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App State Mountaineers play at Marshall Thundering Herd in college football on Saturday, November 14, at Joan C. Edwards Stadium. As of 8:57 AM ET, App State are 1.5-point favorites and the total is 53.5. Prices come from 16 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 16 sportsbooks · college football betting splits
| Book | BetsAppalachian State MountaineersMarshall Thundering Herd | MoneyAppalachian State MountaineersMarshall Thundering Herd |
|---|---|---|
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Appalachian State Mountaineers -2 / Marshall Thundering Herd +2) | ||
| BetMGM (Appalachian State Mountaineers -1.5 / Marshall Thundering Herd +1.5) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsAppalachian State Mountaineers (-118)Marshall Thundering Herd (+100) | MoneyAppalachian State Mountaineers (-118)Marshall Thundering Herd (+100) |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | Bets only |
Splits data from Circa and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | App State Mountaineers | Marshall Thundering Herd |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2 | +2 |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
| Market | App State Mountaineers | Marshall Thundering Herd |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -111Bet at Novig → exchange price | +106Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | -1.5 +102Bet at Novig → exchange price | +1.5 -105Bet at Hard Rock Bet → |
| Total 53.5 | O -108Bet at Novig → exchange price | U +102Bet at Novig → exchange price |
As of 8:57 AM ET, the spread is App State -1.5 and the total is 53.5, with 16 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | App State ML | Marshall ML | App State spread | Marshall spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | -121 | +101 | -1.5 -111 | +1.5 -109 | O 53.5 -111 | U 53.5 -109 |
| BetMGM | -118 | +100 | -1.5 -110 | +1.5 -110 | O 53.5 -110 | U 53.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | -127 | +102 | -1.5 -115 | +1.5 -108 | O 53.5 -112 | U 53.5 -112 |
| FanDuel | -120 | +100 | -1.5 -110 | +1.5 -110 | O 53.5 -110 | U 53.5 -110 |
| Fliff | -125 | -105 | -1.5 -115 | +1.5 -115 | O 53.5 -120 | U 53.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -125 | +100 | -1.5 -115 | +1.5 -105 | O 53.5 -110 | U 53.5 -110 |
| Novig | -111 | +106 | -1.5 +102 | +1.5 -106 | O 53.5 -108 | U 53.5 +102 |
| ProphetX | -110 | +106 | -1.5 -101 | +1.5 -107 | O 53.5 -108 | U 53.5 +102 |
| Bally Bet | -127 | +102 | – | – | O 53.5 -110 | U 53.5 -109 |
| betPARX | -127 | +102 | – | – | O 53.5 -110 | U 53.5 -109 |
Prices from 16 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson (MRSH)93/149, 1,107 YDS, 6 TD, 5 INT (7 GP)
Malachi Singleton (APP)177/271, 2,156 YDS, 11 TD, 6 INT (9 GP)The betting market makes the App State Mountaineers a slight road favorite. Our own rating model says the Marshall Thundering Herd win this game 65% of the time. That gap is why we slowed down before touching a ticket. Kickoff is Saturday, November 14, at 6:00 PM ET at Joan C. Edwards Stadium, streaming on ESPN+.
Both teams are 5-4 as of this writing, and this is a Week 11 conference game. Marshall lost the last meeting, 357 days ago. App State is the favorite at -112 on the moneyline, which is a bet on who wins outright. Marshall is the underdog at +108. With the bookmaker's cut removed, the market reads that as about 52.8% App State to 47.2% Marshall. Our rating, an Elo model built on past results, leans the other way: Marshall 65%, App State 35%.
That is context, not a bet. Against the spread (ATS, meaning results after the point handicap), App State is 5-4 in 9 graded games and 3-1 on the road. Marshall is 3-6 ATS in 9 games and 1-3 at home. Both teams are 5-4 to the over in 9 games. Rest is even at six days each. App State traveled 158 miles, and Marshall comes in 414 miles from its last game in Statesboro.
Malachi Singleton runs the App State offense. Over 9 games he averages 239.6 passing yards, 1.2 touchdowns and 0.7 interceptions per game, though his last five games dipped to 190 passing yards per game. Carlos Del Rio-Wilson has played 7 of Marshall's 9 games, averaging 158.1 passing yards, 0.9 touchdowns and 0.7 interceptions per game, plus 30.2 rushing yards per game over his last five.
The wrinkle is that Zion Turner was Marshall's quarterback of record last game, a change from the game before, so the starter is worth watching. As teams over 9 games, App State averages 267.1 passing yards per game. Marshall leans on the run at 171.7 rushing yards per game while allowing 406.5 total yards per game.
A spread is a point handicap. App State must win by 2 or more, and a 1-point win loses. The half point means no push (a tie that refunds your money). At -106, you risk $100 to profit $94.34, so you need to win 51.5% of the time to break even. The home number moved from 2.5 to 1.5 at four books within five minutes.
Marshall +108 at ProphetX profits $105.84 (break-even 48.6%). The total, the combined points both teams score, is 53.5. The public split shows 64% of BetMGM moneyline tickets on App State. These are the best app state vs marshall odds we found across the books we track, and shopping like this is the cheapest edge you have.
Every sportsbook builds in a margin called the vig. Strip it out and you get the market's no-vig read. Expected value is your average result per bet over many repeats. App State -1.5 is minus $1.89 and Marshall +1.5 is minus $1.94. The Over is minus $0.98. Only the Under at +100 lands at plus $0.00, meaning the price matches the market's read. It has the lowest break-even on the board at 50%. So there is no measured edge here. This is a matchup lean.
It needs 50% to break even. The forecast calls for 41 degrees with a 5 mph wind. Singleton's passing has cooled to 190 yards per game over his last five. Marshall's quarterback spot changed last game. Treat this as a small, Desk-analysis lean, not an official play.
We see App State grinding out a narrow road win, 27-23. That adds to 50 points, under the 53.5 total. Marshall keeps it close on the ground, but neither offense breaks it open on a cold night. That is our read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it sits right below.
App State is the market favorite at -111 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Marshall at +106. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
App State vs Marshall streams on ESPN+. The game is at Joan C. Edwards Stadium, home of the Marshall Thundering Herd, with kickoff set for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 6:00 PM Eastern time.
The App State Mountaineers are the slight favorite at -112 on the moneyline, with the Marshall Thundering Herd the underdog at +108. With the vig removed, the market reads about 52.8% App State to 47.2% Marshall. App State is -1.5 on the spread.
Kickoff is Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 6:00 PM Eastern time at Joan C. Edwards Stadium. The forecast calls for 41 degrees, a 5 mph wind from the west and a 1% chance of precipitation. The game streams on ESPN+.
App State Mountaineers vs Marshall Thundering Herd College Football prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 53.5, with the over priced at -108 at Novig and the under at +102 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College football betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college football odds · FanDuel betting splits
Public is on Mountaineers (64% of BetMGM tickets on the moneyline).
Several books (4) moved the spread on home to 1.5 together.
As of Nov 10, 8:08 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
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