Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina Prediction (Nov 14) | WGT
The Wise Guy Desk · College Football
Arkansas State Red Wolves logo@Coastal Carolina Chanticleers logo

Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina Prediction (Nov 14)

Quick answer
Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina starts Sat, Nov 14, 1:00 PM ET at Brooks Stadium (SC). Listed numbers: spread Chanticleers -1.5, total 51.5 and moneyline +105 / -113 (away / home). The Desk's lean: Arkansas State ML +106 (ProphetX).
From the numbers on this page, compiled by the Wise Guy Desk. Page content last changed November 13, 2026.
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers College Football prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Who will win Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina?

Arkansas State Red Wolves play at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers in college football on Saturday, November 14, at Brooks Stadium (SC). As of 6:56 AM ET, Coastal Carolina are 1.5-point favorites and the total is 51.5. Prices come from 14 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans Arkansas State ML.

Prices updated · from 14 sportsbooks · college football betting splits

Wolves vs Chanticleers: line and start time right now

Line
spread Chanticleers -1.5; total 51.5; moneyline Wolves -1, Chanticleers -119 (consensus of 14 sportsbooks) updated
Start
updated
The lean: Arkansas State ML +106 (ProphetX)
SpreadChanticleers -1.5
Total51.5
Moneyline, away / home+105 / -113
KickoffSat, Nov 14, 1:00 PM ET
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Who is the public betting on Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers?

Spread
BookBetsArkansas State Red Wolves +1.5Coastal Carolina Chanticleers -1.5MoneyArkansas State Red Wolves +1.5Coastal Carolina Chanticleers -1.5
BetMGMBets only
Moneyline
BookBetsArkansas State Red Wolves (+100)Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (-120)MoneyArkansas State Red Wolves (+100)Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (-120)
BetMGMBets only
Total
BookBetsOver 51.5Under 51.5MoneyOver 51.5Under 51.5
BetMGMBets only

Splits data from BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits

Exchange buyers: which side buyers took (Kalshi, Polymarket (international), Novig, ProphetX)

These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.

How to read these numbers

Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.

Kalshi

Moneyline$3.6k traded · 65 trades · $6.7k open
Arkansas State Red WolvesCoastal Carolina Chanticleers
Trades
Money
Light trading: $3.6k so far, percentages can swing
Total 51.5$794 traded · 19 trades · $1.6k open
Over 51.5Under 51.5
Trades
Money
Light trading: $794 so far, percentages can swing
ProphetX

Moneyline$18 traded · 2 trades
Arkansas State Red WolvesCoastal Carolina Chanticleers
Trades
Money
Light trading: $18 so far, percentages can swing
Spread$1.2k traded · 21 trades
Arkansas State Red Wolves +1Coastal Carolina Chanticleers -1
Trades
Money
Light trading: $1.2k so far, percentages can swing
Total 52$173 traded · 8 trades
Over 52Under 52
Trades
Money
Light trading: $173 so far, percentages can swing

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: odds, trends and our lean

📊 Best prices from the regulated US sportsbooks we track Live prices as of 6:56 AM ET · Line shopping can improve your price
MarketArkansas State Red WolvesCoastal Carolina Chanticleers
Moneyline+105betPARX-113Bet at FanDuel →
Spread+1.5 -105Bet at Hard Rock Bet →-1.5 -105Bet at Fanatics →
Total 51.5O -105Bet at Caesars →U -108betPARX

What are the odds for Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina at each sportsbook?

As of 6:56 AM ET, the spread is Coastal Carolina -1.5 and the total is 51.5, with 14 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.

SportsbookArkansas State MLCoastal Carolina MLArkansas State spreadCoastal Carolina spreadOverUnder
bet365-103-117+1.5 -113-1.5 -107O 51.5 -109U 51.5 -111
BetMGM+100-120+1.5 -110-1.5 -108O 51.5 -110U 51.5 -108
Caesars-104-114+1.5 -113-1.5 -107O 51.5 -105U 51.5 -115
Courtside+100-116+1.5 -112-1.5 -108O 51.5 -106U 51.5 -110
DraftKings-102-118+1.5 -112-1.5 -108O 51.5 -108U 51.5 -112
Fanatics+100-120+1.5 -115-1.5 -105O 51.5 -110U 51.5 -110
FanDuel-106-113+1.5 -115-1.5 -105O 51.5 -110U 51.5 -110
Fliff-105-125+1.5 -120-1.5 -115O 51.5 -120U 51.5 -115
Hard Rock Bet+105-130+1.5 -105-1.5 -115O 51.5 -110U 51.5 -110
theScore Bet+100-120+1.5 -110-1.5 -110O 51.5 -110U 51.5 -110

Prices from 14 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.

📊 Team Breakdown real data · updated daily
Season win %
Arkansas State Red Wolves
44%
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
33%
Chance to win, per the betting market (vig removed)

Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →

Players to watch
Deuce BaileyDeuce Bailey (CCU)149/270, 2,178 YDS, 19 TD, 9 INT (9 GP)
Trey OwensTrey Owens (ARST)175/262, 2,133 YDS, 12 TD, 8 INT (9 GP)
How to read this: "chance to win per the betting market" comes from the actual odds with the sportsbook's built-in fee (the vig) stripped out, the market's honest opinion of the game.
🛈 Wise Guy Desk analysis - not an official play. A free breakdown to help you find value and bet the best number. Ross's documented plays are graded win or loss on the members board.
📘 New to betting? Two-minute translation. A moneyline bet is picking who wins, nothing else. In this game, +105 means a $100 bet profits $105 if it wins. The spread is a head start: -7.5 must win by 8+, while +7.5 cashes by losing by 7 or fewer (or winning). The total is combined points by both teams, over or under the books' number. +EV means the price pays better than the market-implied fair odds (vig removed); consistently taking better prices raises your expected return over time. Learn free: Sports Betting 101 · Odds converter · No-vig calculator

