South Carolina vs Arkansas Prediction & Odds (Nov 14) | WGT
The Wise Guy Desk · College Football
South Carolina Gamecocks logo@Arkansas Razorbacks logo

South Carolina vs Arkansas Prediction & Odds (Nov 14)

Quick answer
South Carolina vs Arkansas starts Sat, Nov 14, 7:45 PM ET at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium. Listed numbers: spread Gamecocks -7.5, total 51.5 and moneyline -316 / +300 (away / home).
From the numbers on this page, compiled by the Wise Guy Desk. Page content last changed November 13, 2026.
South Carolina Gamecocks vs Arkansas Razorbacks College Football prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. · Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium
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Who will win South Carolina vs Arkansas?

South Carolina Gamecocks play at Arkansas Razorbacks in college football on Saturday, November 14, at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium. As of 8:33 AM ET, South Carolina are 7.5-point favorites and the total is 51.5. Prices come from 14 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.

Prices updated · from 14 sportsbooks · college football betting splits

Gamecocks vs Razorbacks: line and start time right now

Line
spread Gamecocks -7.5; total 51.5; moneyline Gamecocks -340, Razorbacks +260 (consensus of 14 sportsbooks) updated
Start
updated
SpreadGamecocks -7.5
Total51.5
Moneyline, away / home-316 / +300
KickoffSat, Nov 14, 7:45 PM ET
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Who is the public betting on South Carolina Gamecocks vs Arkansas Razorbacks?

DraftKings bettors and Circa money lean the same way on the spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (55% of DraftKings tickets, 68% of Circa money).

Spread
BookBetsSouth Carolina GamecocksArkansas RazorbacksMoneySouth Carolina GamecocksArkansas Razorbacks
DraftKings (South Carolina Gamecocks -7.5 / Arkansas Razorbacks +7.5)
Circa (sharp Vegas book) (South Carolina Gamecocks -7.5 / Arkansas Razorbacks +7.5)
BetMGM (South Carolina Gamecocks -8 / Arkansas Razorbacks +8)Bets only
Moneyline
BookBetsSouth Carolina Gamecocks (-325)Arkansas Razorbacks (+260)MoneySouth Carolina Gamecocks (-325)Arkansas Razorbacks (+260)
BetMGMBets only
Total
BookBetsOver 51.5Under 51.5MoneyOver 51.5Under 51.5
BetMGMBets only
DraftKings South Carolina Gamecocks since first captureFrom Nov 9, 2026, 1:12 PM ET to Nov 13, 2026, 7:50 AM ET: bets 50% to 45%, money 2% to 14%.
Bets %Money %DraftKings South Carolina Gamecocks since first capture

Splits data from DraftKings, Circa and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits

Circa line sharp Vegas reference, not bettable here
MarketSouth Carolina GamecocksArkansas Razorbacks
Spread-7.5+7.5

. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.

Exchange buyers: which side buyers took (Kalshi, Polymarket (international), Novig, ProphetX)

These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.

How to read these numbers

Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.

Kalshi

Moneyline$30k traded · 661 trades · $43k open
South Carolina GamecocksArkansas Razorbacks
Trades
Money
Spread$30k traded · 255 trades · $53k open
South Carolina Gamecocks -7.5Arkansas Razorbacks +7.5
Trades
Money
ProphetX

Moneyline$623 traded · 11 trades
South Carolina GamecocksArkansas Razorbacks
Trades
Money
Light trading: $623 so far, percentages can swing
Spread$3.1k traded · 46 trades
South Carolina Gamecocks -8.5Arkansas Razorbacks +8.5
Trades
Money
Light trading: $3.1k so far, percentages can swing
Total 52$130 traded · 7 trades
Over 52Under 52
Trades
Money
Light trading: $130 so far, percentages can swing

Polymarket US: prices only

Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.

  • Moneyline: Gamecocks 75% chance (price only)

South Carolina Gamecocks vs Arkansas Razorbacks: odds, trends and our lean

📊 Best prices from the US sportsbooks and exchanges we track (exchange prices are marked) Live prices as of 8:33 AM ET · Line shopping can improve your price
MarketSouth Carolina GamecocksArkansas Razorbacks
Moneyline-316Bet at Courtside →+300Bet at Novig → exchange price
Spread-7.5 -112Bet at DraftKings →+7.5 -105Bet at theScore Bet →
Total 51.5O -105Bet at FanDuel →U -106Bet at Courtside →

What are the odds for South Carolina vs Arkansas at each sportsbook?

