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Wisconsin Badgers play at Maryland Terrapins in college football on Saturday, November 14, at SECU Stadium. As of 7:59 AM ET, Wisconsin are 8.5-point favorites and the total is 42.5. Prices come from 16 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 16 sportsbooks · college football betting splits
DraftKings bettors lean Wisconsin Badgers on the spread (82% of tickets).
| Book | BetsWisconsin BadgersMaryland Terrapins | MoneyWisconsin BadgersMaryland Terrapins |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Wisconsin Badgers -8.5 / Maryland Terrapins +8.5) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Wisconsin Badgers -9.5 / Maryland Terrapins +9.5) | ||
| BetMGM (Wisconsin Badgers -9 / Maryland Terrapins +9) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsWisconsin BadgersMaryland Terrapins | MoneyWisconsin BadgersMaryland Terrapins |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Wisconsin Badgers (-345) / Maryland Terrapins (+275)) | ||
| BetMGM (Wisconsin Badgers (-350) / Maryland Terrapins (+275)) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOver 42.5Under 42.5 | MoneyOver 42.5Under 42.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||
| BetMGM | Bets only |
Splits data from DraftKings, Circa and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | Wisconsin Badgers | Maryland Terrapins |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -9.5 | +9.5 |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | Wisconsin Badgers | Maryland Terrapins |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -308Bet at Novig → exchange price | +310Bet at ReBet → |
| Spread | -8.5 -108betPARX | +8.5 -108Bet at DraftKings → |
| Total 42.5 | O +104Bet at ProphetX → exchange price | U -108betPARX |
As of 7:59 AM ET, the spread is Wisconsin -8.5 and the total is 42.5, with 16 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Wisconsin ML | Maryland ML | Wisconsin spread | Maryland spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | -360 | +270 | -8.5 -108 | +8.5 -112 | O 42.5 -112 | U 42.5 -108 |
| betPARX | -360 | +270 | -8.5 -108 | +8.5 -112 | O 42.5 -112 | U 42.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | -360 | +270 | -8.5 -110 | +8.5 -113 | O 42.5 -113 | U 42.5 -110 |
| Courtside | -335 | +282 | -8.5 -112 | +8.5 -108 | O 42.5 -106 | U 42.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | -345 | +275 | -8.5 -112 | +8.5 -108 | O 42.5 -108 | U 42.5 -112 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -350 | +275 | -8.5 -110 | +8.5 -110 | O 42.5 -110 | U 42.5 -110 |
| bet365 | -330 | +265 | – | – | O 42.5 -110 | U 42.5 -110 |
| BetMGM | -350 | +275 | – | – | O 42.5 -108 | U 42.5 -110 |
| Caesars | -345 | +275 | – | – | O 42.5 -110 | U 42.5 -109 |
| FanDuel | -335 | +270 | – | – | O 42.5 -110 | U 42.5 -110 |
Prices from 16 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Wisconsin Badgers6th in the Big Ten ConferenceMaryland Terrapins17th in the Big Ten Conference
Malik Washington (MD)187/308, 2,058 YDS, 11 TD, 8 INT (9 GP)
Colton Joseph (WIS)104/187, 1,346 YDS, 11 TD, 5 INT (8 GP)The Wisconsin Badgers are laying 8.5 points on the road, yet the total sits at just 42.5. The Maryland Terrapins have gone over in 7 of 9 games, Wisconsin has gone under in 6 of 9, and one of those habits breaks Saturday at SECU Stadium. The total is the combined points both teams score, and you bet whether the final lands over or under it. Both numbers already moved. The spread went from Wisconsin -8 to -8.5, and the total dropped from 43.5 to 42.5, each at four books within five minutes. Kickoff is 12:00 PM ET on FS1.
