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Boston College Eagles play at Notre Dame Fighting Irish in college football on Saturday, November 14, at Notre Dame Stadium. As of 9:50 AM ET, Notre Dame are 29.5-point favorites and the total is 52.5. Prices come from 16 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 16 sportsbooks · college football betting splits
DraftKings bettors lean Boston College Eagles on the spread (67% of tickets).
| Book | BetsBoston College EaglesNotre Dame Fighting Irish | MoneyBoston College EaglesNotre Dame Fighting Irish |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Boston College Eagles +29.5 / Notre Dame Fighting Irish -29.5) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Boston College Eagles +30 / Notre Dame Fighting Irish -30) | ||
| BetMGM (Boston College Eagles +29 / Notre Dame Fighting Irish -29) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsBoston College EaglesNotre Dame Fighting Irish | MoneyBoston College EaglesNotre Dame Fighting Irish |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Boston College Eagles (+1800) / Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-5000)) | ||
| BetMGM (Boston College Eagles (+2200) / Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-5000)) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOver 52.5Under 52.5 | MoneyOver 52.5Under 52.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||
| BetMGM | Bets only |
Splits data from DraftKings, Circa and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | Boston College Eagles | Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +30 | -30 |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
| Market | Boston College Eagles | Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +29.5 -106Bet at Novig → exchange price | -29.5 -102Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Total 52.5 | O +102Bet at Novig → exchange price | U -104Bet at Novig → exchange price |
As of 9:50 AM ET, the spread is Notre Dame -29.5 and the total is 52.5, with 16 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Boston College ML | Notre Dame ML | Boston College spread | Notre Dame spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | +1999 | -3964 | +29.5 -110 | -29.5 -106 | O 52.5 -103 | U 52.5 -113 |
| DraftKings | +1800 | -5000 | +29.5 -112 | -29.5 -108 | O 52.5 -105 | U 52.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | +2500 | -7000 | +29.5 -110 | -29.5 -110 | O 52.5 -105 | U 52.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | +2000 | -8000 | +29.5 -110 | -29.5 -110 | O 52.5 -110 | U 52.5 -110 |
| Novig | +3604 | -3900 | +29.5 -106 | -29.5 -102 | O 52.5 +102 | U 52.5 -104 |
| ProphetX | +2600 | -4200 | +29.5 -109 | -29.5 -104 | O 52.5 +101 | U 52.5 -110 |
| theScore Bet | +2000 | -7500 | +29.5 -110 | -29.5 -110 | O 52.5 -105 | U 52.5 -115 |
| bet365 | – | – | +29.5 -109 | -29.5 -111 | O 52.5 -107 | U 52.5 -113 |
| BetMGM | +2200 | -5000 | – | – | O 52.5 -105 | U 52.5 -115 |
| Caesars | – | – | +29.5 -110 | -29.5 -109 | O 52.5 -109 | U 52.5 -112 |
Prices from 16 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
CJ Carr (ND)177/262, 2,168 YDS, 21 TD, 1 INT (9 GP)
Mason McKenzie (BC)131/229, 1,616 YDS, 10 TD, 8 INT (9 GP)Notre Dame is laying 29.5 points, and 92% of the money on the DraftKings spread is on Boston College anyway. That is the tension in this Week 11 game. The Boston College Eagles visit the Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Notre Dame Stadium on Saturday, November 14 at 3:30 PM ET on NBC. The forecast is mild for November: 44 degrees, a 5 mph wind from the northwest and a 25% chance of precipitation.
Notre Dame, by a lot. As of publication the Irish are 8-1 and No. 3 in the AP Top 25. Boston College is 4-5 and 14th of 17 in the Atlantic Coast Conference. Our rating, an Elo model built on stored results, gives Notre Dame an 89% chance to win and Boston College 11%. That is context, not a bet. Over nine games, Notre Dame gains 439.33 yards and allows 251.89 yards per game.