Coastal Carolina vs Arkansas State Prediction: A Thin Favorite

Every ticket on this board loses money against the market's own read. That is the puzzle in Coastal Carolina vs Arkansas State. The home team is favored, yet the visitors grade out better per play and give the ball away less. The Arkansas State Red Wolves visit the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Brooks Stadium (SC) on Saturday, November 14 at 1:00 PM ET, streaming on ESPN+. It is a Week 11 conference game. The forecast is clean: 56 degrees, a 9 mph wind from the northwest, and a 0% chance of rain.

The Matchup

As of this writing, Arkansas State is 4-5 and Coastal Carolina is 3-6. Both teams are 4-5 against the spread (ATS, meaning whether they beat the betting margin) over nine graded games. Both are also 4-5 on the over/under. The splits are sharper. Coastal is 1-4 ATS at home and 3-1 on the road. Arkansas State is 2-2 ATS on the road. Both teams get six days of rest. Arkansas State travels 675 miles and crosses one time zone east, while Coastal plays game two of a home stand.

Turnovers are the biggest gap. Over nine games, Coastal commits 2.11 per game and Arkansas State 1.11. Arkansas State's soft spot is its run defense, which allows 203.56 rushing yards per game. One more lens is PPA (predicted points added per play, roughly how many points each snap is worth). Arkansas State's offense sits at 0.17 and Coastal's at 0.08. On defense, where lower is better, Coastal allows 0.1 and Arkansas State 0.16.

Players to Watch

Coastal quarterback Deuce Bailey has played all nine games, averaging 242 passing yards, 2.1 touchdowns and 1 interception per game. Arkansas State's Trey Owens has also played all nine, averaging 237 yards, 1.3 touchdowns and 0.9 interceptions per game. Over his last five games, Owens averages 259.2 passing yards and 33.8 rushing yards per game. Over the same stretch, Bailey averages 227.8 and 20.8.

Who Is Favored, and What Is the Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina Spread?

Coastal Carolina is the favorite. On the moneyline (a bet on who wins outright), Coastal is -110 at FanDuel, so a $100 bet profits $90.91. Arkansas State is the +106 underdog at ProphetX, where $100 profits $103.88 after the book's fee. The vig is the house's built-in cut. With it removed, the market reads Coastal at about 51.9% and Arkansas State at 48.1%. Arkansas State +1.5 wins with an outright win or a one-point loss.

Coastal -1.5 needs to win by two or more. This spread already moved, flipping from 1 to -1 at four books within five minutes. The public split shows 86% of BetMGM spread tickets on the Chanticleers. On ProphetX, 66% of the money traded on the spread is on Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (15 trades, $1.0k traded), which is light trading that can swing. The best prices sit at three different books, which is exactly why we shop every line.

Where the Value Is

Expected value is what a bet returns on average per $100 risked over many tries. Nothing here is positive. Arkansas State +1.5 at -108 needs 51.9% against a 50.7% cover read, minus $2.36. So no number is mispriced in our favor. What tips us is the matchup: the better per-play offense, roughly half the giveaways, and a home favorite that is 1-4 ATS in five home games. Our rating, which is context only, has Arkansas State at 52%. This is a matchup lean, not a market edge.

The Pick

If +106 disappears, we would not chase a worse price.

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The Prediction

We expect Owens to move the ball and Coastal's turnovers to cost it a possession or two. Coastal's run game against that leaky rush defense keeps this close. Our projection is Arkansas State 27, Coastal Carolina 24. That adds up to 51 points, just under the 51.5 total, which is too close to justify a bet on the total. That is our read on this number, and the Desk's documented free play for the day sits right below.

Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina FAQ

Who is favored in Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina?

Coastal Carolina is the market favorite at -113 (best price at FanDuel) on the moneyline, with Arkansas State at +105. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.

Where to watch Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina?

Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina streams on ESPN+. Kickoff is Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET at Brooks Stadium (SC), where the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers host the Arkansas State Red Wolves in a Week 11 conference game.

Who is favored to win Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina?

Coastal Carolina is a slim favorite. Its moneyline is -110 at FanDuel, while Arkansas State is the +106 underdog at ProphetX. The spread has Coastal at -1.5. With the vig removed, the market reads Coastal at about 51.9% and Arkansas State at 48.1%.

What time is the Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina game?

The game kicks off Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET at Brooks Stadium (SC). The forecast for kickoff is 56 degrees with a 9 mph wind from the northwest and a 0% chance of precipitation. The game streams on ESPN+.

Who will win Coastal Carolina vs Arkansas State?

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers College Football prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.

What is the total (over/under) for Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina?

The total is 51.5, with the over priced at -105 at Caesars and the under at -108 at betPARX. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.

Are these College Football picks free?

Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.

How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in College Football games?

Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.

Quick answers

Who is the public betting on in Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers?

Public is on Chanticleers (86% of BetMGM tickets on the spread).

Where has the Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers line moved?

Several books (4) moved the spread on home to -1 together.

Where is the money on the exchanges for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers?

On ProphetX, 66% of the money traded on the spread is on Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (15 trades, $1.0k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.

As of Nov 11, 2:33 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.

This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.

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