | -3.5 -113 | +3.5 -110 | O 43.5 -105 | U 43.5 -120 |
| Courtside | -166 | +145 | -3.5 -105 | +3.5 -115 | O 43.5 -122 | U 43.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | -160 | +132 | -3.5 -105 | +3.5 -115 | O 43.5 -110 | U 43.5 -110 |
| Fliff | -170 | +135 | -3.5 -110 | +3.5 -120 | O 43.5 -120 | U 43.5 -115 |
| Novig | -156 | +153 | -3.5 +108 | +3.5 -113 | O 43.5 -113 | U 43.5 +104 |
| ProphetX | -156 | +148 | -3.5 +107 | +3.5 -110 | O 43.5 -111 | U 43.5 +104 |
| BetMGM | -165 | +138 | -3.5 -105 | +3.5 -115 | – | – |
Prices from 16 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Washington Huskies12th in the Big Ten ConferenceMichigan State Spartans18th in the Big Ten Conference
Alessio Milivojevic (MSU)142/217, 1,451 YDS, 7 TD, 3 INT (8 GP)
Demond Williams Jr. (WASH)142/220, 1,667 YDS, 11 TD, 4 INT (8 GP)Washington is favored by 3.5 points on the road, and Washington has not covered once as a favorite this season. The Huskies are 0-6 against the spread (beating the margin the betting market sets) as a favorite and 3-0 as an underdog, over nine graded games. So Saturday's Washington Huskies at Michigan State Spartans game asks a simple question: trust the better team, or trust the pattern? Kickoff is Saturday, November 14 at 4:15 PM ET at Spartan Stadium, on BTN.
At publication, Washington is 5-4 and 12th of 18 in the Big Ten. Michigan State is 3-6 and 18th of 18. This is a conference game. Washington averages 364.44 total yards per game and allows 350.44. Michigan State averages 292.11 per game and allows 337. Predicted points added per play (PPA) estimates how many points each snap is worth on average, so higher is better for an offense and lower is better for a defense.
Washington sits at 0.12 on offense and 0.01 on defense. Michigan State sits at -0.02 and 0.13, both over nine games. The catch: Washington flew 1,855 miles and crossed three time zones east. Michigan State came 49 miles from Ann Arbor. Both teams had six days of rest. Expect 43 degrees with an 8 mph wind.
Both quarterbacks have played eight of nine games, so per-game numbers compare cleanly. Washington's Demond Williams Jr. averages 208.4 passing yards, 1.4 touchdowns and 0.5 interceptions per game. Michigan State's Alessio Milivojevic averages 181.4 yards, 0.9 touchdowns and 0.4 interceptions per game. Recent form cuts the other way. Williams is at 155.4 passing yards per game over his last five, with 20.8 rushing yards per game. Milivojevic is at 182.2 passing yards per game over his last five. Each was a change at quarterback from the game before last week.
Washington. Michigan State is +150 at ProphetX: a $100 bet profits $147.00 after the book's fee. Michigan State +3.5 at -108 on betPARX wins outright or by losing by three or fewer. The total (combined points) is 42.5: Over -110 at FanDuel, Under +100 at Hard Rock Bet. That total moved from 43.5 to 42.5 at three books. With the bookmaker's cut (the vig) removed, the market makes Washington 60% to win, Michigan State 40%. Our rating matches that 60/40 split, as context only. Michigan State is 2-7 on over-unders in nine games.
Break-even is the win rate a price needs just to not lose money long term. Washington's moneyline breaks even at 60.5%, and the market's no-vig read is 60.3%. Washington -3.5 is minus $0.37, Michigan State +3.5 is minus $1.47, the Under is minus $1.98 and the Over is minus $2.65, all per $100 risked. Nothing on this board is positive. Washington's moneyline gives up the least, and only at Novig, so shopping the number is the whole game here.
It is a small Desk lean, not an official play. The better per-play offense and the narrowest gap to fair price drive it. We pass on the spread given that 0-6 favorite record.
In Washington vs Michigan State, we see the Huskies grinding out Washington 24, Michigan State 17. That adds up to 41 points, under the 42.5 total, though we are not betting the total. The travel is real, and Michigan State has been a live home side at 3-1-1 against the spread. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Washington is the market favorite at -155 (best price at theScore Bet) on the moneyline, with Michigan State at +153. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Washington vs Michigan State airs on BTN. The game kicks off Saturday, November 14 at 4:15 PM ET from Spartan Stadium, a Big Ten conference matchup in Week 11 of the 2026 regular season.
Kickoff is Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET at Spartan Stadium. The game is broadcast on BTN, and the forecast calls for 43 degrees with an 8 mph wind from the north-northwest.
Washington Huskies vs Michigan State Spartans College Football prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 43.5, with the over priced at -103 at betPARX and the under at +104 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College football betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college football odds · FanDuel betting splits
Public is on Spartans (57% of DraftKings tickets on the spread), DraftKings money leans Huskies (68%).
Several books (3) moved the total on under to 42.5 together.
On Kalshi, 78% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Washington Huskies (106 trades, $1.8k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. On Polymarket, 52% of the money traded on the spread is on Michigan State Spartans (35 trades, $9.5k traded). On ProphetX, 53% of the money traded on the spread is on Michigan State Spartans (46 trades, $2.0k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 12, 10:11 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.