Boston College gains 351.44 and allows 343.89 per game. PPA, or predicted points added per play, measures how much each snap moves a team's expected scoring. Notre Dame's offense sits at 0.35 and Boston College's at 0 over nine games each. Both teams have six days of rest. The Eagles traveled 772 miles with no time-zone change, and this is game two of a Notre Dame home stand. Notre Dame won the last meeting, 378 days ago.
Both quarterbacks have played all nine of their team's games, so a per-game comparison is fair. CJ Carr averages 240.9 passing yards, 2.3 touchdowns and 0.1 interceptions per game over nine games. Mason McKenzie averages 179.6 passing yards, 1.1 touchdowns and 0.9 interceptions per game over nine games.
Carr's care with the ball fits his team, which turns it over 0.22 times per game. McKenzie's legs are the bigger story. He has run for 62.6 yards per game over his last five games, and Boston College rushes for 165.89 yards per game as a team. Notre Dame allows just 87.11 rushing yards per game, so that is the collision to watch.
A spread is a handicap. Notre Dame -29.5 wins only if the Irish win by 30 or more. Boston College +29.5 wins if the Eagles win or lose by 29 or fewer. The half point means no push (a tie with the book). The line moved from Notre Dame -29 to -30 at four books within five minutes. No moneyline (a straight bet on the winner) is posted in our Boston College vs Notre Dame odds.
The total, both teams' points combined, is 52.5. Under 52.5 is best at -110 at FanDuel ($100 profits $90.91, break-even 52.4%). Against the spread, Boston College is 5-4 over nine graded games (4-3 as an underdog). Notre Dame is 4-5 over nine (4-5 as a favorite). The public split is 71% of DraftKings spread tickets on the Eagles. On Kalshi, 93% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Notre Dame Fighting Irish (816 trades, $61k traded).
Expected value is your average result per bet if you could place it many times. Strip out the vig (the book's built-in fee) and you get the market-implied probability. Every price here grades slightly negative. Notre Dame -29.5 is minus $1.21. The Under is minus $3.45. That is not an edge. It is the lowest break-even on the board, and the matchup leans its way: a Notre Dame offense that averages 439.33 yards per game, a 6-3 over record in nine Irish games, and calm wind for throwing.
Call it a matchup lean at a price that is essentially break-even, and size it small. At -110 the break-even jumps to 52.4%, so shop for plus money.
We see Notre Dame 41, Boston College 17. That adds to 58 points, over the 52.5 total. We pass on both the Notre Dame spread and the Boston College spread, since each side grades negative and the market sits near a coin flip. That is our read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play every day, and it lands right below.
Boston College Eagles vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish College Football prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk.
Boston College vs Notre Dame airs on NBC. Kickoff is Saturday, November 14 at 3:30 PM ET at Notre Dame Stadium. Those are the network and start time listed on the ESPN scoreboard for this Week 11 game.
Notre Dame is the clear favorite. The Fighting Irish are 29.5-point favorites at the best spread price we track, and the line moved from Notre Dame -29 to -30 at four books. Notre Dame is 8-1 and No. 3 in the AP Top 25, while Boston College is 4-5.
The game kicks off Saturday, November 14 at 3:30 PM Eastern time at Notre Dame Stadium. It airs on NBC. The forecast for kickoff calls for 44 degrees, a 5 mph wind from the northwest and a 25% chance of precipitation.
Boston College Eagles vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish College Football prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 52.5, with the over priced at +102 at Novig and the under at -104 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College football betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college football odds · FanDuel betting splits
Public is on Eagles (71% of DraftKings tickets on the spread), DraftKings money is also on Eagles (92%).
The spread has held at Irish -29.5 since it opened; the total has held at 52.5; several books (4) moved the spread on home to -30 together.
On Kalshi, 93% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Notre Dame Fighting Irish (822 trades, $61k traded). On Polymarket, 83% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Notre Dame Fighting Irish (24 trades, $853 traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 13, 7:43 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.