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Tennessee Volunteers play at Texas A&M Aggies in college football on Saturday, November 14, at Kyle Field. As of 8:57 AM ET, Tennessee are 2.5-point favorites and the total is 43.5. Prices come from 16 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 16 sportsbooks · college football betting splits
Public is on Tennessee Volunteers spread (83% of DraftKings tickets), but Circa money leans Texas A&M Aggies (77%).
| Book | BetsTennessee Volunteers -2.5Texas A&M Aggies +2.5 | MoneyTennessee Volunteers -2.5Texas A&M Aggies +2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) | ||
| BetMGM | Bets only |
| Book | BetsTennessee VolunteersTexas A&M Aggies | MoneyTennessee VolunteersTexas A&M Aggies |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Tennessee Volunteers (-135) / Texas A&M Aggies (+114)) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Tennessee Volunteers (-140) / Texas A&M Aggies (+120)) | ||
| BetMGM (Tennessee Volunteers (-140) / Texas A&M Aggies (+115)) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOverUnder | MoneyOverUnder |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Over 44.5 / Under 44.5) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Over 44 / Under 44) | ||
| BetMGM (Over 44.5 / Under 44.5) | Bets only |
Splits data from DraftKings, Circa and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | Tennessee Volunteers | Texas A&M Aggies |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2.5 | +2.5 |
| Total 44 | O | U |
| Moneyline | -140 | +120 |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
| Market | Tennessee Volunteers | Texas A&M Aggies |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -130Bet at Novig → exchange price | +125Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | -2.5 -102Bet at Novig → exchange price | +2.5 +100Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Total 43.5 | O -108betPARX | U +103Bet at ProphetX → exchange price |
As of 8:57 AM ET, the spread is Tennessee -2.5 and the total is 43.5, with 16 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Tennessee ML | Texas A&M ML | Tennessee spread | Texas A&M spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | -134 | +108 | -2.5 -107 | +2.5 -113 | O 43.5 -108 | U 43.5 -112 |
| bet365 | -135 | +115 | -2.5 -116 | +2.5 -104 | O 43.5 -117 | U 43.5 -103 |
| betPARX | -134 | +108 | -2.5 -107 | +2.5 -113 | O 43.5 -108 | U 43.5 -112 |
| FanDuel | -142 | +120 | -2.5 -115 | +2.5 -105 | O 43.5 -115 | U 43.5 -105 |
| Fliff | -140 | +110 | -2.5 -120 | +2.5 -110 | O 43.5 -125 | U 43.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -135 | +110 | -2.5 -105 | +2.5 -110 | O 43.5 -110 | U 43.5 -110 |
| ProphetX | -129 | +123 | -2.5 -103 | +2.5 -103 | O 43.5 -117 | U 43.5 +103 |
| theScore Bet | -135 | +115 | -2.5 -115 | +2.5 -105 | O 43.5 -120 | U 43.5 +100 |
| BetMGM | -140 | +115 | -2.5 -112 | +2.5 -105 | – | – |
| BetRivers | -134 | +108 | – | – | O 43.5 -109 | U 43.5 -113 |
Prices from 16 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Tennessee Volunteers5th in the Southeastern ConferenceTexas A&M Aggies14th in the Southeastern Conference
Marcel Reed (TA&M)151/265, 1,641 YDS, 8 TD, 8 INT (9 GP)
George MacIntyre (TENN)78/117, 853 YDS, 2 TD, 3 INT (7 GP)No. 9 Tennessee is 7-2. Texas A&M is 4-5. Yet the market only asks Tennessee to win by a field goal, and that gap between the records and the price is the story here. The Tennessee Volunteers visit the Texas A&M Aggies at Kyle Field on Saturday, November 14, at 3:00 PM ET on ESPN. Since the open, the spread has drifted toward the home side.
Tennessee is the favorite. The Vols sit 5th of 16 in the Southeastern Conference, and the Aggies sit 14th. Over nine games, Tennessee averages 393.89 total yards per game and allows 296.44. A&M averages 359.22 and allows 320. The clearest gap is on the ground. Tennessee runs for 216 yards per game, and A&M allows 129.89.
PPA (predicted points added per play, roughly how many points each snap is worth) has Tennessee at 0.19 on offense and -0.08 on defense over nine games, against A&M's 0.07 and 0. Both teams have six days of rest. Against the spread (results after the betting handicap), Tennessee is 5-4 over nine graded games and 1-2 on the road. A&M is 4-5 over nine and 1-3 as an underdog.
Marcel Reed has played all nine games for A&M, averaging 182.3 passing yards, 0.9 touchdowns and 0.9 interceptions per game. He adds 20.4 rushing yards per game over his last five. George MacIntyre has played seven of Tennessee's nine games, averaging 121.9 passing yards, 0.3 touchdowns and 0.4 interceptions per game, with 158.2 per game over his last five. The turnover battle matters. Both offenses give it away 1.22 times per game over nine games, but Tennessee's defense takes it away 1.89 times per game.
The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. Tennessee -125 at ProphetX means $100 risked profits $78.40 after the book's fee, and it needs to win 56.1% of the time to break even. The spread handicaps the favorite. The total, 43.5, is a bet on combined points. Over -108 at betPARX breaks even at 51.9%.
Under +103 at ProphetX breaks even at 49.8%. The lines are moving. The spread opened at A&M +3.5, and four books now show +1.5. Remember, for an underdog the bigger number is better, so +2.5 beats +1.5. The total opened at 45 and sits at 43.5 at the best price, though four books moved the over to 44.5.
The vig is the book's built-in fee. Strip it out and the market reads this 55.5% Tennessee, 44.5% Texas A&M. Expected value (EV) is your average result per bet over many repeats. That is an average, not a payout. Our rating likes Tennessee at 64%, which is context only, and a reason to keep this small. The edge is thin. Below +125, we pass.
Shop it, because the edge lives in those last few cents.
The public is all over the Vols, with 86% of DraftKings spread tickets and 98% of the money on Tennessee. On Kalshi, 93% of the money traded is on Tennessee. That is the crowd, not a reason. With 15 mph wind and both teams low-scoring against the total (Tennessee 2-7 over nine games, A&M 3-6 over nine), we see a grinder at home. Texas A&M 21, Tennessee 20, which adds to 41, below the 43.5 total. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Tennessee is the market favorite at -130 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Texas Am at +125. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Tennessee vs Texas A&M airs on ESPN. The game kicks off Saturday, November 14, 2026, at 3:00 PM ET from Kyle Field. The forecast at kickoff is 69 F with 15 mph wind from the southeast and a 14% chance of precipitation.
Kickoff is Saturday, November 14, 2026, at 3:00 PM Eastern time on ESPN. The game is played at Kyle Field and is Week 11 of the 2026 college football regular season, a Southeastern Conference matchup.
No. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 43.5, with the over priced at -108 at betPARX and the under at +103 at ProphetX. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College football betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college football odds · FanDuel betting splits
Public is on Volunteers (82% of DraftKings tickets on the spread), DraftKings money is also on Volunteers (98%).
The spread opened Aggies +3.5 and is now +2.5; the total moved from 45 to 43.5; several books (4) moved the total on over to 44.5 together.
On Kalshi, 93% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Tennessee Volunteers (1923 trades, $56k traded). On Polymarket, 87% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Tennessee Volunteers (38 trades, $1.2k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. On ProphetX, 61% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Tennessee Volunteers (19 trades, $804 traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 13, 8:09 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.