@
Florida Atlantic Owls play at Tulsa Golden Hurricane in college football on Saturday, November 14, at H. A. Chapman Stadium. As of 8:07 AM ET, Tulsa are 5.5-point favorites and the total is 74.5. Prices come from 16 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 16 sportsbooks · college football betting splits
| Book | BetsFlorida Atlantic Owls +6Tulsa Golden Hurricane -6 | MoneyFlorida Atlantic Owls +6Tulsa Golden Hurricane -6 |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | Bets only |
| Book | BetsFlorida Atlantic Owls (+180)Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-220) | MoneyFlorida Atlantic Owls (+180)Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-220) |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOver 74.5Under 74.5 | MoneyOver 74.5Under 74.5 |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | Bets only |
Splits data from BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
| Market | Florida Atlantic Owls | Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +194Bet at Novig → exchange price | -203Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | +5.5 +104Bet at ProphetX → exchange price | -5.5 -108Bet at Caesars → |
| Total 74.5 | O +104Bet at Novig → exchange price | U -106Bet at Novig → exchange price |
As of 8:07 AM ET, the spread is Tulsa -5.5 and the total is 74.5, with 16 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Florida Atlantic ML | Tulsa ML | Florida Atlantic spread | Tulsa spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | +180 | -220 | +5.5 -105 | -5.5 -115 | O 74.5 -110 | U 74.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +181 | -218 | +5.5 -112 | -5.5 -108 | O 74.5 -110 | U 74.5 -109 |
| Courtside | +184 | -213 | +5.5 -108 | -5.5 -112 | O 74.5 -106 | U 74.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | +180 | -218 | +5.5 -108 | -5.5 -112 | O 74.5 -108 | U 74.5 -112 |
| FanDuel | +184 | -220 | +5.5 +100 | -5.5 -120 | O 74.5 -110 | U 74.5 -110 |
| Fliff | +175 | -225 | +5.5 -110 | -5.5 -120 | O 74.5 -115 | U 74.5 -120 |
| ProphetX | +194 | -205 | +5.5 +104 | -5.5 -109 | O 74.5 -101 | U 74.5 -108 |
| Bally Bet | +170 | -215 | +5.5 -110 | -5.5 -109 | – | – |
| BetMGM | +180 | -220 | – | – | O 74.5 -110 | U 74.5 -108 |
| betPARX | +170 | -215 | +5.5 -110 | -5.5 -109 | – | – |
Prices from 16 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Baylor Hayes (TLSA)148/228, 1,681 YDS, 14 TD, 2 INT (7 GP)
Caden Veltkamp (FAU)244/341, 2,746 YDS, 27 TD, 5 INT (9 GP)Florida Atlantic throws for 317.89 net passing yards per game. Tulsa allows 87. One of those numbers bends on Saturday, and the market made the unranked home team a 5.5-point favorite over the ranked visitor. The Florida Atlantic Owls (No. 25 in the AP Top 25, week 10) visit the Tulsa Golden Hurricane at H. A. Chapman Stadium on Saturday, November 14, at 3:30 PM ET on ESPN+. The forecast is 60 degrees, a 10 mph wind from the southeast and a 0% chance of rain.
Tulsa is favored. As of publication, Florida Atlantic is 6-3 and sits 6th of 14 in the American Conference. Tulsa is 5-4. The last meeting came 371 days ago, and Tulsa lost it. Against the spread (ATS, meaning results after the betting handicap), Florida Atlantic is 6-3 over nine graded games and Tulsa is 5-4 over nine. Florida Atlantic has gone over the posted total in 8 of 9 games. Tulsa is 5-4 on over-unders.
Florida Atlantic gets 8 days of rest but traveled 1,155 miles and crossed one time zone west. Tulsa has 6 days of rest after a 548-mile trip from New Orleans. Our rating, an Elo model built on past results, gives Tulsa 55%, short of the market's 66%. That is context, not a bet. On predicted points added per play (PPA, roughly what each snap is worth in points), Tulsa's defense allows 0.03 over 9 games and Florida Atlantic's allows 0.16 over 18. Lower is better on defense.
Florida Atlantic quarterback Caden Veltkamp has played all nine games, averaging 305.1 passing yards, 3 touchdowns and 0.6 interceptions per game, and 313.2 yards per game over his last five. Tulsa's Baylor Hayes has played seven of nine games, averaging 240.1 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0.3 interceptions per game, and 265.6 yards per game over his last five. The real duel is Veltkamp against that 87-yard pass defense. The flip side: Florida Atlantic allows 249.33 rushing yards per game, and Tulsa runs for 165.44 per game.
Start with the moneyline (a bet on who wins outright). Strip out the vig (the book's built-in fee) and the market reads it about 66.1% Tulsa, 33.9% Florida Atlantic. Florida Atlantic +5.5 wins if it wins outright or loses by 5 or fewer, and loses on a 6-point loss. Tulsa -5.5 needs a win by 6 or more. The total (combined points) is 74.5: Over -102 at ProphetX, Under -108 at Courtside. Each is the best price we found across books. Shop every time.
Break-even is the win rate a price needs to finish level. Expected value is what a bet averages per $100 risked over many repeats. Tulsa -199 needs 66.6% against 66.1%: minus $0.66. The Over averages minus $1.96 and the Under minus $3.70. The one spot in the black is Florida Atlantic +5.5 at +102. The public split has 67% of BetMGM spread tickets on Tulsa. We are on the other side.
It is the only price here that pays more than the market's own read. If you find +6 at the same price elsewhere, take it; a bigger number is always better for the underdog.
Tulsa's defense slows Veltkamp, but not to 87 yards, and Tulsa leans on Florida Atlantic's leaky run defense late. Our Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa prediction: Tulsa 37, Florida Atlantic 33. That is a four-point home win, a Florida Atlantic cover, and 70 total points, under the 74.5. We pass on the total since both sides carry negative expectation. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Tulsa is the market favorite at -203 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Florida Atlantic at +194. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa streams on ESPN+. Kickoff is Saturday, November 14, 2026, at 3:30 PM ET from H. A. Chapman Stadium, home of the Tulsa Golden Hurricane.
The game kicks off Saturday, November 14, 2026, at 3:30 PM ET at H. A. Chapman Stadium. The forecast for kickoff is 60 degrees with a 10 mph wind from the southeast and a 0% chance of precipitation.
Florida Atlantic Owls vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane College Football prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 74.5, with the over priced at +104 at Novig and the under at -106 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College football betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college football odds · FanDuel betting splits
Public is on Hurricane (67% of BetMGM tickets on the spread).
As of Nov 10, 8:16 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.