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Purdue Boilermakers play at Iowa Hawkeyes in college football on Saturday, November 14, at Kinnick Stadium. As of 7:22 AM ET, Iowa are 17.5-point favorites and the total is 47.5. Prices come from 15 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 15 sportsbooks · college football betting splits
Public is on Iowa Hawkeyes moneyline (98% of DraftKings tickets), but Circa money leans Purdue Boilermakers (78%).
| Book | BetsPurdue BoilermakersIowa Hawkeyes | MoneyPurdue BoilermakersIowa Hawkeyes |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Purdue Boilermakers +17.5 / Iowa Hawkeyes -17.5) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Purdue Boilermakers +17.5 / Iowa Hawkeyes -17.5) | ||
| BetMGM (Purdue Boilermakers +17 / Iowa Hawkeyes -17) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsPurdue BoilermakersIowa Hawkeyes | MoneyPurdue BoilermakersIowa Hawkeyes |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings (Purdue Boilermakers (+625) / Iowa Hawkeyes (-950)) | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) (Purdue Boilermakers (+625) / Iowa Hawkeyes (-900)) | ||
| BetMGM (Purdue Boilermakers (+650) / Iowa Hawkeyes (-900)) | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOver 47.5Under 47.5 | MoneyOver 47.5Under 47.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) | ||
| BetMGM | Bets only |
Splits data from DraftKings, Circa and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | Purdue Boilermakers | Iowa Hawkeyes |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +17.5 | -17.5 |
| Total 47.5 | O | U |
| Moneyline | +625 | -900 |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | Purdue Boilermakers | Iowa Hawkeyes |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +770Bet at Novig → exchange price | -- |
| Spread | +17.5 -106Bet at Novig → exchange price | -17.5 +100Bet at FanDuel → |
| Total 47.5 | O -106Bet at Novig → exchange price | U -102Bet at Novig → exchange price |
As of 7:22 AM ET, the spread is Iowa -17.5 and the total is 47.5, with 15 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Purdue ML | Iowa ML | Purdue spread | Iowa spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | +600 | -1000 | +17.5 -108 | -17.5 -112 | O 47.5 -109 | U 47.5 -110 |
| bet365 | +650 | -1000 | +17.5 -115 | -17.5 -105 | O 47.5 -111 | U 47.5 -109 |
| betPARX | +600 | -1000 | +17.5 -108 | -17.5 -112 | O 47.5 -109 | U 47.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | +600 | -1000 | +17.5 -109 | -17.5 -114 | O 47.5 -110 | U 47.5 -113 |
| Caesars | +625 | -950 | +17.5 -118 | -17.5 -102 | O 47.5 -106 | U 47.5 -114 |
| Courtside | +652 | -898 | +17.5 -110 | -17.5 -106 | O 47.5 -110 | U 47.5 -106 |
| DraftKings | +625 | -950 | +17.5 -112 | -17.5 -108 | O 47.5 -112 | U 47.5 -108 |
| Fanatics | +650 | -950 | +17.5 -110 | -17.5 -110 | O 47.5 -115 | U 47.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | +720 | -1050 | +17.5 -120 | -17.5 +100 | O 47.5 -110 | U 47.5 -110 |
| Fliff | +630 | -1055 | +17.5 -120 | -17.5 -115 | O 47.5 -120 | U 47.5 -115 |
Prices from 15 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Purdue Boilermakers15th in the Big Ten ConferenceIowa Hawkeyes5th in the Big Ten Conference
Hank Brown (IOWA)125/190, 1,316 YDS, 9 TD, 4 INT (8 GP)
Ryan Browne (PUR)179/288, 2,260 YDS, 11 TD, 5 INT (9 GP)Iowa allows 276.67 total yards per game. Purdue allows 415.44. That gap is why the Purdue Boilermakers walk into Kinnick Stadium as 17.5-point underdogs against the Iowa Hawkeyes on Saturday night. Nobody serious is asking who wins. The question is by how much, and the spread has already bounced between 17.5 and 18.5 at four books. This number is moving.
Iowa, clearly. As of this writing the Hawkeyes are 7-2, fifth of 18 in the Big Ten and No. 16 in the AP poll. The Boilermakers are 3-6 and 15th of 18. Kickoff is 7:30 PM ET on NBC, with a forecast of 39 degrees, no wind and no rain. Both teams get six days of rest. Purdue travels 255 miles and crosses one time zone west. Iowa comes 199 miles from Evanston. Against the spread (ATS, meaning results once the point handicap is applied), Iowa is 6-3 in nine graded games and 4-2 as a favorite. Purdue is 3-6 ATS in nine and 1-2 on the road.
Purdue's Ryan Browne averages 251.1 passing yards, 1.2 touchdowns and 0.6 interceptions per game over nine games. Iowa's Hank Brown averages 164.5 yards, 1.1 touchdowns and 0.5 interceptions per game over eight games. Iowa does not need Brown to carry it. The Hawkeyes run for 173.78 yards per game, and Purdue allows 170.78 rushing yards per game. Iowa's defense allows just 81.89 on the ground. Predicted points added per play (PPA, the average scoring value a play creates) backs this up: Purdue's defense allows 0.25 per play over nine games, while Iowa's sits at -0.07, meaning opponents lose value on a typical snap.
The moneyline is a straight bet on who wins. No Iowa moneyline is posted. The spread is a handicap. Purdue +17.5 at -108 (best at Bally Bet) wins if Purdue loses by 17 or fewer or wins. The half point means no push (a tie that refunds your bet). The public split shows 76% of BetMGM spread tickets on Iowa. On the exchanges, 75% of Kalshi spread money (63 trades) and 77% of ProphetX spread money (59 trades) sits on Purdue.
Books build in a fee called the vig. Strip it out and you get the market's no-vig probability. Break-even is how often a bet must win to stay flat. Our rating gives Purdue 13%, context only. That is a long-run average, not what you win on one ticket.
The spread's own no-vig cover number beats its break-even, and the matchup agrees: Iowa's run game meets a defense leaking 170.78 rushing yards per game. Iowa is also 2-7 to the Over in nine games, and its games stay slow.
Our Iowa vs Purdue prediction is Iowa 31, Purdue 10. That adds to 41, under the 47.5 total, and Iowa's 21-point margin clears 17.5. Purdue's passing keeps it honest for a half, then the Hawkeyes lean on the ground and squeeze the clock. Nothing is certain at this number, but the price leans our way. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Purdue Boilermakers vs Iowa Hawkeyes College Football prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk.
Purdue vs Iowa airs on NBC. The game kicks off at 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026, at Kinnick Stadium. The forecast calls for 39 degrees with no wind and no chance of precipitation.
The Purdue Boilermakers at Iowa Hawkeyes game starts at 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, 2026. It is a Week 11 Big Ten conference game at Kinnick Stadium, broadcast on NBC.
Purdue Boilermakers vs Iowa Hawkeyes College Football prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 47.5, with the over priced at -106 at Novig and the under at -102 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College football betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college football odds · FanDuel betting splits
Public is on Hawkeyes (76% of BetMGM tickets on the spread).
Several books (4) moved the spread on away to 17.5 together.
On Kalshi, 75% of the money traded on the spread is on Purdue Boilermakers (63 trades, $3.0k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. On ProphetX, 77% of the money traded on the spread is on Purdue Boilermakers (59 trades, $6.4k traded). Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 12, 7:12 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.