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Utah Utes play at Arizona Wildcats in college football on Saturday, November 14, at Casino Del Sol Stadium. As of 8:33 AM ET, Utah are 2.5-point favorites and the total is 54.5. Prices come from 14 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 14 sportsbooks · college football betting splits
DraftKings bettors and Circa money lean the same way on the spread: Utah Utes (69% of DraftKings tickets, 51% of Circa money).
| Book | BetsUtah Utes -2.5Arizona Wildcats +2.5 | MoneyUtah Utes -2.5Arizona Wildcats +2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) | ||
| BetMGM | Bets only |
| Book | BetsUtah UtesArizona Wildcats | MoneyUtah UtesArizona Wildcats |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Utah Utes (-135) / Arizona Wildcats (+114)) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Utah Utes (-135) / Arizona Wildcats (+115)) | ||
| BetMGM (Utah Utes (-135) / Arizona Wildcats (+110)) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOverUnder | MoneyOverUnder |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Over 54.5 / Under 54.5) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Over 55 / Under 55) | ||
| BetMGM (Over 54.5 / Under 54.5) | Bets only |
Splits data from DraftKings, Circa and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | Utah Utes | Arizona Wildcats |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2.5 | +2.5 |
| Total 55 | O | U |
| Moneyline | -135 | +115 |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | Utah Utes | Arizona Wildcats |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -125Bet at Novig → exchange price | +120Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | -2.5 -106Bet at Novig → exchange price | +2.5 +104Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Total 54.5 | O -104Bet at Novig → exchange price | U +100Bet at Novig → exchange price |
As of 8:33 AM ET, the spread is Utah -2.5 and the total is 54.5, with 14 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Utah ML | Arizona ML | Utah spread | Arizona spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | -148 | +118 | -2.5 -115 | +2.5 -105 | O 54.5 -110 | U 54.5 -109 |
| BetMGM | -135 | +110 | -2.5 -112 | +2.5 -105 | O 54.5 -110 | U 54.5 -108 |
| betPARX | -148 | +118 | -2.5 -115 | +2.5 -105 | O 54.5 -110 | U 54.5 -109 |
| BetRivers | -148 | +118 | -2.5 -117 | +2.5 -107 | O 54.5 -112 | U 54.5 -110 |
| Caesars | -137 | +116 | -2.5 -117 | +2.5 -104 | O 54.5 -109 | U 54.5 -110 |
| Courtside | -132 | +116 | -2.5 -115 | +2.5 -105 | O 54.5 -108 | U 54.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | -135 | +114 | -2.5 -115 | +2.5 -105 | O 54.5 -110 | U 54.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | -140 | +115 | -2.5 -115 | +2.5 -105 | O 54.5 -110 | U 54.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | -134 | +114 | -2.5 -110 | +2.5 -110 | O 54.5 -110 | U 54.5 -110 |
| Fliff | -140 | +110 | -2.5 -120 | +2.5 -110 | O 54.5 -120 | U 54.5 -115 |
Prices from 14 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Utah Utes1st in the Big 12 ConferenceArizona Wildcats5th in the Big 12 Conference
Noah Fifita (ARIZ)224/307, 2,794 YDS, 21 TD, 5 INT (9 GP)
Devon Dampier (UTAH)172/253, 2,053 YDS, 20 TD, 7 INT (9 GP)The Utah Utes have covered the spread in eight of nine graded games this season. The Arizona Wildcats have covered in three of nine. Covering means beating the point margin the sportsbooks set, not just winning. That gap is why 74% of spread tickets at DraftKings sit on Utah, and why we slowed down before writing a word.
Utah (9-0 as of this writing, AP No. 2) visits Arizona (7-2, AP No. 22) at Casino Del Sol Stadium on Saturday, November 14 at 7:30 PM ET on Fox. It is a Week 11 Big 12 game with a spread under a field goal. Small numbers like this reward the reader who checks every book.
