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Florida Gators play at Kentucky Wildcats in college football on Saturday, November 14, at Kroger Field. As of 9:37 AM ET, Kentucky are 3-point favorites and the total is 52.5. Prices come from 15 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans Kentucky Wildcats ML. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 15 sportsbooks · college football betting splits
DraftKings bettors lean Kentucky Wildcats on the spread (68% of tickets).
| Book | BetsFlorida GatorsKentucky Wildcats | MoneyFlorida GatorsKentucky Wildcats |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Florida Gators +3 / Kentucky Wildcats -3) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Florida Gators +4 / Kentucky Wildcats -4) | ||
| BetMGM (Florida Gators +3 / Kentucky Wildcats -3) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsFlorida GatorsKentucky Wildcats | MoneyFlorida GatorsKentucky Wildcats |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Florida Gators (+130) / Kentucky Wildcats (-155)) | ||
| BetMGM (Florida Gators (+125) / Kentucky Wildcats (-145)) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOver 52.5Under 52.5 | MoneyOver 52.5Under 52.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) | ||
| BetMGM | Bets only |
Splits data from DraftKings, Circa and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | Florida Gators | Kentucky Wildcats |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4 | -4 |
| Total 52.5 | O | U |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
| Market | Florida Gators | Kentucky Wildcats |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +141Bet at Novig → exchange price | -140Bet at FanDuel → |
| Spread | +3 -107Bet at Caesars → | -3 -103betPARX |
| Total 52.5 | O -108Bet at Novig → exchange price | U +100Bet at Novig → exchange price |
As of 9:37 AM ET, the spread is Kentucky -3 and the total is 52.5, with 15 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Florida ML | Kentucky ML | Florida spread | Kentucky spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +125 | -145 | +3 -110 | -3 -108 | O 52.5 -112 | U 52.5 -108 |
| Caesars | +133 | -157 | +3 -107 | -3 -113 | O 52.5 -113 | U 52.5 -108 |
| Courtside | +133 | -152 | +3 -108 | -3 -108 | O 52.5 -110 | U 52.5 -106 |
| DraftKings | +130 | -155 | +3 -110 | -3 -110 | O 52.5 -112 | U 52.5 -108 |
| Bally Bet | +128 | -157 | +3 -117 | -3 -103 | – | – |
| bet365 | +140 | -165 | – | – | O 52.5 -111 | U 52.5 -109 |
| betPARX | +128 | -157 | +3 -117 | -3 -103 | – | – |
| BetRivers | +128 | -159 | +3 -120 | -3 -104 | – | – |
| Fanatics | +130 | -155 | +3 -110 | -3 -110 | – | – |
| FanDuel | +118 | -140 | – | – | O 52.5 -115 | U 52.5 -105 |
Prices from 15 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Florida Gators11th in the Southeastern ConferenceKentucky Wildcats3rd in the Southeastern Conference
Kenny Minchey (UK)186/266, 1,979 YDS, 14 TD, 2 INT (9 GP)
Aaron Philo (FLA)110/156, 1,367 YDS, 9 TD, 5 INT (7 GP)The No. 8 Kentucky Wildcats are 7-2 against the spread this season. Against the spread means beating the betting margin oddsmakers set, and Kentucky did it in seven of nine graded games. Now the market asks them to beat the No. 25 Florida Gators by only four points at home. That small ask is the tension in Florida vs Kentucky. It kicks off Saturday, November 14 at 6:15 PM ET on ESPN from Kroger Field. The forecast is 41 F with a 3 mph wind and a 0% chance of rain, so weather should not be a factor.
Kentucky is the favorite. As of publication the Wildcats are 7-2 and third of 16 in the Southeastern Conference. Florida is 5-4 and 11th. Kentucky also won the last meeting, 371 days ago. Both teams get six days of rest. Florida travels 589 miles, while Kentucky comes 144 miles from its last game in Knoxville. Neither crosses a time zone.
The season averages are close. Florida gains 401.22 yards per game and Kentucky 383.56. Both offenses add 0.19 predicted points per play (PPA, an estimate of how much each snap moves a team toward scoring) over nine games. The gap is turnovers. Kentucky's defense forces 2.5 per game, while Florida's offense gives it away 1.44 times per game.
Kenny Minchey has played all nine Kentucky games. He averages 219.9 passing yards, 1.6 touchdowns and 0.2 interceptions per game, and 220.6 passing yards per game over his last five. Aaron Philo leads Florida after seven of nine games, at 195.3 yards, 1.3 touchdowns and 0.7 interceptions per game, with 170 passing yards per game over his last five. Tramell Jones Jr. was Florida's quarterback of record last game, so watch who takes the first snap.
The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. Kentucky is -162 at FanDuel, meaning you risk $162 to profit $100. Florida is +155 at betPARX, so $100 profits $155. Florida +3.5 wins if the Gators win or lose by three or fewer. Kentucky -3.5 needs a win by four or more. A half point means no push (a tie that refunds your bet).
That total moved from 51.5 to 53.5 at four books within five minutes earlier in the week. The public split shows 72% of BetMGM spread tickets on Kentucky, and on Kalshi 82% of moneyline money traded is on Kentucky. Those are crowd numbers, not advice. Shopping matters, because the same bet can pay differently at different books.
Every book bakes in a fee called the vig. Strip it out and the market makes Kentucky about 61.7% to win and Florida 38.3%. At -162, Kentucky needs to win 61.8% of the time to break even. The Under +100 is minus $1.10 and Kentucky -3.5 is minus $1.39. Our rating makes Kentucky 72%, which is context, not a bet.
We lean Kentucky moneyline at -162 at FanDuel as a small matchup opinion, built on a defense forcing 2.5 turnovers per game against a Florida offense coughing up 1.44. Do not pay more than -162, because every extra cent pushes the expected result further below zero.
We see Kentucky 27, Florida 24. That adds to 51 points, under the 52.5 total. Note the lesson: a three-point Kentucky win cashes the moneyline but loses Kentucky -3.5, and Florida +3.5 would win. The spread is a separate bet on the margin. That is the read on this Kentucky vs Florida number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Kentucky is the market favorite at -140 (best price at FanDuel) on the moneyline, with Florida at +141. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Florida vs Kentucky airs on ESPN. The game is played at Kroger Field, home of the Kentucky Wildcats, with kickoff set for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 6:15 PM Eastern time.
The Kentucky Wildcats are favored. Their best moneyline is -162 at FanDuel, and they are 3.5-point favorites on the spread. The Florida Gators are underdogs at +155 at betPARX. With the vig removed, the market makes Kentucky about 61.7% to win.
The Florida Gators at Kentucky Wildcats game kicks off Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 6:15 PM Eastern time at Kroger Field. The forecast calls for 41 F, a 3 mph wind and a 0% chance of precipitation.
Kentucky's turnover-hungry defense earns a thin home moneyline lean at -162, but only at the best number in the market. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 52.5, with the over priced at -108 at Novig and the under at +100 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College football betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college football odds · FanDuel betting splits
Public is on Wildcats (72% of BetMGM tickets on the spread).
Several books (4) moved the total on over to 53.5 together.
On Kalshi, 82% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Kentucky Wildcats (472 trades, $6.1k traded). Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 10, 10:54 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
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