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Ole Miss Rebels play at Oklahoma Sooners in college football on Sunday, November 15, at Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK). As of 9:25 AM ET, Oklahoma are 2.5-point favorites and the total is 49.5. Prices come from 13 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 13 sportsbooks · college football betting splits
DraftKings bettors lean Ole Miss Rebels on the spread (68% of tickets).
| Book | BetsOle Miss Rebels +2.5Oklahoma Sooners -2.5 | MoneyOle Miss Rebels +2.5Oklahoma Sooners -2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||
| BetMGM | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOle Miss RebelsOklahoma Sooners | MoneyOle Miss RebelsOklahoma Sooners |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Ole Miss Rebels (+124) / Oklahoma Sooners (-148)) | ||
| BetMGM (Ole Miss Rebels (+115) / Oklahoma Sooners (-140)) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOver 49.5Under 49.5 | MoneyOver 49.5Under 49.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||
| BetMGM | Bets only |
Splits data from DraftKings and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
| Market | Ole Miss Rebels | Oklahoma Sooners |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +132Bet at ProphetX → exchange price | -130Bet at Hard Rock Bet → |
| Spread | +2.5 +106Bet at Novig → exchange price | -2.5 -105Bet at Hard Rock Bet → |
| Total 49.5 | O -105Bet at theScore Bet → | U -108Bet at Caesars → |
As of 9:25 AM ET, the spread is Oklahoma -2.5 and the total is 49.5, with 13 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Ole Miss ML | Oklahoma ML | Ole Miss spread | Oklahoma spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | +119 | -139 | +2.5 -109 | -2.5 -111 | O 49.5 -107 | U 49.5 -113 |
| Caesars | +120 | -141 | +2.5 -109 | -2.5 -110 | O 49.5 -112 | U 49.5 -108 |
| Courtside | +127 | -145 | +2.5 -105 | -2.5 -115 | O 49.5 -106 | U 49.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | +124 | -148 | +2.5 -105 | -2.5 -115 | O 49.5 -108 | U 49.5 -112 |
| Fliff | +115 | -145 | +2.5 -110 | -2.5 -120 | O 49.5 -115 | U 49.5 -120 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +110 | -130 | +2.5 -115 | -2.5 -105 | O 49.5 -110 | U 49.5 -110 |
| theScore Bet | +120 | -140 | +2.5 -105 | -2.5 -115 | O 49.5 -105 | U 49.5 -115 |
| Bally Bet | +108 | -132 | – | – | O 49.5 -112 | U 49.5 -109 |
| betPARX | +108 | -132 | – | – | O 49.5 -112 | U 49.5 -109 |
| BetRivers | +108 | -134 | – | – | O 49.5 -113 | U 49.5 -110 |
Prices from 13 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Ole Miss Rebels6th in the Southeastern ConferenceOklahoma Sooners10th in the Southeastern Conference
John Mateer (OU)183/280, 2,042 YDS, 15 TD, 7 INT (9 GP)
Trinidad Chambliss (MISS)207/330, 2,359 YDS, 18 TD, 9 INT (9 GP)The No. 19 team in the country is getting points in Norman. The Ole Miss Rebels, ranked No. 19 in the AP Top 25, are underdogs against an unranked Oklahoma Sooners team. Our rating, an Elo model used only as context, gives Ole Miss 52% to win. The market gives the Rebels 44%. Kickoff is Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET at Memorial Stadium, Week 11. The forecast calls for 43 degrees, a 10 mph east wind and an 82% chance of precipitation. A ranked dog on a wet field deserves a slow read.
As of publication, Ole Miss is 6-3 and sits 6th of 16 in the Southeastern Conference. Oklahoma is 5-4 and sits 10th. The last meeting came 386 days ago, and Oklahoma lost. Over nine games, Ole Miss averages 418.78 total yards per game but allows 394.67 per game. Oklahoma gains just 338.44 per game while allowing only 293.33.
PPA (predicted points added, the average points each play is worth) agrees. Ole Miss is 0.2 on offense. Oklahoma's defense is -0.07, and negative means it takes points away. Both teams had 7 days of rest. Ole Miss traveled 453 miles with no time-zone change. Oklahoma traveled 961 miles from its last game in Gainesville and crossed one time zone west.
Trinidad Chambliss is 207 of 330 for 2,359 yards, 18 touchdowns and 9 interceptions over nine games. That works out to 262.1 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception per game. John Mateer, also over nine games, is 183 of 280 for 2,042 yards, 15 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, or 226.9 yards, 1.7 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions per game.
Recent form is closer. Chambliss averages 227.4 passing yards per game over his last five games, and Mateer averages 231.8 over his last five. A Nov. 12 headline reported, citing sources, that Ole Miss running back Kewan Lacy will miss the rest of the season. That hurts a team averaging 147.33 rushing yards per game.
Oklahoma is favored. The moneyline (a bet on who wins outright) has Oklahoma at -130 at FanDuel, so you risk $130 to profit $100. Take out the vig (the book's built-in fee) and the market reads it about 55.9% Oklahoma, 44.1% Ole Miss. The spread (a bet on the margin) is Oklahoma -2.5 at -105 at Hard Rock Bet, which needs a win by 3 or more. A 3-point Oklahoma win beats that ticket.
The total (combined points) is 49.5, with the Over at +103 at ProphetX and the Under at -108 at Caesars. These are the best prices we found. Checking every book for them, called line shopping, is the cheapest edge you have. Both teams are 4-5 against the spread (ATS, meaning versus the betting line) over nine graded games. Oklahoma is 3-6 to the over-under in nine games. The public split shows 65% of DraftKings spread tickets on the Rebels, while 65% of the money leans Sooners.
Break-even is the win rate a price needs so you stop losing money. Expected value is the average result per bet over many tries. The honest part is that no price here beats the market's own no-vig read. So any play is a matchup opinion. Ours rests on the Ole Miss offense and on Oklahoma going 2-4 ATS in six games as a favorite. The Lacy loss is a real counterweight.
Break-even is 49%. This is a small matchup lean with a slightly negative expected result, so size it lightly. If a book posts +3 at a similar price, that is the better ticket, because a 3-point loss would push (refund your stake) instead of losing.
Our Oklahoma vs Ole Miss prediction is a grind in the rain. Oklahoma's defense allows 170.67 passing yards per game, and we see Chambliss doing just enough against it. Ole Miss 24, Oklahoma 21. That adds up to 45 points, under the 49.5 total, but the Under at -108 does not pay enough, so we pass on it. That is our read on this number. The Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it sits right below.
Oklahoma is the market favorite at -130 (best price at Hard Rock Bet) on the moneyline, with Ole Miss at +132. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET at Memorial Stadium in Norman, Oklahoma. The forecast calls for 43 degrees, a 10 mph wind from the east and an 82% chance of precipitation.
The total is 49.5 points. The best Over price we found is +103 at ProphetX, and the best Under is -108 at Caesars. Oklahoma has gone 3-6 to the over-under in nine games this season, and Ole Miss has gone 5-4 in nine games.
Ole Miss Rebels vs Oklahoma Sooners College Football prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 49.5, with the over priced at -105 at theScore Bet and the under at -108 at Caesars. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College football betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college football odds · FanDuel betting splits
Public is on Rebels (66% of DraftKings tickets on the spread), DraftKings money leans Sooners (64%).
On Kalshi, 73% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Oklahoma Sooners (2797 trades, $182k traded). On Polymarket, 63% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Oklahoma Sooners (31 trades, $1.7k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. On ProphetX, 65% of the money traded on the spread is on Oklahoma Sooners (99 trades, $30k traded). Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 14, 8:17 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.