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Southern Miss Golden Eagles play at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs in college football on Saturday, November 14, at Joe Aillet Stadium. As of 9:50 AM ET, Louisiana Tech are 17.5-point favorites and the total is 56.5. Prices come from 16 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans Louisiana Tech ML.
Prices updated · from 16 sportsbooks · college football betting splits
DraftKings bettors lean Louisiana Tech Bulldogs on the moneyline (98% of tickets).
| Book | BetsSouthern Miss Golden EaglesLouisiana Tech Bulldogs | MoneySouthern Miss Golden EaglesLouisiana Tech Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Southern Miss Golden Eagles +17.5 / Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -17.5) | ||
| BetMGM (Southern Miss Golden Eagles +17 / Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -17) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsSouthern Miss Golden EaglesLouisiana Tech Bulldogs | MoneySouthern Miss Golden EaglesLouisiana Tech Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Southern Miss Golden Eagles (+625) / Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (-950)) | ||
| BetMGM (Southern Miss Golden Eagles (+650) / Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (-900)) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOverUnder | MoneyOverUnder |
|---|---|---|
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Over 56 / Under 56) | ||
| BetMGM (Over 56.5 / Under 56.5) | Bets only |
Splits data from DraftKings, Circa and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +17.5 | -17.5 |
| Total 56 | O | U |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
| Market | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +669Bet at Novig → exchange price | -740Bet at ProphetX → exchange price |
| Spread | +17.5 -110Bet at Courtside → | -17.5 +104Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Total 56.5 | O +102Bet at Novig → exchange price | U -108Bet at Courtside → |
As of 9:50 AM ET, the spread is Louisiana Tech -17.5 and the total is 56.5, with 16 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Southern Miss ML | Louisiana Tech ML | Southern Miss spread | Louisiana Tech spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | +625 | -950 | +17.5 -113 | -17.5 -107 | O 56.5 -109 | U 56.5 -111 |
| Caesars | +625 | -950 | +17.5 -114 | -17.5 -106 | O 56.5 -107 | U 56.5 -113 |
| Courtside | +652 | -898 | +17.5 -110 | -17.5 -106 | O 56.5 -108 | U 56.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | +625 | -950 | +17.5 -112 | -17.5 -108 | O 56.5 -110 | U 56.5 -110 |
| Fliff | +605 | -1000 | +17.5 -120 | -17.5 -110 | O 56.5 -115 | U 56.5 -120 |
| Novig | +669 | -770 | +17.5 -111 | -17.5 +104 | O 56.5 +102 | U 56.5 -108 |
| Bally Bet | +600 | -1000 | +17.5 -112 | -17.5 -110 | – | – |
| BetMGM | +650 | -900 | – | – | O 56.5 -108 | U 56.5 -110 |
| betPARX | +600 | -1000 | +17.5 -112 | -17.5 -110 | – | – |
| BetRivers | +600 | -1000 | +17.5 -112 | -17.5 -110 | – | – |
Prices from 16 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Blake Baker (LT)122/168, 1,504 YDS, 14 TD, 1 INT (8 GP)
Landry Lyddy (USM)116/200, 1,326 YDS, 8 TD, 4 INT (8 GP)Louisiana Tech has beaten the spread in eight of nine graded games this season. That is the public split, not a reason to bet. When a favorite is this popular and this expensive, the price is the whole story. Southern Miss vs Louisiana Tech kicks off Saturday at 5:00 PM ET at Joe Aillet Stadium on ESPN+.
The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (7-2) are heavy favorites over the Southern Miss Golden Eagles (3-6). This is a conference game, and Louisiana Tech won the last meeting 420 days ago. The offenses look alike over nine games: Southern Miss gains 394.44 total yards per game and Louisiana Tech gains 384.67. The gap is defense. Louisiana Tech allows 324.78 yards per game. Southern Miss allows 439.67, including 218 on the ground. PPA (predicted points added, roughly how many points a play is worth) agrees. Louisiana Tech's defense sits at -0.08 per play and Southern Miss's sits at 0.15, so opponents gain more against Southern Miss.