Utah is. The Utes sit 1st of 16 in the Big 12, and Arizona sits 5th of 16. Utah averages 468.11 total yards and 215.44 rushing yards per game over nine games, and its defense allows just 103.33 rushing yards per game. Arizona wins through the air at 322.89 passing yards per game over nine games, with one turnover per game on both sides of the ball.
PPA (predicted points added, roughly how much each play helps the scoreboard compared with an average play) rates these offenses almost even: 0.24 for Utah and 0.23 for Arizona, with both defenses at -0.02. Our rating, an Elo model built on past results, gives Utah 58% to win. That is close to the market and is context only. Utah gets 6 days of rest and travels 592 miles with no time-zone change. Arizona has 7 days of rest in game two of a home stand. The forecast is 67 degrees, a 9 mph wind and a 6% chance of rain.
Noah Fifita drives Arizona. Over nine games he has completed 224 of 307 passes for 2,794 yards, 21 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, or 310.4 yards per game. Over his last five games he has averaged 332.6. Devon Dampier runs Utah differently. Over nine games he has thrown for 2,053 yards, 20 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, or 228.1 yards per game, and he has run for 69.4 yards per game over his last five. Both have played all nine games, so the comparison is fair: Fifita throws more per game, and Dampier makes defenses chase him.
Every best price here sits at Novig. The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. Utah is the favorite at -127, so $100 risked profits $78.74. Arizona is the underdog at +125, so $100 risked profits $125.00. The spread is Utah -2.5 at -108, which wins only if Utah wins by 3 or more. Arizona +2.5 at +106 wins if Arizona wins or loses by 2 or fewer. The total, a bet on combined points, is 54.5, with the Over at -104 and the Under at +102.
It opened at 53 and climbed to 54.5 over seven moves. The consensus spread opened Arizona +2.5 and is unchanged, though three books briefly moved the home number from 2.5 to 2 within five minutes. That line move is why shopping matters. DraftKings money is 84% on Utah. On Kalshi, 74% of moneyline money is on Utah. On ProphetX, 59% is on Arizona on light trading, so that share can swing.
Every price carries vig, the bookmaker's built-in fee. With it removed, the market makes Utah 55.7% to win. Expected value means that average result per bet if you could repeat it many times. The spread is a separate bet. Arizona +2.5 at +106 breaks even at 48.5%.
It wins if Arizona wins outright or loses by 2 or fewer. It loses on a 3-point Utah win. You need 48.5% to break even. A +3 at the same price would be better, since a 3-point loss would push (refund your stake). A +2 at the same price would be worse.
Our Utah vs Arizona prediction: Utah 27, Arizona 26. That adds up to 53 points, below the 54.5 total. Utah stays unbeaten, Fifita keeps it within a point, and the half point we shopped for does its job. No guarantees, just a price that pays slightly more than the market's own read. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Utah is the market favorite at -125 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Arizona at +120. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
The Utah Utes at Arizona Wildcats game airs on Fox. It kicks off Saturday, November 14 at 7:30 PM ET from Casino Del Sol Stadium, a Week 11 Big 12 Conference matchup between the AP No. 2 Utes and the AP No. 22 Wildcats.
Utah at Arizona kicks off Saturday, November 14 at 7:30 PM ET at Casino Del Sol Stadium, with the broadcast on Fox. The forecast for kickoff calls for 67 degrees, a 9 mph wind from the WNW and a 6% chance of precipitation.
Unbeaten Utah has the public and an 8-1 cover record, but the number points the other way: we lean Arizona +2.5 at +106. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 54.5, with the over priced at -104 at Novig and the under at +100 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College football betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college football odds · FanDuel betting splits
Public is on Utes (75% of DraftKings tickets on the spread), DraftKings money is also on Utes (84%).
The spread has held at Wildcats +2.5 since it opened; the total moved from 53 to 54.5; several books (3) moved the spread on away to -2.5 together.
On Kalshi, 74% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Utah Utes (1412 trades, $55k traded). On ProphetX, 59% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Arizona Wildcats (38 trades, $1.7k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 12, 8:05 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.