As of 8:33 AM ET, the spread is South Carolina -7.5 and the total is 51.5, with 14 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.

SportsbookSouth Carolina MLArkansas MLSouth Carolina spreadArkansas spreadOverUnder
Bally Bet-345+260-8.5 -107+8.5 -113O 51.5 -105U 51.5 -115
betPARX-345+260-8.5 -107+8.5 -113O 51.5 -105U 51.5 -115
FanDuel-335+265-8.5 -110+8.5 -110O 51.5 -105U 51.5 -115
Hard Rock Bet-350+260-8.5 +105+8.5 -120O 51.5 -105U 51.5 -115
ProphetX-320+300-8.5 -105+8.5 -106O 51.5 -107U 51.5 +103
BetMGM-325+260––O 51.5 -110U 51.5 -108
BetRivers-345+260––O 51.5 -106U 51.5 -118
Caesars-320+250––O 51.5 -106U 51.5 -114
Courtside-316+267––O 51.5 -110U 51.5 -106
DraftKings-325+260––O 51.5 -112U 51.5 -108

Prices from 14 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.

📊 Team Breakdown real data · updated daily
Season win %
South Carolina Gamecocks
67%
Arkansas Razorbacks
33%
Chance to win, per the betting market (vig removed)

Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →

Standings & streak
South Carolina Gamecocks logoSouth Carolina Gamecocks7th in the Southeastern Conference
Arkansas Razorbacks logoArkansas Razorbacks15th in the Southeastern Conference
Players to watch
KJ JacksonKJ Jackson (ARK)165/279, 1,853 YDS, 8 TD, 6 INT (9 GP)
LaNorris SellersLaNorris Sellers (SC)172/274, 2,100 YDS, 17 TD, 7 INT (9 GP)
How to read this: "chance to win per the betting market" comes from the actual odds with the sportsbook's built-in fee (the vig) stripped out, the market's honest opinion of the game.
🛈 Wise Guy Desk analysis - not an official play. A free breakdown to help you find value and bet the best number. Ross's documented plays are graded win or loss on the members board.
📘 New to betting? Two-minute translation. A moneyline bet is picking who wins, nothing else. In this game, +300 means a $100 bet profits $300 if it wins. The spread is a head start: -7.5 must win by 8+, while +7.5 cashes by losing by 7 or fewer (or winning). The total is combined points by both teams, over or under the books' number. +EV means the price pays better than the market-implied fair odds (vig removed); consistently taking better prices raises your expected return over time. Learn free: Sports Betting 101 · Odds converter · No-vig calculator

A Touchdown Favorite and a Total That Is Already Moving

The South Carolina Gamecocks lay a full touchdown on the road, and the betting market thinks they win about 72% of the time. The sharper story is the total. It has already slipped from 51.5 to 51 at three books, and that half point is where this South Carolina vs Arkansas card gets decided for us. The Arkansas Razorbacks host at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium on Saturday, November 14 at 7:45 PM ET on SEC Network.

Who Is Favored to Win South Carolina vs Arkansas?

South Carolina is 6-3 as of publication, No. 20 in the AP Top 25 and 7th of 16 in the Southeastern Conference. Arkansas is 3-6 and 15th of 16. Over nine games, South Carolina averages 452.56 total yards per game and allows 353.44. Arkansas averages 337.89 per game and allows 361.89. Against the spread (ATS, meaning whether a team beat the betting line, not just won), South Carolina is 5-4 in nine graded games and Arkansas is 4-5 in nine.

Over-under records, with overs listed first, are 6-3 for South Carolina and 2-7 for Arkansas, each over nine games. Our rating, an Elo model, gives South Carolina 68%, slightly below the market's 72%. That is context, not a bet. Both teams had six days of rest, and South Carolina traveled 756 miles and crossed one time zone west.

