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Akron Zips play at Massachusetts Minutemen in college football on Wednesday, November 18, at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium. As of 10:23 AM ET, Massachusetts are 2.5-point favorites and the total is 45.5. Prices come from 3 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans Massachusetts -2.5. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 3 sportsbooks · college football betting splits
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | Akron Zips | Massachusetts Minutemen |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +127Bet at Polymarket → exchange price | -132Bet at FanDuel → |
| Spread | +2.5 -110Bet at FanDuel → | -2.5 -110Bet at FanDuel → |
| Total 45.5 | O -105Bet at FanDuel → | U -115Bet at FanDuel → |
As of 10:23 AM ET, the spread is Massachusetts -2.5 and the total is 45.5, with 3 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Akron ML | Massachusetts ML | Akron spread | Massachusetts spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | +112 | -132 | +2.5 -110 | -2.5 -110 | O 45.5 -105 | U 45.5 -115 |
| Novig | +104 | -150 | – | – | – | – |
| ProphetX | +118 | -152 | – | – | – | – |
Prices from 3 sportsbooks we track, updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Akron Zips13th in the Mid-American ConferenceMassachusetts Minutemen9th in the Mid-American Conference
William Watson III (MASS)115/167, 1,349 YDS, 9 TD, 2 INT (8 GP)
Brayden Roggow (AKR)112/191, 1,343 YDS, 7 TD, 9 INT (9 GP)The Massachusetts Minutemen are 5-5. The Akron Zips are 1-9. Yet the sportsbooks make Massachusetts only a 2.5-point favorite, so the market is not buying the records at face value. On Kalshi, 74% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Akron (91 trades, $2.5k traded). That is light trading, so the share can swing. Kickoff is Wednesday, November 18 at 7:00 PM ET on CBSSN. The real question is whether you trust the standings or the price.
Massachusetts is the favorite. It sits 9th of 13 in the Mid-American Conference, and Akron sits 13th of 13. The teams have not met this season. The last meeting came 379 days ago, and Massachusetts lost it. Our rating (an Elo model built on past results) makes Massachusetts 71% to win, well above the market's 56.2%. That is context, not a bet. The game is at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium. The forecast is 43 degrees, a 2 mph wind and a 0% chance of rain, so weather should not shape it.
Akron gets 7 days of rest after a 473-mile trip. Massachusetts gets 6 days after a 569-mile trip from its last game at Toledo. The per-game averages tell a story. Akron gains 342.4 yards and allows 422.4, including 200.6 rushing yards allowed per game. Massachusetts gains 332 and allows 337.9. Akron also turns it over 1.7 times per game, against 0.9 for Massachusetts. Against the spread (beating the betting margin, not just the scoreboard), both teams are 4-6 over 10 graded games. Akron is 1-4 against the spread on the road.
William Watson III leads Massachusetts through the air. He averages 168.6 passing yards, 1.1 touchdowns and 0.3 interceptions per game over 8 games played. Brayden Roggow leads Akron with 149.2 yards, 0.8 touchdowns and 1 interception per game over 9 games played. He has been hotter lately, at 183.6 passing yards per game over his last 5. Here is the catch. Neither team's quarterback of record last game was its passing leader. Akron's was Cibastian Broughton. Massachusetts went with Logan Inagawa, a change from the game before. Nothing we have says who starts Wednesday, so treat these leaders as context, not a certainty.
The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. Massachusetts is -132 at FanDuel. A $100 bet profits $75.76, and it needs to win 56.9% of the time to break even. Akron is +127 at Polymarket. A $100 bet profits $118.50 after the fee, with a 45.8% break-even. The Akron vs Massachusetts spread is a bet on the margin.
Massachusetts -2.5 at -110 on FanDuel wins only by 3 or more, so a 2-point win loses. Akron +2.5 at -110, also on FanDuel, wins outright or with a loss of 2 or fewer. The total is 45.5 combined points. The Over is -105 (break-even 51.2%) and the Under is -115 (break-even 53.5%), both best at FanDuel. Shop every time. The best Akron moneyline sits at a different book than the best Massachusetts price.
Expected value is your average result per bet if this game could be replayed many times. Our opinion lives on the margin instead. Akron's defense allows 0.23 predicted points added per play (PPA, a measure of how much each snap pushes an offense toward scoring). Massachusetts allows 0.04. That gap is a matchup lean, not a priced edge, because we have no no-vig spread number to measure against the 52.4% break-even.
Massachusetts -2.5 at -110 on FanDuel, as a matchup lean. It must cash 52.4% of the time to break even, and it loses on a 2-point win. The case rests on two numbers. Akron allows 200.6 rushing yards per game, and Massachusetts runs for 139.4. Akron also gives the ball away 1.7 times per game. If the line moves, -2.5 beats -3 for a favorite, because a 3-point win pushes at -3 (your stake comes back).
Our Akron vs Massachusetts prediction has Massachusetts winning the ground game and the turnover battle. Projected score: Massachusetts 24, Akron 17. That adds up to 41 points, under the 45.5 total, and it fits Massachusetts going 3-7 on the over-under across 10 games. The quarterback uncertainty on both sides is the biggest risk to this read. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Massachusetts is the market favorite at -132 (best price at FanDuel) on the moneyline, with Akron at +127. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Akron vs Massachusetts airs on CBSSN. The Akron Zips visit the Massachusetts Minutemen at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium on Wednesday, November 18, 2026, with kickoff at 7:00 PM Eastern time.
Massachusetts is the favorite at -132 at FanDuel, and Akron is the underdog at +127 at Polymarket. With the vig removed, the market reads Massachusetts about 56.2% and Akron about 43.8%. Massachusetts is also a 2.5-point favorite on the spread.
Kickoff is Wednesday, November 18, 2026 at 7:00 PM Eastern time at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium. The forecast calls for 43 degrees, a 2 mph wind and a 0% chance of precipitation, and the game airs on CBSSN.
Neither moneyline pays enough, but Akron's leaky run defense and turnover habit point us to a matchup lean on Massachusetts -2.5 at -110 on FanDuel. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 45.5, with the over priced at -105 at FanDuel and the under at -115 at FanDuel. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College football betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college football odds · FanDuel betting splits
On Kalshi, 74% of the money traded on the moneyline is on Akron Zips (91 trades, $2.5k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 14, 10:11 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.