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Troy Trojans play at South Alabama Jaguars in college football on Saturday, November 14, at Hancock Whitney Stadium. As of 9:37 AM ET, South Alabama are 3-point favorites and the total is 55.5. Prices come from 17 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans Troy ML. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 17 sportsbooks · college football betting splits
| Book | BetsTroy Trojans +3South Alabama Jaguars -3 | MoneyTroy Trojans +3South Alabama Jaguars -3 |
|---|---|---|
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) | ||
| BetMGM | Bets only |
| Book | BetsTroy Trojans (+125)South Alabama Jaguars (-145) | MoneyTroy Trojans (+125)South Alabama Jaguars (-145) |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOver 55.5Under 55.5 | MoneyOver 55.5Under 55.5 |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | Bets only |
Splits data from Circa and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | Troy Trojans | South Alabama Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3 | -3 |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
No trades captured yet on ProphetX for this line
No trades captured yet on ProphetX for this line
| Market | Troy Trojans | South Alabama Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +145Bet at Hard Rock Bet → | -145Bet at BetMGM → |
| Spread | +3 -105Bet at DraftKings → | -3 -106Bet at Bally Bet → |
| Total 55.5 | O +100Bet at Novig → exchange price | U -102Bet at Novig → exchange price |
As of 9:37 AM ET, the spread is South Alabama -3 and the total is 55.5, with 17 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Troy ML | South Alabama ML | Troy spread | South Alabama spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | +125 | -157 | +3 -114 | -3 -106 | O 55.5 -112 | U 55.5 -108 |
| BetMGM | +125 | -145 | +3 -110 | -3 -108 | O 55.5 -112 | U 55.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | +125 | -157 | +3 -115 | -3 -108 | O 55.5 -113 | U 55.5 -109 |
| Caesars | +128 | -150 | +3 -108 | -3 -112 | O 55.5 -115 | U 55.5 -105 |
| DraftKings | +130 | -155 | +3 -105 | -3 -115 | O 55.5 -112 | U 55.5 -108 |
| bet365 | +130 | -155 | – | – | O 55.5 -111 | U 55.5 -109 |
| Circa | +135 | -155 | +3 -105 | -3 -115 | – | – |
| Fanatics | +130 | -155 | +3 -110 | -3 -110 | – | – |
| FanDuel | +122 | -146 | – | – | O 55.5 -110 | U 55.5 -110 |
| Fliff | +125 | -155 | – | – | O 55.5 -120 | U 55.5 -115 |
Prices from 17 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Jared Hollins (USA)82/156, 1,195 YDS, 9 TD, 4 INT (7 GP)
Goose Crowder (TROY)102/183, 1,162 YDS, 9 TD, 5 INT (7 GP)Two 4-5 teams. A 3-point spread. Only one price on the entire board pays a hair more than the market thinks it should. That gap is small, but finding gaps like it is the whole job. Here is how the Troy Trojans at South Alabama Jaguars sets up, and where the number leans.
South Alabama is the favorite. Both teams are 4-5 as of publication. This is a conference game at Hancock Whitney Stadium on Saturday, November 14 at 7:00 PM ET, streaming on ESPN+. They last met 406 days ago, and South Alabama lost. The per-game averages lean Jaguars. South Alabama gains 413.22 yards per game and allows 365.6. Troy gains 358.56 and allows 425.33. South Alabama also turns it over just 0.78 times per game, compared with 1.67 for Troy. PPA (predicted points added, an estimate of how many points each play is worth) shows South Alabama's offense at 0.16 to Troy's -0.01 over 9 games each.
On defense, though, lower is better, and Troy's 0.05 beats South Alabama's 0.23. Against the spread (whether a team beat the betting margin), Troy is 3-6 over 9 graded games and 2-3 as an underdog. South Alabama is 5-4 over 9, 2-2 at home. Both sides had 6 days of rest. Troy traveled 145 miles from home, and South Alabama traveled 239 miles from its last game in Lafayette. The forecast is 56 F, 5 mph wind from the north, 0% chance of rain.
Jared Hollins has thrown for 170.7 yards, 1.3 touchdowns and 0.6 interceptions per game over 7 games for South Alabama. Over his last 5 he is at 200.6 passing yards and 26.2 rushing yards per game. Goose Crowder has averaged 166 yards, 1.3 touchdowns and 0.7 interceptions per game over 7 games for Troy, with 159.2 passing and 45.8 rushing yards per game over his last 5. The catch is that neither was the quarterback of record last game. Troy's was Tucker Kilcrease. South Alabama's was Bishop Davenport, a change from the game before. Watch who starts.
The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. Troy is +145 at theScore Bet, so $100 profits $145. South Alabama is -144 at ProphetX, where $100 profits $68.06 after the book's fee. The spread is a bet on the margin. Troy +3 at -106 (Courtside) wins if Troy wins or loses by 2 or fewer. South Alabama -3 at -106 (Bally Bet) needs a win by 4 or more.
A 3-point finish is a push, meaning your stake comes back. The total (combined points) is 55.5, with the Over -110 at Courtside and the Under -105 at Caesars. The total moved from 55.5 to 56.5 at 3 books within 5 minutes, so shop it. The public split shows 56% of BetMGM spread tickets on the Jaguars.
Remove the vig (the book's built-in fee) and the market reads South Alabama 58.7%, Troy 41.3%. Troy at +145 breaks even at 40.8%. Everything else is negative per $100 risked: South Alabama moneyline minus $1.38, Troy +3 minus $3.06, South Alabama -3 minus $2.60, Over minus $3.66, Under minus $3.29. Our rating also has it 59% to 41%, matching the market as context.
Troy Trojans moneyline at +145 at theScore Bet.
Troy's defense has been stingier per play, and Troy won the last meeting. We see Troy 27, South Alabama 24. That adds to 51, under the 55.5 total, but the Under's price is still negative, so we pass on it. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
South Alabama is the market favorite at -145 (best price at BetMGM) on the moneyline, with Troy at +145. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Troy vs South Alabama streams on ESPN+. The game kicks off Saturday, November 14 at 7:00 PM ET at Hancock Whitney Stadium, home of the South Alabama Jaguars, in a conference matchup between two teams that are 4-5 as of publication.
South Alabama is the favorite. The Jaguars are -144 on the moneyline at ProphetX and -3 on the spread, while Troy is +145 at theScore Bet and +3. With the vig removed, the market reads South Alabama about 58.7% to Troy 41.3%.
The Troy Trojans at South Alabama Jaguars game kicks off Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM Eastern time at Hancock Whitney Stadium. The forecast for kickoff is 56 F with a 5 mph north wind and a 0% chance of precipitation.
Troy Trojans vs South Alabama Jaguars College Football prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 55.5, with the over priced at +100 at Novig and the under at -102 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College football betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college football odds · FanDuel betting splits
Several books (3) moved the total on over to 56.5 together.
As of Nov 10, 2:49 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
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