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This game has ended. Each team's next preview is below, with the current odds and the Desk's read.
Who was the public betting on Jazz vs Pelicans?
DraftKings bettors lean Pelicans on the spread (55% of tickets).
| Book | BetsJazz +5.5Pelicans -5.5 | MoneyJazz +5.5Pelicans -5.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) | ||
| BetMGM | Bets only |
| Book | BetsJazz (+168)Pelicans (-201) | MoneyJazz (+168)Pelicans (-201) |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||
| BetMGM | Bets only |
| Book | BetsOver 231.5Under 231.5 | MoneyOver 231.5Under 231.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ||
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) | ||
| BetMGM | Bets only |
Splits data from DraftKings, Circa and BetMGM. BetMGM publishes bets only. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
Circa closing read sharp Vegas reference, not bettable here
| Market | Utah Jazz | New Orleans Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4.5 | -4.5 |
| Total 232 | O | U |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
Exchange buyers before kickoff: which side buyers took (Kalshi, Polymarket, Novig, ProphetX)
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
How to read these numbers
Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of trades since the market opened and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Kalshi
Total 231.5$4.4k traded · 107 trades
Over 231.5Under 231.5
Trades
Money
Light trading: $4.4k so far, percentages can swingPolymarket
Moneyline$86k traded · 352 trades · $220k open
Utah JazzNew Orleans Pelicans
Trades
Money
Novig
Moneyline$1.5k traded · 15 trades
Utah JazzNew Orleans Pelicans
Trades
Money
Light trading: $1.5k so far, percentages can swingSpread$6.6k traded · 12 trades
Utah Jazz +4.5New Orleans Pelicans -4.5
Trades
Money
Light trading: $6.6k so far, percentages can swingTotal 235.5$6.2k traded · 37 trades
Over 235.5Under 235.5
Trades
Money
ProphetX
Moneyline$9.2k traded · 79 trades
Utah JazzNew Orleans Pelicans
Trades
Money
Last read before kickoff .
How the number moved: Utah Jazz at New Orleans Pelicans
| Market | Opened | Closed | Circa closed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (home line) | -5.25 | -4.5 | n/a |
| Total | 235.5 | 232.25 | n/a |
| Moneyline (away / home) | n/a | +166 / -195 | n/a |
Opened is the first number we saw and closed the last before kickoff, the median across the books we track. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book, shown as a reference.
Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans: odds, trends and our lean
📊 Best prices from the US sportsbooks and exchanges we track (exchange prices are marked) Prices when this preview was published
| Market | Utah Jazz | New Orleans Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +190Pregame price at Novig → exchange price | -190South Point |
| Spread | +4.5 +107Pregame price at ProphetX → exchange price | -4.5 -108Polymarket Global exchange price |
| Total 231.5 | O -104Pregame price at Novig → exchange price | U +102Pregame price at Novig → exchange price |
📊 Team Breakdown archived pregame data
Season win %
Utah Jazz
14%
New Orleans Pelicans
43%
Chance to win, per the betting market (vig removed)
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Standings & streak
Utah Jazz5th in the Northwest · 4.5 GB · L5
New Orleans Pelicans5th in the Southwest · 3.5 GB · W3How to read this: "chance to win per the betting market" comes from the actual odds with the sportsbook's built-in fee (the vig) stripped out, the market's honest opinion of the game.
🛈 Wise Guy Desk analysis - not an official play. A free breakdown to help you find value and bet the best number. Ross's documented plays are graded win or loss on the members board.
📘 New to betting? Two-minute translation. A moneyline bet is picking who wins, nothing else. In this game, +190 means a $100 bet profits $190 if it wins. The spread is a head start: -7.5 must win by 8+, while +7.5 cashes by losing by 7 or fewer (or winning). The total is combined points by both teams, over or under the books' number. +EV means the price pays better than the market-implied fair odds (vig removed); consistently taking better prices raises your expected return over time. Learn free: Sports Betting 101 · Odds converter · No-vig calculator
A Five-Game Skid Meets a Three-Game Heater
The Utah Jazz have lost five straight and sit 1-6. The New Orleans Pelicans have won three in a row, yet they lost to Utah just 12 days ago. Form says one thing and the head-to-head says another. Meanwhile the spread has already moved a full point. That tension is where any honest Pelicans vs Jazz prediction has to start.
