Pelicans vs Grizzlies Prediction & Odds (Nov 2)

A Game With No Price Tag Yet

One of these teams has not lost a game and the other has not won one, and three games into the season neither fact should move a dollar. Here is the real tension: oddsmakers have not posted a number on this one yet, so the first honest edge available is preparation. When the market opens, you already know who is out, who carries the scoring load, and what the home floor is worth. That is the whole job today.

The Matchup

New Orleans visits Memphis on Monday, November 2, 2026, with tip at 8:00 PM ET from FedExForum. As of this writing on October 26, the Pelicans are 0-3 and the Grizzlies are 3-0. Those are records, not form. Three games is a sliver of an 82 game season, and we will not build a read on either one.

The season series between these two starts right here on 11/2, so there is no head to head history from this year to lean on. For anyone new to the language: a "season series" just means the set of games two teams play against each other across the year, and this is game one of it. Pelicans vs Grizzlies is the matchup most people will search, and Grizzlies vs Pelicans gets you to the same place.

Players to Watch

Memphis leads with Ty Jerome, who has played all three of the Grizzlies' games and posts 11.6 per game in the leader category tracked here (34.7 total over three games). New Orleans leads with Zion Williamson, also three games played, at 6.9 per game (20.7 total over three games). Both of those are small samples, three games each, so treat them as a snapshot and nothing more. They tell you who the ball runs through, not how either player will finish the year, and we are not pricing this game off them.

The Numbers

There is no spread, moneyline or total posted for this game yet, so there is nothing real to quote. What you should know before it opens: the spread is a handicap, where the favorite must win by more than the posted number and the underdog can lose by less than it and still cash. The moneyline is a straight bet on who wins, with no margin involved.

The total, or over/under, is the combined points both teams score. The price attached to each one, something like -110, means you risk $110 to win $100. That extra $10 is the vig, the book's built in commission. Different books post different numbers on the same game, and that gap costs nothing extra and compounds over time, so compare at least three before you click.

Where the Value Is

With no market up, there is no no vig fair price to calculate. The no vig number is simply the market's implied probability with the commission stripped out, and expected value is what a bet returns on average per $100 risked once you compare that fair number to the price you actually got. Both require a posted line.

So our read here is a matchup lean, not a price lean: Memphis at home, with two rotation names out but holding the floor advantage and the healthier interior. If the number opens short, that lean holds. If Memphis opens heavily favored, the value likely sits with New Orleans getting points, and we would rather take the bigger number than the smaller one.

Injuries

Three players are listed out. Memphis is without Karim Lopez and Zach Edey, which thins the frontcourt. New Orleans is without Yves Missi, which does the same to theirs. Confirm final statuses on Monday before the 8:00 PM ET tip, since availability can shift on game day.

The Pick

Matchup lean to Memphis at FedExForum. We cannot attach a price or a book to it, because none exists yet. When the line posts, take the best available version of that side across the books you have, and pass entirely if the number stretches past what the matchup justifies.

The Prediction

Grizzlies 115, Pelicans 108, a 223 point game shaped by two shorthanded frontcourts and a home crowd. That is the read before the market speaks; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it sits right below.