Timberwolves vs Pelicans Prediction & Odds (Nov 6) | WGT
The Wise Guy Desk · NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves logo@New Orleans Pelicans logo

Timberwolves vs Pelicans Prediction & Odds (Nov 6)

Quick answer
Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans starts Fri, Nov 6, 8:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center. The Desk's lean: Pelicans moneyline (best price across books once posted). Injury report: NO Dejounte Murray (Out) and 2 more; MIN Anthony Edwards (Out) and 2 more.
From the numbers on this page, compiled by the Wise Guy Desk. Page content last changed November 3, 2026.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans: Five players are ruled out between these two teams, and the Desk leans to the New Orleans Pelicans at home on the moneyline, but only at a fair price once lines post. · Smoothie King Center
The lean: Pelicans moneyline (best price across books once posted)
KickoffFri, Nov 6, 8:00 PM ET
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Exchange buyers: which side buyers took (Kalshi, Polymarket, Novig, ProphetX)

These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.

How to read these numbers

Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of trades since the market opened and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.

Kalshi

Moneyline$3.6k traded · 241 trades
Minnesota TimberwolvesNew Orleans Pelicans
Trades
Money
Light trading: $3.6k so far, percentages can swing
Polymarket

Moneyline$853 traded · 51 trades · $1.4k open
Minnesota TimberwolvesNew Orleans Pelicans
Trades
Money
Light trading: $853 so far, percentages can swing

Polymarket US: prices only

Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket and is never added into its numbers.

  • Moneyline: Timberwolves 57% chance (price only)
Where to bet this game
Odds for this matchup are not posted yet. These are the regulated US sportsbooks we partner with; the best price lands here the moment the books hang a line.
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📊 Team Breakdown real data · updated daily
Season win %
Minnesota Timberwolves
63%
New Orleans Pelicans
43%
Standings & streak
Minnesota Timberwolves logoMinnesota Timberwolves3rd in the Northwest · 1 GB · W1
New Orleans Pelicans logoNew Orleans Pelicans5th in the Southwest · 3.5 GB · W3
Players to watch
Zion WilliamsonZion Williamson (NO)21.3 PPG (7 GP)
LaMelo BallLaMelo Ball (MIN)16.9 PPG (8 GP)
How to read this: "chance to win per the betting market" comes from the actual odds with the sportsbook's built-in fee (the vig) stripped out, the market's honest opinion of the game.
🛈 Wise Guy Desk analysis - not an official play. A free breakdown to help you find value and bet the best number. Ross's documented plays are graded win or loss on the members board.
📘 New to betting? Two-minute translation. A moneyline bet is picking who wins, nothing else. A plus number is the underdog; a minus number is the favorite. The spread is a head start: -7.5 must win by 8+, while +7.5 cashes by losing by 7 or fewer (or winning). The total is combined points by both teams, over or under the books' number. +EV means the price pays better than the market-implied fair odds (vig removed); consistently taking better prices raises your expected return over time. Learn free: Sports Betting 101 · Odds converter · No-vig calculator

Timberwolves vs Pelicans Prediction: Two Benches Running Thin

Six names sit on the two injury reports for this game, and five of them are ruled out. The Minnesota Timberwolves visit the Smoothie King Center without Anthony Edwards or Donte DiVincenzo. The New Orleans Pelicans have won three straight with three players of their own sidelined. That is the tension in this Timberwolves vs Pelicans prediction: the better record against the hotter team, with depth tested on both sides. Tip is Friday, November 6 at 8:00 PM ET on GCSEN and Pelicans.com.

The Matchup

As of November 3, Minnesota is 5-3. That puts the Timberwolves third of five in the Northwest, one game back, on a one-game win streak. New Orleans is 3-4, fifth of five in the Southwest and 3.5 games back, but riding a three-game win streak. Both records can move before Friday. This is the first meeting of the season, so there is no head-to-head history to lean on. Our tracking adds two numbers.

Minnesota ranks second of 24 in net rating (10.7) over 7 games. Net rating is how many more points a team scores than it allows per 100 possessions, so a positive number means it is outscoring opponents. New Orleans ranks second of 24 in pace (107.2 possessions per 48 minutes) over 4 games. Pace counts trips down the floor, and a high number means a fast game. Both samples are small.

