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Cincinnati Bearcats play at Iowa State Cyclones in college football on Saturday, November 14, at Jack Trice Stadium. As of 7:42 AM ET, Iowa State are 3-point favorites and the total is 59.5. Prices come from 16 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 16 sportsbooks · college football betting splits
DraftKings bettors and Circa money lean the same way on the spread: Iowa State Cyclones (54% of DraftKings tickets, 99% of Circa money).
| Book | BetsCincinnati Bearcats +3Iowa State Cyclones -3 | MoneyCincinnati Bearcats +3Iowa State Cyclones -3 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) | ||
| BetMGM | Bets only |
| Book | BetsCincinnati BearcatsIowa State Cyclones | MoneyCincinnati BearcatsIowa State Cyclones |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Cincinnati Bearcats (+124) / Iowa State Cyclones (-148)) | ||
| BetMGM (Cincinnati Bearcats (+120) / Iowa State Cyclones (-145)) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOverUnder | MoneyOverUnder |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Over 59.5 / Under 59.5) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Over 59 / Under 59) | ||
| BetMGM (Over 58.5 / Under 58.5) | Bets only |
Splits data from DraftKings, Circa and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | Cincinnati Bearcats | Iowa State Cyclones |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3 | -3 |
| Total 59 | O | U |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
| Market | Cincinnati Bearcats | Iowa State Cyclones |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +130Bet at Novig → exchange price | -133Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | +3 -109Bet at Caesars → | -3 -103betPARX |
| Total 59.5 | O +104Bet at Kalshi → exchange price | U -109betPARX |
As of 7:42 AM ET, the spread is Iowa State -3 and the total is 59.5, with 16 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Cincinnati ML | Iowa State ML | Cincinnati spread | Iowa State spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | +120 | -150 | +3 -118 | -3 -103 | O 59.5 -110 | U 59.5 -109 |
| betPARX | +120 | -150 | +3 -118 | -3 -103 | O 59.5 -110 | U 59.5 -109 |
| BetRivers | +120 | -150 | +3 -121 | -3 -104 | O 59.5 -113 | U 59.5 -110 |
| Courtside | +127 | -145 | +3 -110 | -3 -106 | O 59.5 -103 | U 59.5 -113 |
| DraftKings | +124 | -148 | +3 -112 | -3 -108 | O 59.5 -105 | U 59.5 -115 |
| bet365 | +125 | -150 | – | – | O 59.5 -107 | U 59.5 -113 |
| BetMGM | +120 | -145 | +3 -110 | -3 -108 | – | – |
| Caesars | +127 | -150 | +3 -109 | -3 -110 | – | – |
| Fanatics | +125 | -150 | +3 -110 | -3 -110 | – | – |
| FanDuel | +120 | -142 | – | – | O 59.5 -110 | U 59.5 -110 |
Prices from 16 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Cincinnati Bearcats12th in the Big 12 ConferenceIowa State Cyclones11th in the Big 12 Conference
Jaylen Raynor (ISU)133/223, 1,672 YDS, 12 TD, 5 INT (9 GP)
JC French IV (CIN)162/243, 1,990 YDS, 15 TD, 3 INT (9 GP)Two-thirds of the spread tickets at DraftKings are on the Cincinnati Bearcats. The only bet on this board with positive math points the other way. That gap is the story of Cincinnati vs Iowa State, kicking off Saturday, November 14, at 12:00 PM ET on TNT, with the Iowa State Cyclones hosting at Jack Trice Stadium. The public split is 67% of DraftKings spread tickets and 64% of the money on Cincinnati. On Kalshi, 65% of the moneyline money traded is on Cincinnati. That is the crowd, not a recommendation.
Iowa State is the favorite. As of this writing, Cincinnati is 5-4 and 12th of 16 in the Big 12, while Iowa State is 4-5 and 11th of 16. The last meeting was 406 days ago, and Iowa State lost it. Both teams have 6 days of rest. Cincinnati is on game 2 of a road trip, 853 miles from Houston. Iowa State traveled 750 miles from Waco. Neither changes time zones.
The forecast is 38 F, a 1 mph wind and no rain. Per game, Cincinnati gains 446.89 yards and allows 445.33. Iowa State gains 381.33 and allows 394.11. PPA (predicted points added per play, roughly how many points each snap is worth) favors Cincinnati's offense, 0.23 to 0.12 over 9 games, with both defenses at 0.16. Against the spread (the record versus the betting line), Cincinnati is 5-4 over 9 games but 1-2 on the road. Iowa State is 3-5-1 over 9.
JC French IV runs Cincinnati. Over 9 games he is 162 of 243 for 1,990 yards, 15 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, or 221.1 yards per game. Over his last five he averages 238.8 passing yards and 29.8 rushing yards. Jaylen Raynor answers for Iowa State. Over 9 games he is 133 of 223 for 1,672 yards, 12 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, or 185.8 yards per game, with 206.6 passing and 15.8 rushing yards per game over his last five. Both have played all 9 games, so the per-game edge to French is a fair comparison. Raynor's opening is a Cincinnati defense allowing 276 passing yards per game.
The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. The spread evens the teams with points. A half point means no push (a tie on the bet). The gap between each break-even and the market's no-vig read is the vig, the book's fee.
Strip the vig and the market makes Iowa State about 57.5% to win and Cincinnati 42.5%. Expected value is your average result if you made this bet many times at this price. Everything else is negative per $100 risked: Cincinnati moneyline minus $2.18, Cincinnati +2.5 minus $0.87, Iowa State -2.5 minus $1.67, Over minus $2.81, Under minus $2.38. Our rating has Iowa State 54% to win, context only.
The cushion is thin, so shop hard. A worse price than -133 eats it. We pass on the spread because -117 carries negative expectation on its own math.
Cincinnati has the louder offense, but Iowa State has the home field and the only number that beats the market's own read. We project Iowa State 31, Cincinnati 27. That adds to 58 points, under the 59.5 total, yet the Under at -108 is still negative, so we stay off it. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Iowa State is the market favorite at -133 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Cincinnati at +130. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
The Cincinnati Bearcats and Iowa State Cyclones kick off Saturday, November 14, 2026, at 12:00 PM Eastern time at Jack Trice Stadium. The broadcast is on TNT. The forecast at kickoff calls for 38 F, a 1 mph wind and a 0% chance of precipitation.
Cincinnati Bearcats vs Iowa State Cyclones College Football prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 59.5, with the over priced at +104 at Kalshi and the under at -109 at betPARX. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College football betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college football odds · FanDuel betting splits
Public is on Bearcats (67% of DraftKings tickets on the spread), DraftKings money is also on Bearcats (64%).
On Kalshi, 65% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Cincinnati Bearcats (188 trades, $6.2k traded). On ProphetX, 59% of the money traded on the spread is on Cincinnati Bearcats (21 trades, $817 traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 12, 4:52 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.