Who Is Favored to Win Jazz vs Pelicans?
New Orleans is the favorite. The Pelicans host at the Smoothie King Center on Wednesday, November 4, at 8:00 PM ET. As of publication, Utah is 1-6, fifth of five in the Northwest and 4.5 games back. New Orleans is 3-4, fifth of five in the Southwest and 3.5 back. Utah leads the season series 1-0. Both teams have one day of rest. Utah is on game two of a road trip, and New Orleans comes off a 135-134 overtime win in Memphis. Against the spread (beating the betting margin), Utah is 3-6-1 over 10 graded games and New Orleans is 6-3-2 over 11.
Players to Watch: Zion Williamson and Keyonte George
Zion Williamson has played all seven Pelicans games. He is averaging 20.8 points and 5.8 rebounds over his last five, in 32.2 minutes a night. Keyonte George has played all seven Jazz games and is averaging 19.2 points and 4.6 assists over his last five. Zion is the pressure point. New Orleans scores 57.45 points in the paint per game across 11 stored games, and Utah allows 43.82. New Orleans also plays faster, at 108.1 possessions per game over its last 10 stored games to Utah's 103.8.
What Are the Jazz vs Pelicans Odds?
The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. New Orleans is the favorite at -190, best at South Point, so $100 risked profits $52.63. The spread is a head start for the underdog. Utah +4.5 at +107 (best at ProphetX) wins if Utah wins or loses by 4 or fewer. It loses on a 5-point loss. New Orleans -4.5 at -108 (best at Polymarket Global) must win by 5 or more. The total is a bet on combined points. Books opened that total anywhere from 232.5 at Fliff to 235.5 at Fanatics, and the spread moved from 5.5 to 4.5 at three books. Always shop.
Where the Value Is
Every price carries vig, the book's built-in cut. Remove it and the market makes New Orleans about 65.4% and Utah about 34.6%. Break-even is how often a bet must win to stay level. Utah +190 breaks even at 34.5%. Context pushes the other way too. Our rating has New Orleans at 85%, and 81% of public moneyline tickets back the Pelicans.
Injuries: Who Is Out for the Jazz and Pelicans?
Utah is short up front. The NBA's official report lists Jaren Jackson Jr. (right MCL tear) and Jusuf Nurkic (right 2nd plantar plate tear) as out. For New Orleans, Yves Missi is out (left knee contusion/bone bruise).
The Pick
A shorter number elsewhere can erase it. That is the whole lesson here: get the best number. The risk is real, because Zion gets to work against a depleted Utah frontcourt.
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The Prediction
Utah beat this team 12 days ago, and George gives the Jazz a guard who can steady a fast game. New Orleans has logged heavy recent minutes and is coming off an overtime night in Memphis. We think that keeps this tight late, and the Jazz steal it. Projection: Jazz 117, Pelicans 114. That adds to 231, a half point under the 231.5 total, though we are not betting the total. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Injury Report
NOJordan Poole (Out), Yves Missi (Out), Trey Murphy III (Day-To-Day)
UTAHJusuf Nurkic (Out), Jaren Jackson Jr. (Out), Trey Alexander (Out), Mo Bamba (Day-To-Day)
More NBA matchups
Jazz vs Pelicans FAQ
Who is favored in Jazz vs Pelicans?
Pelicans is the market favorite at -190 (best price at South Point) on the moneyline, with Jazz at +190. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Where to watch Jazz vs Pelicans?
The Utah Jazz at New Orleans Pelicans game is listed on GCSEN, Pelicans.com, KJZZ-TV and Jazz+. The game is played indoors at the Smoothie King Center in New Orleans on Wednesday, November 4, 2026.
What time is the Jazz vs Pelicans game?
The Jazz vs Pelicans game tips off Wednesday, November 4, 2026, at 8:00 PM ET at the Smoothie King Center. Both teams come in with one day of rest, and neither is on a back-to-back.
Who will win Pelicans vs Jazz?
Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans NBA prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
What is the total (over/under) for Jazz vs Pelicans?
The total is 231.5, with the over priced at -104 at Novig and the under at +102 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Are these NBA picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in NBA games?
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: NBA betting splits · DraftKings betting splits