Players to Watch

Zion Williamson is listed as the Pelicans' leader, and he has played all seven of the team's games. LaMelo Ball holds that spot for the Timberwolves, appearing in all eight of Minnesota's games. With two Minnesota guards ruled out, more of the ball-handling lands on whoever is healthy, and Ball is the name at the top of their sheet. For New Orleans, two guards are also out, which makes Williamson's steady presence the anchor.

Who Is Favored to Win Timberwolves vs Pelicans?

Timberwolves vs Pelicans odds are not posted yet, so nobody is officially favored. Here is how to read the board when it opens. The moneyline is a bet on who wins, nothing else. A minus number marks the favorite and shows what you risk to win $100. A plus number marks the underdog and shows what you win on a $100 risk.

The spread is a points handicap: the favorite must win by more than the number, and the underdog can lose by less and still cash. The total, or over/under, is a bet on combined points. Prices differ from book to book, so compare several before you bet. A better number on the same bet costs nothing extra and compounds over time.

Where the Value Is

Every price carries the vig, the book's built-in fee. Strip it out and you get the no-vig number, the market-implied win chance with the fee removed. Expected value is your average result per $100 risked if you made the same bet many times. It turns positive only when your read of a team's chances beats what the price implies. Our side is New Orleans, but only if the posted moneyline implies a lower win chance than we give them after the vig comes out. If the Pelicans open as a steep favorite, that cushion can vanish, and passing is a fine decision.

Who Is Out for Timberwolves vs Pelicans?

Per ESPN as of November 3, Anthony Edwards (G) is Out, Donte DiVincenzo (G) is Out and Terrence Shannon Jr. (G) is Day-To-Day, which means uncertain. The Pelicans report from November 2 lists Dejounte Murray (G), Jordan Poole (G) and Yves Missi (C) as Out. Statuses can change, so check the final reports on Friday before the 8:00 PM ET tip.

The Pick

We like the Pelicans on the moneyline at home, at the best price you can find across books once lines open. Moneyline means they simply have to win. This is Wise Guy Desk analysis, not an official play.

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The Prediction

Our Pelicans vs Timberwolves prediction leans on the home floor, a team playing its best ball of the young season and a Minnesota rotation down two guards with a third uncertain. Minnesota's strong early net rating is the reason for caution, not a reason to flip. We project Pelicans 114, Timberwolves 109. That is the read on this matchup; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it sits right below.

Injury Report

NODejounte Murray (Out), Jordan Poole (Out), Yves Missi (Out)
MINAnthony Edwards (Out), Donte DiVincenzo (Out), Terrence Shannon Jr. (Day-To-Day)

Timberwolves vs Pelicans FAQ

Who is favored in Timberwolves vs Pelicans?

Five players are ruled out between these two teams, and the Desk leans to the New Orleans Pelicans at home on the moneyline, but only at a fair price once lines post.

Where to watch Timberwolves vs Pelicans?

The Minnesota Timberwolves at New Orleans Pelicans game is listed on GCSEN and Pelicans.com. It tips off Friday, November 6, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET from the Smoothie King Center in New Orleans.

What time is the Timberwolves vs Pelicans game?

The game starts Friday, November 6, 2026 at 8:00 PM Eastern time at the Smoothie King Center. Listed broadcast options are GCSEN and Pelicans.com, so check those for the stream or local coverage.

Who is favored to win Timberwolves vs Pelicans?

Odds were not posted as of November 3, so there is no official favorite yet. Minnesota was 5-3 and New Orleans 3-4 at that point, with the Pelicans on a three-game win streak. Compare prices across several books once lines open.

Who will win Pelicans vs Timberwolves?

Five players are ruled out between these two teams, and the Desk leans to the New Orleans Pelicans at home on the moneyline, but only at a fair price once lines post. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.

Are these NBA picks free?

Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.

How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in NBA games?

Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.

Quick answers

Who is injured for Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans?

Minnesota Timberwolves: Anthony Edwards (out), Donte DiVincenzo (out), Terrence Shannon Jr. (day-to-day); New Orleans Pelicans: Dejounte Murray (out), Jordan Poole (out), Yves Missi (out).

As of Nov 3, 8:52 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.

This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
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