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This game has ended. Each team's next preview is below, with the current odds and the Desk's read.
Exchange buyers before kickoff: which side buyers took (Kalshi, Polymarket (international), Novig, ProphetX)
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
How to read these numbers
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Kalshi
Moneyline$1.3M traded · 36k trades
Baltimore RavensDallas Cowboys
Trades
Money
Spread$714k traded · 4.3k trades
Baltimore Ravens -3.5Dallas Cowboys +3.5
Trades
Money
Total 53.5$208k traded · 2.3k trades
Over 53.5Under 53.5
Trades
Money
Polymarket (international)
Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
Moneyline$325k traded · 607 trades
Baltimore RavensDallas Cowboys
Trades
Money
Spread$322k traded · 155 trades
Baltimore Ravens +3.5Dallas Cowboys -3.5
Trades
Money
Total 52.5$55k traded · 212 trades
Over 52.5Under 52.5
Trades
Money
Last read before kickoff .
Dallas Cowboys win price on Kalshi and Polymarket (international) as kickoff neared
Dallas Cowboys to win, from 167 hours before the start to 1 min before the start: Polymarket (international) 44% to 39%; Kalshi 47% to 39%. These are exchange prices, read as the chance the market gave Dallas Cowboys, not sportsbook odds. Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
Polymarket (international)KalshiScale 30% to 50%
🔒 Official Bonus play
Ross has an official play on this game
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WHALE WINNER
✓ CASHED · ORE Ducks +7.5 (Spread)
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Baltimore Ravens vs Dallas Cowboys: odds, trends and the matchup
📊 Best prices from the US sportsbooks and exchanges we track (exchange prices are marked) Prices when this preview was published
| Market | Baltimore Ravens | Dallas Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -167Pregame price at Novig → exchange price | +163Pregame price at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | -3.5 +108Pregame price at Novig → exchange price | +3.5 -111Pregame price at Novig → exchange price |
| Total 53.5 | O +106Pregame price at Novig → exchange price | U -108Pregame price at Novig → exchange price |
📊 Team Breakdown archived pregame data
Season win %
Baltimore Ravens
50%
Dallas Cowboys
50%
Chance to win, per the betting market (vig removed)
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Standings & streak
Baltimore Ravens2nd in the AFC North
Dallas Cowboys3rd in the NFC EastPlayers to watch
Dak Prescott (DAL)48/65, 454 YDS, 6 TD, 1 INT
Lamar Jackson (BAL)38/56, 559 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INTHow to read this: "chance to win per the betting market" comes from the actual odds with the sportsbook's built-in fee (the vig) stripped out, the market's honest opinion of the game.
🛈 Wise Guy Desk analysis - not an official play. A free breakdown to help you find value and bet the best number. Ross's documented plays are graded win or loss on the members board.
📘 New to betting? Two-minute translation. A moneyline bet is picking who wins, nothing else. In this game, +163 means a $100 bet profits $163 if it wins. The spread is a head start: -7.5 must win by 8+, while +7.5 cashes by losing by 7 or fewer (or winning). The total is combined points by both teams, over or under the books' number. +EV means the price pays better than the market-implied fair odds (vig removed); consistently taking better prices raises your expected return over time. Learn free: Sports Betting 101 · Odds converter · No-vig calculator
Two 1-1 Teams, One Number That Does Not Fit
Lamar Jackson has thrown for 105 more yards than Dak Prescott this season. He also has four fewer touchdown passes. The market has looked at both of those facts and still made Baltimore roughly a 61.5% favorite once the sportsbook's built-in commission is stripped out. That is the tension in Ravens vs Cowboys: one team moves the ball, the other finishes drives, and the price only respects one of them. Kickoff is Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET at Maracanã Stadium, with Dallas listed as the home team.
The Matchup
Both clubs sit at 1-1 as of today. Baltimore is 2nd of 4 in the AFC North. Dallas is 3rd of 4 in the NFC East. This is Week 3 of the 2026 regular season, so the sample is two games deep for each side, which means the numbers below are signals, not settled facts. There is no head-to-head series data in front of us for this meeting, so we are not going to pretend history is telling us anything here. What we have is a short favorite, a high total, and a neutral stadium where neither club gets a normal home routine.
Players to Watch
Dak Prescott is 48 of 65 for 454 yards with 6 touchdowns and 1 interception. That is a 73.8% completion rate and a touchdown on roughly one of every eleven throws. Elite red-zone conversion, small sample. Lamar Jackson is 38 of 56 for 559 yards with 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, which is 14.7 yards per completion and the bigger chunk-play profile. Baltimore is winning field position through the air. Dallas is turning fewer snaps into points. If Prescott keeps scoring at that rate, the Cowboys do not need to out-gain anybody.
The Numbers
Moneyline means you are just picking the winner. The point spread is a margin bet. Every best price we found lives at Novig, and that is the point of shopping. Same game, different windows, different payouts.
Injuries
Dallas lists three: P.J. Locke on injured reserve, Cobie Durant out, Malik Hooker out. That is real attrition in the secondary against a quarterback averaging 14.7 yards a completion. Baltimore lists three as well: Ronnie Stanley out, T.J. Tampa on injured reserve, Zay Flowers questionable, which means uncertain and nothing more. Inactives land 90 minutes before Sunday's 4:25 PM ET kickoff.
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Injury Report
DALP.J. Locke (Injured Reserve), Cobie Durant (Out), Malik Hooker (Out)
BALZay Flowers (Questionable), Ronnie Stanley (Out), T.J. Tampa (Injured Reserve)
More NFL matchups
Ravens vs Cowboys FAQ
Who was favored in Ravens vs Cowboys?
Ravens is the market favorite at -167 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Cowboys at +163. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
What was the pregame read on Cowboys vs Ravens?
Two 1-1 teams meet at Maracanã Stadium with a short spread, a 53.5 total, and prices that disagree with each other. Wise Guy Team has an official play on this game. Members see it on their board.
What is the total (over/under) for Ravens vs Cowboys?
The total is 53.5, with the over priced at +106 at Novig and the under at -108 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Are these NFL picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in NFL games?
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: NFL public betting splits · DraftKings betting splits