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San José State Spartans play at Air Force Falcons in college football on Saturday, November 14, at Falcon Stadium. As of 8:24 AM ET, Air Force are 12.5-point favorites and the total is 47.5. Prices come from 15 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 15 sportsbooks · college football betting splits
DraftKings bettors lean San Jose State Spartans on the spread (50% of tickets).
| Book | BetsSan Jose State Spartans +12.5Air Force Falcons -12.5 | MoneySan Jose State Spartans +12.5Air Force Falcons -12.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||
| BetMGM | Bets only |
| Book | BetsSan Jose State SpartansAir Force Falcons | MoneySan Jose State SpartansAir Force Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (San Jose State Spartans (+360) / Air Force Falcons (-470)) | ||
| BetMGM (San Jose State Spartans (+375) / Air Force Falcons (-475)) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOver 47.5Under 47.5 | MoneyOver 47.5Under 47.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) | ||
| BetMGM | Bets only |
Splits data from DraftKings, Circa and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | San José State Spartans | Air Force Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Total 47.5 | O | U |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
| Market | San José State Spartans | Air Force Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +390Bet at FanDuel → | -430Bet at ProphetX → exchange price |
| Spread | +12.5 +100Bet at Novig → exchange price | -12.5 -104Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Total 47.5 | O -110Bet at FanDuel → | U +100Bet at Courtside → |
As of 8:24 AM ET, the spread is Air Force -12.5 and the total is 47.5, with 15 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | San José State ML | Air Force ML | San José State spread | Air Force spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | +375 | -500 | +12.5 -110 | -12.5 -110 | O 47.5 -111 | U 47.5 -109 |
| BetMGM | +375 | -475 | +12.5 -108 | -12.5 -110 | O 47.5 -115 | U 47.5 -105 |
| Courtside | +371 | -454 | +12.5 -110 | -12.5 -106 | O 47.5 -116 | U 47.5 +100 |
| DraftKings | +360 | -470 | +12.5 -112 | -12.5 -108 | O 47.5 -118 | U 47.5 -102 |
| FanDuel | +390 | -520 | +12.5 -110 | -12.5 -110 | O 47.5 -110 | U 47.5 -110 |
| Fliff | +360 | -505 | +12.5 -115 | -12.5 -115 | O 47.5 -120 | U 47.5 -115 |
| ProphetX | +400 | -430 | +12.5 -106 | -12.5 -107 | O 47.5 -108 | U 47.5 +105 |
| Bally Bet | +340 | -480 | – | – | O 47.5 -110 | U 47.5 -109 |
| betPARX | +340 | -480 | – | – | O 47.5 -110 | U 47.5 -109 |
| BetRivers | +340 | -480 | – | – | O 47.5 -112 | U 47.5 -112 |
Prices from 15 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
San José State Spartans6th in the Mountain West ConferenceAir Force Falcons4th in the Mountain West Conference
Liam Szarka (AFA)19/38, 296 YDS, 1 TD, 4 INT (4 GP)
Luke Weaver (SJSU)154/242, 1,810 YDS, 11 TD, 8 INT (8 GP)The total opened at 47.5 and has not moved an inch. The total is the combined points both teams score, and you bet whether the real number lands over or under it. San José State has gone 1-9 to the over-under this season across 10 games, and Saturday night they walk into Falcon Stadium, about 1,838 meters up, against an offense that grinds out 332 rushing yards per game. That tension is the whole Air Force vs San José State prediction in one paragraph.
The San José State Spartans are 5-5 and sit 6th of 10 in the Mountain West Conference. The Air Force Falcons are 7-2 and 4th of 10. Air Force won the last meeting, 371 days ago. Both teams get 6 days of rest. San José State traveled 931 miles, crossed one time zone east and is coming up to altitude from a low-elevation home. Air Force flew 1,628 miles from its last game at West Point, crossing two time zones west. Our rating, an Elo model built on stored results, gives Air Force 77% to win. The market says about 81%. That gap is context, not a bet.
Luke Weaver leads San José State with 1,810 passing yards, 11 touchdowns and 8 interceptions over 8 games, about 226.3 yards per game. But Daniel Rolovich was the quarterback of record last game, a change from the week before. For Air Force, Liam Szarka has 296 passing yards, 1 touchdown and 4 interceptions over 4 of the team's 9 games, about 74 yards per game. Evan Medders was Air Force's quarterback of record last game. Both quarterback rooms have shifted, so lean on team numbers. Air Force averages just 61.89 net passing yards per game over 9 games. This is a running team.
The moneyline is a straight bet on who wins. San José State is the underdog at +400 at theScore Bet: $100 profits $400, break-even 20%. That ticket wins if San José State wins outright or loses by 12 or fewer, and it needs 50.5% to break even. The Over 47.5 is best at -105 at FanDuel (51.2% break-even). Shopping books matters: these are the best prices we track. The public split is heavy, with 94% of DraftKings moneyline tickets on Air Force.
Strip out the vig, the house's built-in fee, and the market reads the total at 50% each way. The Under at +104 only needs 49%. Every spread price and the Over grade out negative. The matchup backs the Under, too. Air Force's run game drains clock, San José State's 1-9 over-under mark (10 games) is the loudest trend on the board, and the forecast calls for 46 degrees with a 56% chance of precipitation. On ProphetX, 57% of the money traded on the total is on the Over, on light trading that can swing.
If your book only offers worse, the edge shrinks, so shop first.
Air Force leans on the ground, shortens the game and wins without fireworks. Our projected score: Air Force 27, San José State 16. That adds up to 43 points, under the 47.5 total. That is our read on this San José State vs Air Force number; the Desk posts a documented free play every day, and it sits right below.
Air Force is the market favorite at -430 (best price at ProphetX) on the moneyline, with San José State at +390. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
San José State vs Air Force airs on CBSSN. Kickoff is Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET from Falcon Stadium. Check your TV provider's CBSSN listing for the channel number in your area.
The game kicks off Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM Eastern time at Falcon Stadium. It is a Week 11 Mountain West Conference game, broadcast on CBSSN.
San José State Spartans vs Air Force Falcons College Football prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 47.5, with the over priced at -110 at FanDuel and the under at +100 at Courtside. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College football betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college football odds · FanDuel betting splits
Public is on Falcons (94% of DraftKings tickets on the moneyline), DraftKings money is also on Falcons (97%).
The spread has held at Falcons -12.5 since it opened; the total has held at 47.5.
On Kalshi, 90% of the money traded on the spread is on Air Force Falcons (20 trades, $1.9k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. On ProphetX, 57% of the money traded on the total is on the Over (48 trades, $1.7k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 12, 8:05 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.