Wisconsin, clearly. As of Nov. 11 the Badgers are 6-3 and 6th of 18 in the Big Ten. The Terrapins are 3-6 and 17th. Maryland won the last meeting, 420 days ago. Over nine games, Wisconsin averages 323.22 yards per game and allows 286.44. Maryland averages 369.11 and allows 377.56. PPA (predicted points added, roughly what each play is worth in points) agrees: Wisconsin's defense sits at -0.06, so opponents lose value per snap, while Maryland's gives up 0.11.
Our rating, an Elo model, has Wisconsin at 64%, below the market's 74.9%. Both teams had six days of rest. Wisconsin travels 708 miles and crosses one time zone east. Maryland comes home 539 miles from West Lafayette. Against the spread (results after the point handicap), Wisconsin is 1-3 on the road over four games and Maryland is 1-3-1 at home over five.
Maryland's Malik Washington has played all nine games, averaging 228.7 passing yards, 1.2 touchdowns and 0.9 interceptions per game. Wisconsin's Colton Joseph has played eight games, averaging 168.3 passing yards, 1.4 touchdowns and 0.6 interceptions per game, plus 57.8 rushing yards per game over his last five. The wrinkle: Ryan Hopkins was Wisconsin's quarterback of record last game, a change from the game before. We have no injury report, so confirm the starter before Saturday's kickoff. The forecast is 48 F, a 14 mph northwest wind and no rain.
The price means you risk $102 to win $100. Wisconsin must win by 9 or more, and an 8-point win loses. A $100 bet profits $98.04 and breaks even at 50.5%. Maryland +285 at ReBet breaks even at 26% against 25.1%, minus $3.28. Under +100 at Hard Rock Bet breaks even at 50% against 48.3%, minus $3.47. The public split has 82% of BetMGM spread tickets on the Badgers. On Kalshi, 94% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Wisconsin, but at 190 trades and $3.9k that share can swing.
Expected value is your average result per bet if you placed it many times at that price. Two plays grade positive, and both are thin. Same stake, so the Over is the better number. Both the Wisconsin spread and the Maryland spread grade negative, so they stay on the shelf. For the Over, Maryland is 7-2 over-under in nine games with a defense allowing 377.56 yards per game. Against it, Wisconsin is 3-6 in nine, the wind is real, and the total already dropped a point. An edge this small lives on price, so shop it.
It needs 51.5% to break even, and the market's no-vig read is 51.7%. That is a small edge, so bet it small and only at this price or better. This is Desk analysis, not an official play.
Wisconsin wins, 27-20. That is 47 points, over 42.5, and a 7-point margin short of 8.5, though we pass on Maryland +8.5 because its price grades negative. Maryland's offense moves the ball enough to clear the number while Wisconsin's defense keeps control. That is our read on the Wisconsin vs Maryland odds; the Desk posts a documented free play daily, and it sits right below along with the $1 trial.
Wisconsin is the market favorite at -308 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Maryland at +310. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Wisconsin vs Maryland airs on FS1. Kickoff is Saturday, November 14, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET from SECU Stadium, home of the Maryland Terrapins. It is a Big Ten conference game in Week 11 of the 2026 regular season.
The Wisconsin Badgers are favored. The best moneyline prices we track are Wisconsin -295 at FanDuel and Maryland +285 at ReBet. With the vig removed, the market reads about 74.9% Wisconsin to 25.1% Maryland. The spread is Wisconsin -8.5.
The game kicks off Saturday, November 14, 2026, at 12:00 PM Eastern time at SECU Stadium, with the broadcast on FS1. The kickoff forecast is 48 F with a 14 mph wind from the northwest and a 0% chance of precipitation.
Wisconsin Badgers vs Maryland Terrapins College Football prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 42.5, with the over priced at +104 at ProphetX and the under at -108 at betPARX. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College football betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college football odds · FanDuel betting splits
Public is on Badgers (82% of BetMGM tickets on the spread).
Several books (4) moved the total on under to 42.5 together.
On Kalshi, 94% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Wisconsin Badgers (190 trades, $3.9k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 11, 2:32 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.