@
Ole Miss Rebels play at Oklahoma Sooners in college football on Saturday, November 14, at Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK). As of 8:57 AM ET, Oklahoma are 1.5-point favorites and the total is 49.5. Prices come from 16 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 16 sportsbooks · college football betting splits
DraftKings bettors lean Ole Miss Rebels on the spread (55% of tickets).
| Book | BetsOle Miss RebelsOklahoma Sooners | MoneyOle Miss RebelsOklahoma Sooners |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Ole Miss Rebels +1.5 / Oklahoma Sooners -1.5) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Ole Miss Rebels +1 / Oklahoma Sooners -1) | ||
| BetMGM (Ole Miss Rebels +1 / Oklahoma Sooners -1) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOle Miss RebelsOklahoma Sooners | MoneyOle Miss RebelsOklahoma Sooners |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Ole Miss Rebels (-108) / Oklahoma Sooners (-112)) | ||
| BetMGM (Ole Miss Rebels (-105) / Oklahoma Sooners (-112)) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOver 49.5Under 49.5 | MoneyOver 49.5Under 49.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||
| BetMGM | Bets only |
Splits data from DraftKings, Circa and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | Ole Miss Rebels | Oklahoma Sooners |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1 | -1 |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
| Market | Ole Miss Rebels | Oklahoma Sooners |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +104Bet at Novig → exchange price | -106Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | +1.5 -108Bet at Novig → exchange price | -1.5 +104Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Total 49.5 | O +102Bet at Novig → exchange price | U -106Bet at Novig → exchange price |
As of 8:57 AM ET, the spread is Oklahoma -1.5 and the total is 49.5, with 16 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Ole Miss ML | Oklahoma ML | Ole Miss spread | Oklahoma spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | -107 | -113 | +1.5 -116 | -1.5 -104 | O 49.5 -107 | U 49.5 -113 |
| Courtside | -106 | -110 | +1.5 -118 | -1.5 -102 | O 49.5 -106 | U 49.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | -108 | -112 | +1.5 -118 | -1.5 -102 | O 49.5 -108 | U 49.5 -112 |
| Fliff | -110 | -115 | +1.5 -125 | -1.5 -110 | O 49.5 -115 | U 49.5 -120 |
| Novig | +104 | -106 | +1.5 -108 | -1.5 +104 | O 49.5 +102 | U 49.5 -106 |
| ProphetX | +101 | -105 | +1.5 -110 | -1.5 +103 | O 49.5 +100 | U 49.5 -106 |
| theScore Bet | -110 | -110 | +1.5 -115 | -1.5 -105 | O 49.5 -110 | U 49.5 -110 |
| Bally Bet | -114 | -109 | – | – | O 49.5 -110 | U 49.5 -109 |
| BetMGM | -105 | -112 | – | – | O 49.5 -105 | U 49.5 -112 |
| betPARX | -114 | -109 | – | – | O 49.5 -110 | U 49.5 -109 |
Prices from 16 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Ole Miss Rebels6th in the Southeastern ConferenceOklahoma Sooners10th in the Southeastern Conference
John Mateer (OU)183/280, 2,042 YDS, 15 TD, 7 INT (9 GP)
Trinidad Chambliss (MISS)207/330, 2,359 YDS, 18 TD, 9 INT (9 GP)Ole Miss is No. 19 in the AP poll, yet the betting market cannot separate it from a 5-4 Oklahoma team. Remove the sportsbook's cut and this game is priced 50% to 50%. Reputation and price are telling different stories, and that is where bettors make or lose money. The Ole Miss Rebels bring the louder offense. The Oklahoma Sooners bring the stingier defense. Kickoff is Saturday at 4:15 PM ET at Memorial Stadium, on SEC Network.