Against the spread (ATS, meaning results after the point handicap), Louisiana Tech is 8-1 in nine games and 6-1 as a favorite. Southern Miss is 4-5 ATS in nine and 2-5 as an underdog. Both teams went over the total in six of nine. Southern Miss gets 8 days of rest and travels 213 miles. Louisiana Tech has 6 days of rest after a 393-mile trip from its last game (Troy). Neither team changes time zones. Our rating, an Elo model, gives Louisiana Tech 83%, a bit below the market. The forecast is 57 degrees with a 10 mph east wind and no rain.
Louisiana Tech quarterback Blake Baker has gone 122 of 168 for 1,504 yards, 14 touchdowns and 1 interception over 8 games. That works out to 188 yards and 1.8 touchdowns per game. Over his last five games he averages 228.8 passing yards. Southern Miss's Landry Lyddy has gone 116 of 200 for 1,326 yards, 8 touchdowns and 4 interceptions over 8 games, or 165.8 yards and 1 touchdown per game. One wrinkle: John White was the Southern Miss quarterback of record last game, a change from the game before.
The moneyline is a straight bet on who wins. Louisiana Tech is -740 at ProphetX, so $100 risked profits $13.24 after the book's fee. Southern Miss is +652 at Courtside, so $100 profits $652. The spread is a handicap. Southern Miss +17.5 at -110 (Courtside) wins if Southern Miss wins or loses by 17 or fewer.
The consensus spread opened at 17.5 and has not moved, although three books dropped the Southern Miss number to 16.5 within five minutes. That is a line move, nothing more. For a Southern Miss bettor, +17.5 beats +16.5. The vig is the book's built-in cut. Strip it out and the market makes Louisiana Tech about 89.1% to win.
Break-even is how often a bet must win just to avoid losing money. Expected value is the average result over many bets, not what one ticket pays. Two prices clear the bar. The reads split. The edge is thin, and the other books we track are worse.
Louisiana Tech moneyline at -740 on ProphetX. A $100 stake profits $13.24 when it wins and loses $100 when it does not. It is a small edge, so it deserves a small stake. At any worse price, we pass.
Louisiana Tech has the better defense by every measure here, and Southern Miss's quarterback situation shifted last week. We project Louisiana Tech 34, Southern Miss 17. That adds up to 51 points, under the 56.5 total. The 17-point margin lands right on the spread, which is exactly why we stay off it. That is the read on this number. The Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it sits right below.
Louisiana Tech is the market favorite at -740 (best price at ProphetX) on the moneyline, with Southern Miss at +669. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Louisiana Tech is the favorite. The Bulldogs are -740 on the moneyline at ProphetX and -17.5 on the spread, while Southern Miss is +652 at Courtside. With the vig removed, the market makes Louisiana Tech about 89.1% to win and Southern Miss about 10.9%.
Kickoff is Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM Eastern time at Joe Aillet Stadium. This is a Week 11 conference game, and the forecast calls for 57 degrees, a 10 mph wind from the east and no chance of rain.
A 7-2 Louisiana Tech team that keeps beating the number hosts a 3-6 Southern Miss team in a conference game with a 17.5-point spread. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 56.5, with the over priced at +102 at Novig and the under at -108 at Courtside. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College football betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college football odds · FanDuel betting splits
Public is on Bulldogs (79% of BetMGM tickets on the spread).
The spread has held at Bulldogs -17.5 since it opened; the total has held at 56.5; several books (3) moved the spread on away to 16.5 together.
On Kalshi, 75% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (65 trades, $554 traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. On ProphetX, 92% of the money traded on the spread is on Southern Miss Golden Eagles (10 trades, $1.1k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 13, 9:44 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
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