Players to Watch

LaNorris Sellers drives South Carolina. Over nine games he has 2,100 passing yards, 17 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, or 233.3 yards, 1.9 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions per game. Over his last five games he is at 253.4 passing yards and 78.6 rushing yards per game, so his legs matter. KJ Jackson leads Arkansas, also over nine games: 1,853 yards, 8 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, or 205.9 yards, 0.9 touchdowns and 0.7 interceptions per game. Both have played nine games, so per game Sellers throws roughly twice as many touchdowns.

What Are the South Carolina vs Arkansas Odds and Spread?

The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. South Carolina at -265 is best at FanDuel. Risk $100 to profit $37.74, so it must win 72.6% of the time to break even. The spread is a handicap. South Carolina -7 at -108 (Courtside) wins only by 8 or more. A 7-point win is a push, meaning your stake comes back. Break-even is 51.9%.

Arkansas +7 at -107 (betPARX) wins if Arkansas wins or loses by 6 or fewer, break-even 51.7%. The Arkansas number moved from 7.5 to 7 at six books. The total is combined points. Over 51.5 is -103 at Courtside (break-even 50.7%). Those minus prices include the vig, the book's fee baked into every line. Weather looks quiet: 47 degrees, 5 mph wind, 1% chance of rain.

Where the Value Is

Expected value is what a bet earns on average over many tries. Strip out the vig and the market reads South Carolina at 72.1% and Arkansas at 27.9%. Arkansas +251 averages minus $2.07. South Carolina -7 averages minus $3.26, Arkansas +7 minus $3.72, and the Over minus $3.74, all per $100 risked. One line clears. The number matters. At the same price, an Under at 51 is a worse ticket than an Under at 51.5, so shop for the 51.5.

The Pick

The price is the main reason. The matchup leans the same way: Arkansas averages 337.89 yards per game over nine games, Jackson throws 0.9 touchdowns per game over nine games, and Arkansas sits 2-7 over-under in nine. The risk is South Carolina's offense, whose games are 6-3 over-under in nine. This is a small edge, not a sure thing, and it is Desk analysis, not an official Wise Guy Team play.

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The Prediction

For anyone searching the Arkansas vs South Carolina prediction, here is our read. South Carolina controls it with Sellers moving the chains, Arkansas finds a couple of scores, and the clock keeps running. We project South Carolina 28, Arkansas 20. That adds up to 48 points, under 51.5. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.

South Carolina vs Arkansas FAQ

Who is favored in South Carolina vs Arkansas?

South Carolina is the market favorite at -316 (best price at Courtside) on the moneyline, with Arkansas at +300. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.

Where to watch South Carolina vs Arkansas?

South Carolina vs Arkansas airs on SEC Network. The game kicks off Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:45 PM ET from Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, home of the Arkansas Razorbacks.

Who is favored to win South Carolina vs Arkansas?

The South Carolina Gamecocks are favored. The best moneyline is -265 at FanDuel, and the spread is South Carolina -7. With the vig removed, the market reads South Carolina at about 72.1% to win and Arkansas at about 27.9%.

What time is the South Carolina vs Arkansas game?

Kickoff is Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:45 PM ET on SEC Network. The game is played at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, with a forecast of 47 degrees, 5 mph wind and a 1% chance of precipitation.

Who will win Arkansas vs South Carolina?

South Carolina Gamecocks vs Arkansas Razorbacks College Football prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.

What is the total (over/under) for South Carolina vs Arkansas?

The total is 51.5, with the over priced at -105 at FanDuel and the under at -106 at Courtside. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.

Are these College Football picks free?

Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.

How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in College Football games?

Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.

Quick answers

Who is the public betting on in South Carolina Gamecocks vs Arkansas Razorbacks?

Public is on Gamecocks (64% of DraftKings tickets on the spread), DraftKings money leans Razorbacks (86%).

Where has the South Carolina Gamecocks vs Arkansas Razorbacks line moved?

Several books (6) moved the spread on home to 7 together.

Where is the money on the exchanges for South Carolina Gamecocks vs Arkansas Razorbacks?

On Kalshi, 89% of the money traded on the moneyline is on South Carolina Gamecocks (523 trades, $13k traded). On ProphetX, 62% of the money traded on the spread is on Arkansas Razorbacks (26 trades, $1.6k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.

As of Nov 12, 2:09 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.

This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.

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