As of Friday, Ole Miss is 6-3 and sits 6th of 16 in the SEC. Oklahoma is 5-4 and 10th. Oklahoma is the slimmest of favorites. In last year's meeting, 385 days ago, Oklahoma lost. The per-game averages over nine games show the split. Ole Miss gains 418.78 yards per game and allows 394.67. Oklahoma gains only 338.44 per game but allows just 293.33. PPA (predicted points added per play) measures how much each snap moves the expected score. Ole Miss sits at 0.2 on offense and Oklahoma at 0.03.
On defense, lower is better, and Oklahoma's -0.07 beats Ole Miss's 0.14. Our rating, a model built on past results and used here only as context, gives Ole Miss 52%. That is close to the market's 50%. "Against the spread" (ATS) means a team's record after the point handicap. Both teams are 4-5 ATS over nine graded games. Ole Miss is 1-3 ATS as an underdog. Oklahoma is 2-4 ATS as a favorite. Oklahoma games are 3-6 to the over, and Ole Miss games are 5-4. Both teams had six days of rest.
Trinidad Chambliss runs Ole Miss. Over nine games he has 2,359 passing yards, 18 touchdowns and 9 interceptions, or 262.1 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception per game. Over his last five games he averages 227.4 passing yards, down from 263.6 over his last ten. John Mateer leads Oklahoma, with 2,042 yards, 15 touchdowns and 7 interceptions over nine games. That works out to 226.9 yards, 1.7 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions per game. Chambliss now faces a defense allowing 170.67 net passing yards per game.
The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. Ole Miss covers by winning or by losing by 1. A 2-point loss loses the bet. Both the spread and the total are unchanged from the open. At four books the Ole Miss spread moved from 1 to -1 within five minutes, and three books moved Oklahoma from 1.5 to -1.5. Those are line moves, nothing more. The public split leans to Ole Miss: 87% of DraftKings moneyline tickets and 70% of the money.
The vig is the book's built-in cut. Expected value (EV) is what a bet returns on average over many tries. Ole Miss +102 breaks even at 49.5%. The Over grades at plus $0.53. Everything else grades negative: Oklahoma's moneyline at minus $1.97, Ole Miss +1.5 at minus $0.49, Oklahoma -1.5 at minus $1.41 and the Under at minus $2.38. This is a thin edge, not a big one. We prefer Ole Miss to the Over because the matchup supports it. Ole Miss has the stronger PPA and yardage profile. Oklahoma's defense, its 3-6 over-under mark and a 13 mph wind all work against points.
It breaks even at 49.5%. Size it small. A worse number erases the edge.
We project Ole Miss 24, Oklahoma 21. Chambliss moves the ball, and Oklahoma's defense keeps it close. That adds to 45 points, under the 49.5 total, but the Under at -106 grades at minus $2.38, so we pass on it. That is our read on this number. The Desk's documented free daily play sits right below if you want the next step.
Oklahoma is the market favorite at -106 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Ole Miss at +104. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Ole Miss vs Oklahoma airs on SEC Network. The game kicks off Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET at Memorial Stadium in Norman, Oklahoma. It is a Week 11 Southeastern Conference matchup between the Ole Miss Rebels and the Oklahoma Sooners.
Kickoff is Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 4:15 PM Eastern time at Memorial Stadium in Norman, Oklahoma. The game is broadcast on SEC Network. The forecast calls for 55 degrees, a 13 mph wind from the southeast and a 16% chance of precipitation.
The market prices No. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 49.5, with the over priced at +102 at Novig and the under at -106 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College football betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college football odds · FanDuel betting splits
Public is on Rebels (53% of DraftKings tickets on the spread), DraftKings money leans Sooners (63%).
The spread has held at Sooners -1.5 since it opened; the total has held at 49.5; several books (4) moved the spread on away to -1 together.
On Kalshi, 73% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Ole Miss Rebels (1410 trades, $38k traded). On Polymarket, 57% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Ole Miss Rebels (24 trades, $1.1k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. On ProphetX, 57% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Ole Miss Rebels (39 trades, $1.5k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 13, 8:09 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.